NFL Handicapping Articles
Is Michael Vick a Legitimate NFL MVP Contender?
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 12/9/2010
Michael Vick has transformed himself from an imprisoned felon to a trendy pick to win NFL Most Valuable Player. He certainly has been valuable to the Philadelphia Eagles, who are 8-4 and atop the NFC East. The Eagles turned to Vick when starter Kevin Kolb went down with an injury and they turned to him again when Kolb was struggling.
Week 14 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 12/7/2010
It was a strong week for these NFL picks last week - the Falcons mounted a late comeback to win and cover, and the Rams didn’t need any late heroics to put away the lousy Cardinals. Here’s hoping that the momentum carries over to these Week 14 NFL picks and odds:
NFL Totals Betting: The Year of the ‘Over’
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 12/7/2010
Nearly every rule change made in the past three seasons has benefited the offense. The increased fines levied against multiple defenders and the scrutiny on those defenders throughout the league has even benefited the offense. Defenders are weary of more fines and potential suspensions. Harrison, Pittsburgh’s top linebacker, has already racked up $125,000 in fines.
Week 13 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 12/2/2010
It was yet another split weekend. The good news is that St. Louis had a great game - they not only covered the spread as underdogs, but won outright to pay off on the moneyline. The bad news was that the Bills continued to be impressively tough, and they kept it very close against Pittsburgh so the Steelers couldn’t cover. Actually, Pittsburgh was lucky not to lose outright - the winning TD was in a Buffalo receiver’s hand and absolutely should have been a catch.
Week 12 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 11/24/2010
As seems to be the unfortunate trend lately, the picks last week were a split affair. The Bills were brilliant in beating up on a pathetic Bengals team, but the Browns couldn’t quite handle the Jaguars. Hopefully, these Week 12 NFL picks and odds will be one step more successful than last week. It’s a nice week of action, so I am optimistic:
NFL Futures Odds: AFC West NFL Picks
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 11/23/2010
The Kansas City Chiefs (6-4) are in first place in the AFC West. By rule of tiebreaker the Oakland Raiders (5-5) are second in the division. The Chiefs and Raiders both own wins over the Chargers. Yet it’s third-place San Diego (5-5) that is the favorite to win the division, according to NFL futures odds, and it’s easy to see why.
Week 11 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 11/18/2010
Our fortunes were split with our picks last week. The good news was that the Rams played a good game as I hoped they would. Though they didn’t win, they kept it close and covered an over-inflated spread. The bad news was that Tennessee forgot to show up in Miami and were blown out despite facing three different quarterbacks. With a bit of luck these Week 11 NFL picks and odds will be one step more successful than last week.
Sports Betting Trends: Midseason Coaching Changes
by T.O. Whenham - 11/17/2010
The Dallas Cowboys have, in striking detail, shown us the incredible impact a midseason coaching change can have on a team. Under Wade Phillips the Cowboys were lousy all year, and played their worst game of the season just prior to his demise. Offensive coordinator Jason Garrett was handed the keys on Monday, and by Sunday he had his squad looking like a real NFL team for the first time all season.
NFL Picks: Ravens vs. Falcons Odds and Betting Predictions
by T.O. Whenham - 11/11/2010
The stakes are high here - the winner of this ‘battle of the birds’ is guaranteed to be at least tied for the best record in the league by the end of the weekend’s games. Since they play in opposite leagues there is always a chance that this could be a Super Bowl preview.
Week 10 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 11/10/2010
Last week was, by the very narrowest of possible margins, a very successful week for us. Oakland won their game in overtime against Kansas City by just a field goal after coming back late to force the extra period. I had Oakland -2.5. I also had Indianapolis +3, and they lost by two points. There wasn’t a touch of breathing room. Hopefully these Week 10 NFL picks and odds won’t be quite as stressful and tightly contested.
NFL Betting Midseason Awards
by T.O. Whenham - 11/9/2010
We are past the halfway point of the NFL season - all but four teams have played eight games, and those four have played nine. It’s a good time, then, to take stock of what we have seen so far, and which teams have been surprising, exciting, or disappointing from a betting perspective. Here, then, are the 2010 Halfway NFL Betting Awards:
NFL Predictions: Steelers vs. Saints Odds and Betting Picks
by T.O. Whenham - 10/31/2010
At some point during this weekend the Saints should have a chat with the Steelers. Both times the Steelers have won the Super Bowl recently they have missed the playoffs the next year. New Orleans is obviously a long way from missing the playoffs, but if they don’t get their act together soon then they will be in danger of doing just that. Maybe Pittsburgh could tell them what to do - or more likely what not to do.
Monday Night Football Predictions: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 10/25/2010
The 1-4 Dallas Cowboys are at home on Monday Night Football and playing for their coaches’ job, their own jobs and to keep their playoff hopes alive when they meet the 4-2 New York Giants Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET as favorites. Yes the 1-4 Cowboys, losers of their last two and winless at home are favored against the Giants who have won three in a row.
Week 7 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 10/23/2010
Last week’s picks reinforced two lessons - never count out Tom Brady and Bill Belichick no matter what is going on with them, and no team coached by Wade Phillips should be trusted. It was a frustrating week, but with these week 7 NFL picks and odds I hope that that frustration will be replaced with joy and success.
Worst Betting Teams Against the NFL Point Spread
by T.O. Whenham - 10/20/2010
Last week we looked at the five best teams so far in the NFL season in terms of their success against the spread. Those are the teams we can’t help but like. This week we are going to look at the other end of the spectrum - the teams that have burned money by the pile.
Monday Night Football NFL Picks: Titans at Jaguars Betting Odds
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 10/18/2010
It’s not the most attractive of Monday Night Football matchups, but maybe it should be. The Tennessee Titans visit the Jacksonville Jaguars Monday night at 8:30 p.m. ET with a share of first place in the AFC South on the line.
NFL Picks: Colts Vs. Redskins Betting Odds and Predictions
by T.O. Whenham - 10/17/2010
The story here is going to be defense - more specifically, Washington’s lack of one. In the first year of the Mike Shanahan era the Redskins find themselves dead last in the league in yards allowed. When that is combined with an Indianapolis offense that is the third ranked in the league despite not being nearly as crisp and sharp as we know it can be, then you have a matchup that could be interesting.
Week 6 NFL Picks and Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 10/17/2010
Last week was a mixed bag for these picks - Jacksonville was a great pick, but St. Louis was a lousy one. This week with our Week 6 NFL picks and odds we’ll look to do a little better - at least we’ll try to avoid the 41-point losses. It’s just a coincidence that I am on two underdogs this week, but it’s not a bad place to be - dogs are a stunning 46-26 ATS through five weeks of the season.
NFL Betting Advice: Overvalued and Undervalued Teams
by Jason Sharpe - 10/15/2010
The key to finding teams to bet on or against is the same concept as buying or selling a stock. In the NFL things aren't always as they appear if you are just looking at a team’s overall record. In order to stay ahead of the competition and beat the sportsbooks you need to know who are the most overvalued and undervalued teams in the league. Here below are the three most overvalued and undervalued teams in the NFL, currently, in my opinion.
NFL Betting Lines: Underdogs Dominating
by T.O. Whenham - 10/14/2010
It has been a very good year for underdogs in the NFL so far. That means that it has been a very bad year for people who like to routinely bet favorites – which is most of the general betting public. In turn, that probably means that it has been a pretty good year for sports books so far.
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