NFL Handicapping Articles

2020 New England Patriots Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 5/15/2020

Let’s be clear: the dynasty is over. But that doesn’t mean that they are going to fall off the cliff. The Patriots still have Belichick and the No. 1 defense in football. They still have a championship culture and they still play in a division with three other dysfunctional, overmatched franchises. So the situation in Foxboro isn’t dire.

2021 Super Bowl Predictions
by Robert Ferringo - 4/30/2020

The NFL offseason is basically broken down into four components that influence the odds to win the Super Bowl and set the perceptions and expectations for teams in the coming year. The first is free agency. The second is the release of the schedule. The third is the draft. And the fourth is injuries that occur during the May mini-camps or during the summer.

NFL Draft Grades Round 1
by Robert Ferringo - 4/24/2020

Under normal circumstances, I loathe the NFL Draft. It is one of the most overhyped events of the sports calendar, and I generally spend maybe 15 minutes watching it over the course of an entire weekend. Why waste hours listening to bobblehead analysts when you can just wake up Monday and get the results, hype-free?

Tampa Bay Bucs Super Bowl, Conference Odds Updated as Gronk and Brady Reunite
by Doug Upstone - 4/21/2020

On another dull day for sports bettors, other than more NFL Draft talk and horse racing bets to place, we were jolted out of seats. Rob Gronkowski decided not only to come back to football but asked or maybe even demanded (we will learn more on that later) to be traded to Tampa Bay to rekindle his relationship with Tom Brady.

The Buffalo Bills Are Winning The NFL Offseason
by Robert Ferringo - 4/8/2020

Go ahead and read the title of this article again. Let that sink in. Because I know I don't believe it either. The Buffalo Bills have been a pack of rambling losers since the turn of the century. Mainly irrelevant on the national scene, Buffalo's primary role in pro football has been serving as fodder for the New England Patriots dynasty. And the Bills have had just four seasons above .500 in the last 20 years.

NFL Draft Odds for Virtual First Round
by Raphael Esparza - 4/8/2020

The NFL Draft is in a couple of weeks. And with COVID-19 still changing lifestyles, the NFL will conduct the draft Fully Virtual. What does Fully Virtual mean when it comes to the NFL Draft? That means all coaches, general managers and other personnel will operate from their homes.

2020 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
by Chris Vasile - 2/11/2020

With the XFL in full swing now, I thought this would be a great time to remind everyone that the NFL is a multi-billion dollar corporation that runs 24/7/365 even if there are no games being played. We are about a month out from the official start of free-agency and about two and a half months away from the NFL Draft. Now, is a great time to go over the available season win totals for every NFL team for the upcoming season. All juice is to the over unless otherwise stated.

NFL Championship Weekend Betting Public Action Report
by Trevor Whenham - 1/17/2020

Most of the time when I sit down to write about the line movement surrounding a major football game, it's a story of wild swings, clear preferences, sharp action, and general intrigue. When it comes to the Championship Round of the NFL Playoffs this year, though, the story is that there really is no story. Oddsmakers set numbers for both games that pretty much everyone seems to have been okay with.

NFL Championship Round Predictions: Titans vs. Chiefs Props
by Chris Vasile - 1/16/2020

Let's have a show of hands for those of you who were fuming and about two seconds away from ripping your KC -10 tickets when the Texans went up 24-0? I was one of them, but then something clicked, and the Kansas City Chiefs put on one of the most dominant postseason displays I've seen in a while.

NFL Championship Round Picks: Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Props
by Chris Vasile - 1/16/2020

The 2020 NFC Championship Game will be a rematch of Week 12 when the San Francisco 49ers host the Green Bay Packers. In that Week 12 game, the Niners blew out the Packers by a score of 37-8, and the score was indicative of how dominant the Niners were. The Packers were held to just 198 total yards of offense despite possessing the ball for 35:16 to the Niners' 24:44. The question that begs to be asked is will that game have any effect on the NFC Championship Game?

NFL Playoffs Betting Tips: How to Bet the Conference Championships
by Ricky Dimon - 1/16/2020

And then there were four…with no Baltimore Ravens, New England Patriots, or New Orleans saints among them. That's not to say the absences of New England and New Orleans from the NFL's conference championships are entirely surprising. After all, they did not even earn first-round byes in the playoffs. But the Saints were actually just a half-yard away from snagging said bye (see: San Francisco vs. Seattle in Week 17) and despite their status as No. 3 seeds, they were still a trendy pick to reach the Super Bowl out of a wide-open NFC.

Free Football and Basketball Picks for Weekend by Handicapper Doug Upstone
by Doug Upstone - 1/10/2020

We have a variety of sports betting action from the NBA, college basketball and NFL Playoffs to cover this weekend. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (175-143-3 of late) to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here next week.

NFL Divisional Round Wagering Predictions: Passing Yard Props
by Trevor Whenham - 1/9/2020

There are eight quarterbacks left standing in the playoffs. And though it would be tougher to make a case for Ryan Tannehill and Kirk Cousins than some, they are all very impressive guys who have very high ceilings. It's a loaded group. Aaron Rodgers has two MVPs and a Super Bowl MVP. Lamar Jackson is about to have his first MVP, and Patrick Mahomes already has one. Russell Wilson has a Super Bowl.

NFL Divisional Round Betting Tips: Keys and Distractions Each Team
by Trevor Whenham - 1/9/2020

The interesting thing about these four NFL divisional round playoff games this weekend - and about every football game ever played - is that they can be boiled down to a few things that are going to be key to how the game turns out. There are also always a few things that are not nearly as important as they seem to be, or that don't warrant the attention they are getting. Handicappers who can spot the keys and avoid the distractions are the ones who wind up ahead. Here's a look at a key and a distraction for each of the four games on the slate:

NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Betting: Ranking the Games by Value
by Trevor Whenham - 1/9/2020

The slate of divisional games this week is a solid one. Hard to argue about that. Solid enough quarterbacks all-round, good coaching for the most part - and Bill O'Brien - and some intrigue. But as is so often the case in this round of the weekend, we don't really have a lot of edge-of-the-seat intrigue. All four home teams, the ones coming off the byes, are solidly favored, and other than Green Bay all of them are favored by at least a touchdown. Any of the road teams winning would be an upset by definition but would also feel like a pretty solid upset given the realities of the two teams involved in each case.

Where Will Tom Brady Play in 2020? Odds and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 1/9/2020

Tom Brady removed a little of the drama from the offseason when he announced on Wednesday morning on Instagram that he wasn't done yet. It was hard to believe that he was going to retire anyway, but some people were certainly speculating that he would. Now that it seems clear that he is coming back, and the question remains where he will play. It seems impossible that he would ever play anywhere other than New England, but then you could have said the save thing about Peyton Manning and Indianapolis or Brett Favre and Green Bay.

NFL Divisional Round Playoff Betting: Vikings vs. 49ers Props Picks
by Chris Vasile - 1/8/2020

I don't believe there is any possible way that Cousins can go on the road for the second straight week and lead his team to victory. I wrote last week that the Vikings will need Cousins to play well against a bad Saints passing attack and he did, but this week he's going up against the No. 1 ranked passing defense, which doesn't bode well for him or the Vikings. However, we do know that the Vikings' bread and butter is their rushing attack as they ranked sixth overall, and they'll be up against the 17th rank run-defense.

Texans vs. Chiefs Props: NFL Divisional Round Predictions
by Chris Vasile - 1/8/2020

For whatever reason, the Houston Texans love to come out flat in home playoff games. In 2018, the Texans fell behind 21-0 to the Indianapolis Colts and never recovered, managing to score just seven points. This year, they fell behind 16-0 before putting together a solid -- and extremely lucky - comeback against the Bills to eke out a 22-19 overtime win. If the Texans plan on coming out flat this week against the high-flying Chiefs, they should just stay home and save themselves the embarrassment of getting blown away.

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers Expert Betting Picks for Best Props on Board
by Chris Vasile - 1/8/2020

It wasn't the most aesthetically pleasing game I've ever seen, but the Seattle Seahawks went into Philadelphia and managed to come away with a 19-7 win against the Eagles, who were forced to play without Carson Wentz for the three quarters thanks to a cheap shot by Jadeveon Clowney. The Seahawks now get to go to the Lambeau Field for a chance to get back in an NFC title game for the first time since 2014, when they beat the Packers in the title game only to lose to the Patriots in the Super Bowl.

Free NFL Playoff Picks: Titans vs. Ravens Props
by Chris Vasile - 1/8/2020

The Tennessee Titans went into Foxboro and did the entire NFL a huge favor by beating the New England Patriots and potentially ending their dynasty, which seemingly lasted 20+ years. The Titans played a nearly perfect game. They got great production from Derrick Henry, who ran the ball 34 times for 182 yards and a touchdown. They got a serviceable game out of Ryan Tannehill, who tossed a touchdown pass to an unknown tight end.