NFL Handicapping Articles

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 8: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/24/2024

Entering Week 8 of the 2024 NFL regular season, the public has been in the green for the past few weeks. They are setting themselves up for an all-time terrible day of betting. In response to the public winning, the sportsbooks have raised betting lines on the favorites significantly in hopes of scaring some people off.

Week 9 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/23/2024

After another successful week from the betting public, we’re looking at some massive spreads in Week 8. Working our way down the slate, we have favorites of 11, 9, 7, 7.5, 10, 9, and 6.5 points, and only three games with betting odds under a field goal. For example, the Denver Broncos are now 9-point betting favorites at home against the 1-6 Carolina Panthers. That’s a lot of points. Do you want to lay nearly double digits on a rookie quarterback?

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/22/2024

The opening lines can offer value that is impossible to find on gameday. The bookmakers are usually pretty sharp with their closing lines, but they can leave extra points of value on their opening guesses. An extra point or two on the spread can be the difference between winning and losing in the long run, and it is crucial to lock in these bets as soon as possible.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 7: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/16/2024

Outside of just picking a side for fun or one being your favorite team, how many bettors are lining up to seriously make money on a game like the Chiefs visiting the 49ers? The line is (-1.5) for the home 49ers, so that makes this essentially a pick'em. This game, along with a few others like the Jets vs Steelers and Lions vs Vikings, will probably be decided in the final quarter. Think about all the bounces and or penalties that could or could not go your way. If only there were a way we could give ourselves a little cushion on the betting odds. Well, we could tease the games.

Week 8 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/16/2024

Week 6 was the most public betting week of the year. Road favorites covered at an all-time high, 9-0. In fact, against the spread. Home-field advantage doesn’t equate to 3 points anymore or even 2. If your bets left you in the green after the weekend, resist the urge to double down your winnings with the current slate of games. Resist recency bias when deciding which teams and or point totals to bet.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/14/2024

One of the most effective ways to churn a profit when betting on the NFL is by finding Closing Line Value (CLV). The closing spreads for NFL games are usually pretty accurate, but if you can secure CLV from a line only available earlier in the week, you can maximize your chances at a profit. The opening lines report will provide you with three picks you must lock in as soon as possible. There is no guarantee these lines will be available when kickoff rolls around on Sunday.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 10/11/2024
by Joey House - 10/11/2024

Welcome to the 7th edition of the 2024 Public Action Report, where we study the NFL and college football lines for reverse line movement. If you're new to the series, this link will take you to the introductory article that explains what constitutes a reverse line move. Our picks went 1-2 last week, with Miami defeating New England 15-10 as a 1-point favorite. San Francisco continued the upset trend by losing to Arizona 24-23 as a 7.5-point, and Penn State looked flat in the first half of their non-covering 27-11 victory over UCLA as a 28.5-point favorite.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 6: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/10/2024

As the NFL regular season rolls on, the point spreads get sharper by the week. It's about the time of year when many NFL bettors' bankrolls begin to shrink. If you do your homework in the offseason, and keep your attachment levels in check, the first few weeks of the season aren't too difficult to come out ahead, provided you bet responsibly, of course. In Weeks 4-6, more or less, the public player who still does his homework can continue his success.

NFL Week 7 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/9/2024

As bettors, the mountains we overcome, the obstacles we evade, the ego control, and the self-discipline it takes to be profitable are just a few reasons why only 3% are successful. We're also overloaded with information. That is especially true for betting on the NFL. It takes consistent work to stay afloat, and it's easy to get behind. That's why we stay ahead.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/7/2024

There are few better feelings than securing closing line value on a shifting NFL spread. The opening line can bring up unique betting opportunities that will not necessarily be available when kickoff rolls around. Guaranteeing yourself an extra point or two of value may not seem that important, but every half point matters when attempting to beat the sportsbooks.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 10/4/2024
by Joey House - 10/4/2024

Welcome to Week 6 of the Public Action Report, where we analyze college and NFL lines for reverse line movement. If you're new to the series, this link will take you to the introductory article that explains what constitutes a reverse line move. We went 1-2 last week, with Washington winning outright against Arizona 42-14 as a 3.5-point road dog and a non-covering win with Houston downing Jacksonville 24-20. Carolina battled valiantly but fell to Cincinnati, falling 34-24. The line was 6.5 points when I wrote the column but closed at 4.5, with reverse movement the entire way.

NFL Week 6 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/3/2024

In the world of handicapping and sports betting, we stay zoomed in. Yes, it’s a great idea to break down one game at a time. However, zooming out at least once a week and focusing our camera on the following week’s slate of games allows us to see the game from a different perspective.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 5: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/2/2024

Parlays can be a lot of fun…until they aren't. Whether or not you decide to parlay 2 or 3 selections or to go for 5 or 6, you're probably going to lose. When you do, it seems as if you are just one win away from cashing. At least, those are the ones you don't forget. It's hard enough to pick one winner in the NFL, much less several.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/30/2024

The bye weeks are beginning in the NFL, as Week 5 brings another tantalizing slate of NFL football to the table. The opening lines can often be significantly different from the closing lines, and it is crucial to lock in the extra value when possible. Last week, we went 1-1 with a push on our opening lines report, bringing our season record to 4-4-1. The Buccaneers made quick work of the Eagles, but the Saints failed to cover the spread by a single point against the Falcons.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 9/27/2024
by Joey House - 9/27/2024

We followed up our perfect 3-0 NFL week with an 0-2 effort. Chicago outgained Indy but turned over the ball more, leading to their demise. Arizona's defense played better than expected, but their offense was punchless, scoring only 13 points. Nevertheless, both games were very close to cashing tickets for us. We went 1-1 in college, as Clemson blew the breaks off of NC State, but Houston was MIA in Cincinnati, getting shut out.

NFL Week 5 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 9/26/2024

Are you sick and tired of checking the NFL betting odds on Monday or Tuesday morning for the upcoming week only to realize that the early birds scarfed up your worm? It’s hard enough to be on the right side of an NFL bet. So, if we can beat some closing line value with a wager on a lookahead line, why not?

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 4: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 9/24/2024

By a country mile, the NFL is the most popular sport to bet on in the USA. However, sportsbooks can sometimes lose money on one sport but still make so much profit from football that it barely matters. I remember living in Las Vegas and sparring with a professional hockey bettor. At the time, only a couple of the casinos in town offered hockey lines because they were getting beat. He left training and went straight to the Hooters Casino to pace his bets.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 4 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/23/2024

Believe it or not, the NFL regular season is already 17% complete as we head into a pivotal Week 4 of games. The opening lines report gives you the best chance of locking in a profit for Week 4, as a single point shift in the line can make all the difference at the end of the week. By locking in your Week 4 NFL picks now, you can avoid worrying about the line shifting before kickoff.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 9/19/2024
by Joey House - 9/19/2024

Last week was the first week we analyzed the NFL, and what a week it was, going a perfect 3-0 and earning the PAR's first clean sweep. I don't break down the first week of the NFL season, because those lines had been posted for months and trampled on by the heathens. Our featured selection of Green Bay +3 over Indianapolis hit, as the Packers won 16-10 outright. The two other plays were underdog winners: Cleveland and the New York Jets. The college plays were not as great, as we went 1-2 in our highlighted plays and 4-4 overall.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 3: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 9/18/2024

Sports betting is becoming more popular around the country every year. Football, particularly the NFL, is leading the way in American sports. Once upon a time, we only had the moneyline to bet on, and eventually, the point spread and total came along. With the rise of fantasy football, betting on player performance props each week has become popular and even profitable for some. Betting parlays can be a lot of fun, well, until one of the legs crumbles under you. We don’t generally recommend betting parlays. However, teasers can be good value.