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2025 NFL MVP Odds and Predictions

by Mike Allen - 8/7/2025

NFL MVP odds and predictions Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ers

Yes, of course, it's only August, but I can faintly hear it now. One of my favorite chants to hear in any sport, outside of something super necessary and sometimes vulgar, is the three-letter acronym "MVP".

When Josh Allen led the Buffalo Bills past the Kansas City Chiefs and then the 49ers in Orchard Park in the second half of the season, the decibels were deafening from one of the rowdiest fanbases in football.

At that point, the real ones knew that it was his award to lose from there on out. Run the tape, we told you twice to bet Allen to win the MVP, even as the contrarians began to make the case for someone like Saquon Barkley.

This illustrated an important point that we need to cover before we attempt to predict the 2025 winner of the NFL’s Most Valuable Player award. Even though Barkley arguably had a better season than Allen by rushing for more than 2,000 yards, his team was loaded from top to bottom with an all-time great offensive line.

Barkley is the best running back in the league, but how valuable was he playing on an all-star team? Contrast that with Allen's situation up in Buffalo. How many stars can you name off the top of your head from the 2024 Bills? You can probably count them on one hand, while you need three mitts to tally all the stars from the Birds.

Another point to consider as we attempt to predict the winner of the 2025 NFL MVP award is that the winner needs to be from a winning team.

The player who had the best season on paper in 2024 was the Cincinnati Bengals' Joe Burrow. Yes, he had Ja'Marr Chase on the outside, who is essentially always open, but nearly zero running game, a weak offensive line, and let's not even get started on that dreadful excuse for a defense.

In my opinion, this further proves that Burrow was the Most Valuable Player because they might have gone 0-17 without him. Unfortunately, the voters don’t see it that way.

Lamar Jackson:+500

Josh Allen: +600

Joe Burrow: +600

Patrick Mahomes: +700

Jayden Daniels: +900

Jaylen Hurts: +2000

Justin Herbert: +2000

CJ Stroud: +2500

Jordan Love: +2500

Jared Goff: +3000

Brock Purdy: +3300

Dak Prescott: +4000

Caleb Williams: +4000

Baker Mayfield: +4000

Tua Tagovailoa: +5000

Kyler Murray: +5000

Matthew Stafford: +5000

Saquon Barkley: +5000

Christian McCaffrey: +15000

Best Bets to Win the 2025 NFL MVP

Joe Burrow: +600

Continuing along with Burrow and the Bengals, they obviously have a new defensive coordinator, their former linebackers coach from their run at the Super Bowl in 2021. The D isn’t aging either. They are young and have some talented players in important positions.

One x-factor is, of course, their All-Pro edge rusher, Trey Hendrickson, who is currently holding out for a new contract. The headlines are all over the place about whether they will trade him or pay him, but with such a talented offense, this team isn't far away from a playoff berth.

The Bengals also won their final five games of the regular season in 2024, and the only team to beat them by more than one score was the eventual Super Bowl Champion Eagles.

They were right there, and keep in mind, Burrow was playing with a bad thumb for the first half of the season. I certainly expect Cincy to be a more successful team in 2025.

Jordan Love: +2500

The Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love had some big shoes to fill in Title Town when he took the reins from the legendary Aaron Rodgers. If you remember correctly, Rodgers and many Packer fans were pretty peeved about the team taking Love in the first round when they thought Green  Bay would be better served to select a player who could contribute immediately towards potentially winning a Super Bowl. 

It appears at this point that it was a smart move. Love has shown several signs of greatness in his game, but injuries have led to inconsistent play.

Head coach Matt LaFleur is an offensive genius, and every year he has with Love will make them both much more effective at their jobs.

Green Bay was pretty good last year, but the Eagles, who beat them in the playoffs, were simply better than everyone.

After throwing 11 interceptions through the first eight games of the regular season, Love adjusted on the fly and didn't throw another until said postseason loss in Philly. If the Utah State grad can put together an entire season similar to the second half of 2024, we may have a 25-1 NFL MVP winner.

Christian McCaffrey: +15000

I understand that quarterbacks almost always win this award, but for 150-1, I don't see why you don't throw a few bucks on the 49ers' Christian McCaffrey. Ed's son is one of the most incredible athletes we've seen step onto the gridiron in the past decade.

Last season was as ugly as it's been in a long time for both the team and McCaffrey, but his injuries weren't that major. When he reported to Santa Clara for offseason workouts back in April, his status was listed, and he reiterated there were "No restrictions" on his preparation.

As you know, the Niners' success lives and dies with him. Everyone is fully aware of that at this point.

With another mastermind behind the offense and even a bit of a heartwarming comeback story on our hands, McCaffrey is in a position to be the first non-QB NFL MVP since Adrian Peterson won the award in 2012.

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