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Last Release of Expert NFL Picks from our handicappers.
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Doc's Sports
2 Unit Play. Take #102 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Rams (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 18 Prime) The Seahawks seem to play to the level of their competition, and they have everything on the line tonight against the Rams. Los Angeles has some injuries and had travel issues getting to the Emerald City. Just do not believe the Rams will be able to go up and down the field in this environment against this defense. Seattle has a great chance for the No. 1 seed with a win tonight and I think they will be up to the task.4 Unit Play. Take #104 Chicago Bears +1 over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 20 FOX) I do not like going against the Packers especially in this rivalry, but injuries and overvalue make it a strong play on the Bears. Chicago is on an 8-1 straight-up and against the spread run in their last 9 games. Vegas still believe the Packers are the top team in the NFC North and one of the best in the NFC. I just do not see that occurring especially with Micah Parsons for them on defense to rush the passer. The Bears get turnovers and this is one of their biggest home game in years. I believe that they will be up to the task and pull out a victory on Saturday.
Robert Ferringo
SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS2-Unit Play. Take #111 Minnesota (-3) over N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
The Giants have the pole position for the No. 1 pick in the upcoming draft. I know they have a lot of pride, but with an interim coaching staff and rookie quarterback I’m sure there have been discussions in and around the organization about a soft tank down the stretch. Minnesota has been eliminated from playoff competition. They still have an outstanding coaching staff that should have their guys ready to go. They also have significantly more talent than the Giants. The Giants secondary is a disaster. And if J.J. McCarthy can avoid being a complete and total loser then the Vikings should have way more firepower than the Giants can handle.
3-Unit Play. Take #117 Kansas City (-3) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
I get it. Kansas City was eliminated from the playoffs for the first time in over a decade. The belief is that they are just going to mail it in. I don’t know about that. The Titans are the first really bad team that the Chiefs have played in over a month. The last two dregs that Kansas City played – Washington and Las Vegas – the Chiefs beat by a combined 59-7. They also won 22-9 at New York earlier this season. I understand: that was with Patrick Mahomes. But the Titans suck. This is tied for the fewest points they’ve been getting all this year. The other time they were 3-point underdogs? At Cleveland two weeks ago. Are we really comparing the Chiefs to the Browns? I know Kansas City has nothing to play for. But they are still going to play. Andy Reid is still an excellent coach and Gardner Minshew will still bring some swagger to the position. The Titans have allowed an average of 29.1 points per game over their last eight games. If the Titans beat the Chiefs and K.C. just mails it in I will tip my hat to them. But I have to see that before I believe it.
2-Unit Play. Take #119 L.A. Chargers (+2.5) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
I’m not sure why the Cowboys are favored here. Everyone got all excited about this group after they beat the Eagles and Chiefs in back-to-back games. Then the Cowboys came back to earth, getting wrecked by the Lions and losing at home to a below-.500 Vikings team. The Chargers are physical, they have an exceptional defense, and they will run the ball down Dallas’ throat. The Chargers are still locked in a battle for AFC playoff seeding so they aren’t going to let their foot off the gas. And I don’t think Dallas’ weak pass rush will be able to take advantage of L.A.’s weakness at the tackle spots. If you give me the better coach, better quarterback, better defense and the points and I will take it.
2-Unit Play. Take #122 Arizona (+3) over Atlanta (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
Atlanta should not be a road favorite over anyone. Anyone. These guys stink. That win last Thursday over Tampa Bay was a fluke. Arizona sucks as well. But they have also played a bunch of close games this year and I think they are a little better than their record. After Atlanta’s last win, at New Orleans, they came back the next week and lost as a road favorite against the Jets. They were also road favorites at San Francisco and were not competitive the week after they beat Buffalo. Arizona has lost six straight games and eight of nine. But let’s look at this schedule over that span: at Colts, Packers, at Dallas, at Seattle, 49ers, Jaguars, at Tampa, Rams, at Houston. That is insane! Four of those losses came by four points or fewer. If Atlanta wins this game, cool. But there is no way they should be laying a field goal to the Cards here.
7-Unit Play. Take #128 Houston (-14) over Las Vegas (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
I am going to keep chopping against the Raiders. This is not an NFL-caliber team right now. They don’t have a quarterback. They have the worst group of skill position players in the NFL. They don’t have five NFL-caliber offensive linemen. If Maxx Crosby doesn’t play then their defense is a mess. This team has lost eight straight games and have only stayed within two touchdowns in two of those games. The Raiders’ last five road games have been losses by 31, 17, 3, 31 and 34 points. Houston has the No. 1 defense in football. They should floss their teeth with this Raiders offense. The Texans have held five straight teams – including guys like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen – to 20 points or fewer. The Texans offense is also getting things going. Their receiver room is as healthy as it has been all season and C.J. Stroud has been rock solid over the past three weeks. I just don’t see how the Raiders are going to manage to score over 16 points. And I don’t see the Texans being held below 30, a number the Raiders have allowed opponents to top in five of their last eight games. Throw in just how bad the Raiders have been on the road this season and I don’t expect this game to be competitive. I’ll call it 27-10.
3-Unit Play. Take #129 Cincinnati (-4) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
I’m not buying Quinn Ewers. I get that he can’t be worse than Tua. And Cincinnati’s defense is a joke. But is Ewers going to outduel Joe Burrow? The Bengals are another team that’s played a really tough schedule over the last two months, crossing over with the top three in the NFC North and also facing the Bills and Patriots outside of their rugged division. The Bengals held the ball for 40 minutes last week against the Ravens. Burrow was on point, and for the first time in two weeks the Bengals won’t have to deal with snow or cold. That will give the offense a jolt and the Bengals should be able to carve up this Dolphins defense. Add in a couple turnovers from Ewers and that should do it. I’ll call for 33-27.
2-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #117 Kansas City (+4) over Tennessee (1 p.m.) AND Take #128 Houston (-7) over Las Vegas (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
2-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #119 L.A. Chargers (+9) over Dallas (1 p.m.) AND Take #122 Arizona (+10) over Atlanta (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #126 Detroit (Pk) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m.) AND Take ‘Over’ 30.5 Kansas City at Tennessee (1 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #126 Detroit (Pk) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m.) AND Take #113 New England (+10) over Baltimore (8 p.m.)
This Week’s Totals
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 40.5 N.Y. Jets at New Orleans (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 37.5 Kansas City at Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 47.0 Jacksonville at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
Craig Trapp
NFL4-Unit Play. Take #105 Philadelphia (-7) Over Washington (5 p.m., Saturday, December 20)
The Eagles finally looked like the Super Bowl champions last week, dominating a bad Raiders team and winning 31-0. Sometimes a team just needs one of those games, and Philly will use that momentum to prevail over their division rival this week. The Commanders, without star QB Daniels, are just not good. Take Philadelphia to win and cover on Saturday.
6-Unit Play. Take #111 Minnesota (-3) Over NY Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, December 21)
The Vikings' talent doesn’t match their record this season; the disparity actually gives us extra line value against the Giants this week. Minnesota is under .500 largely due to injuries, but we have seen recently that they are better than that. Giants QB Dart is fun to watch, but it hasn’t led to many wins this year. Take Minnesota to win and cover on the road this week.
3-Unit Play. Take 7 Point Teaser: LA Chargers (+9) Over Dallas & Houston (-7) over Las Vegas (Sunday, December 21)
Think the Chargers can win outright and also think Houston wins for fun and easily covers.
Craig
Scott Rickenbach
******NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 24 TO ACCOMMODATE THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY.******3-Unit Play. Take #101 LA Rams (+1.5) at Seattle (8:15 p.m., Thu, Dec. 18)
Rams off the big win over the Lions but still there is no way that is going to make them come out flat here against Seattle. This game is so important in the NFC West standings as these teams continue to battle it out at the top with San Francisco also nipping at their heels. Two strong teams but there is a reason this line opened up around a pick'em. In other words, why would the home team not have opened as a 3-point favorite here? Exactly! This one is set this way for a reason. The odds makers set the line this way for a reason. The Rams are the better team and just like earlier this season they beat the Seahawks again. 3* LA RAMS +1.5
3-Unit Play. Take #105 Philadelphia (-7) at Washington (5 p.m., Sat, Dec. 20)
Of course the Commanders are not the same team without Daniels at the controls. Eagles will build off the dominating 31-0 win. Yes it was the lousy Raiders but the defense and offense both got some confidence back and this Commanders defense is really bad. Also, it is just hard to trust the offense with Mariota the controls. Washington is off a rare win but that was against a bad Giants team. Prior to that victory, the Commanders had lost 8 straight games and 5 of the last 7 defeats were by 20 or more points! More of the same here as the Commanders have only 1 win over a good team this season and they are really in trouble here versus a reinvigorated Eagles side. 3* PHILADELPHIA -7
6-Unit Play. Take #126 Detroit (-7) vs Pittsburgh (4:25 p.m., Sun, Dec. 21)
Great spot for the Lions to roll to a huge win. The Steelers are off a big win on Monday Night Football but it was against a Dolphins team that is not well-coached and fully capable of embarrassing themselves on any given gameday. Pittsburgh is 8-6 this season but statistically unimpressive. They are a fortunate 8-6. Note that the Steelers have seen 4 of their 6 losses come by double digits and this one is set up well to be another one. Pittsburgh has seen 6 of 8 wins having come against teams that have a combined 29-55 record currently on the season. Also, there is more than meets the eye at first glance in terms of their only two 'impressive' wins in terms of beating stronger teams. When they beat the Colts they were outgained by 143 yards. When they beat the Patriots they were outgained by 166 yards! This just reinforces the fact the Steelers are truly over-rated this season. The Lions have been fantastic at home long-term and also fantastic when coming off a loss. Detroit is off a 41-34 loss to a strong Rams team in LA. The Lions are 15-0 SU the last 15 times when off a loss and they almost always win those games by 7 or more points! Remember too that this is Detroit's home finale! They have been so dominating at home and they enter this game off a loss and in a dogfight in hopes of still making the post-season. The point is that this is a huge game for an angry Detroit team! Statistically the Lions are the much better team on offense and also do have the better defense in comparison with Steelers. Combine that with the situational factors plus being at home and you have the perfect spot for a home blowout. 6* DETROIT -7
3-Unit Play. Take #114 Baltimore (-2.5 -122) vs New England (8:20 p.m., Sun, Dec. 21)
Ravens ready to peak at the right time of the season off last week's dominating win. There is some 2.5 out there at the time of this posting at 6 PM ET on Thursday and we have to lay a little juice to have it but I do want to make 3 a win number. The Ravens were so strong on both sides of the ball last week and will carry that momentum to here while the Patriots are devastated off the gut-wrenching loss to the Bills where they blew a 21-point lead. 3* BALTIMORE -2.5 -122
5-Unit Play. Take #131 San Francisco (-5.5) at Indianapolis (8:15 p.m., Mon, Dec. 22)
Very tough spot for the Colts. They got the hard-fought cover at Seattle but Rivers certainly did not look great trying to direct the offense and I just don't see Indianapolis being able to score enough to keep up with the 49ers here. San Francisco has averaged 31 points in their last 4 games and I just don't see Indy scoring any more than they did at Seattle last week. The Colts have been held to 20 or less in 4 straight games and the 49ers pull away as this game goes along. The Niners have been strong in night games this season and they do it again here as their primetime run continues as the Colts Rivers will do his best but is just not able to move around well enough in the pocket and it catches up with him here. 5* SAN FRANCISCO -5.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
4-Unit Play. #102. Take Seattle Seahawks ML (-120 ) over LA Rams (Thursday @ 8:15pm est)This game goes off tonight and it leads us off as we love that Coach McDonald had such a bad game to the Colts, like it was terrible. The Seahawks did not take Phillip Rivers seriously, they won 18-16 with a big comeback and avoided embarrassment at home, they clearly were looking ahead to this game, a game in which they lost to the Rams 19-21 back in November and with the Rams coming off back to back 40+ point games against the Lions and Arizona, we think they have a big let down here. Seattle was down 6-13 going into the half, they only rushed for 50 yards last game, they went 0/2 in red zone efficiency and Darnold played well for 271 yards but still wasn't efficienct when he needed to be in the red zone. Look for a much better effort here from Seattle as it is a decent public fade as well as Seattle will be rocking tonight.
7-Unit Play. #126. Take Detroit Lions -7 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)
This is a great game for Detoit to bounce-back and get after the Rodgers and the Steelers. The Steelers have won back to back games coming in, beating Miami and Baltimore and they face a Detroit team who has not beat this team since 2009, Pittsburgh has not won 3 in a row all year, both these teams are 8-6, Detroit could miss the playoffs if they do not win this game, they just gave up 41 points to the Rams, they were up 24-17 against arguably the best team in the league at the half and we like them as they come off their worst defensive performance of the year as we think it makes sense to back the Lions for a big win here as they look to keep fighting for that playoff spot and they will have the edge they need this week. By the way, the last time the Lions beat the Steelers was 2004, I think they get it done this week!
4-Unit Play. #129. Take Cincinnati Bengals -4 over Miami Dolphins (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Bengals had 0 points and were embarrassed by the Ravens last week and it is not entirely their fault as they beat the Ravens they beat 3 weeks prior. Cincinnati lost to the Patriots by 6, the Bills by 5 and with Burrow losing at home, throwing for 225 and 0 Touchdowns and 2 interceptions last game, regardless of how the Dolphins have been (thoug they lost to the Steelers), I think you see a very motivated Burrow and Cincinnati team here get it done on the bounce-back.
3-Unit Play. #120. Take Dallas Cowboys ML (-125) over LA Chargers (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Cowboys are in a must win. They are 6-7 and they are better than people have been giving them credit as they did beat KC, Philadelphia and come off back to back losses here and we think they can show some pride here and win a huge game at home as their backs are to the walls and facing a Chargers team that come off an emotional high beating the Chiefs at home. It is now or never for these Cowboys and I think they get their best effort out of the way and the Chargers inability to score will come back to get at them here as I see the Cowboys pulling off the win likely here.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
NFL FOOTBALL WEEK #163 Unit Play. Take #104 Chicago +1 over Green Bay (8:20p.m., Saturday December 20 FOX)
Not only do the Packers come to Chicago limping but the Packers are coming off a tough road loss to the Broncos. Two weeks ago, the Bears went to Lambeau Field and lost 28-21 but the Bears had many chances to steal that road game. The Bears get this at home and they have all the momentum on their side and I see the Bears going 6-1 at home. It’s no secret that the Packers have owned the Bears winning 12 out 13 meetings but Saturday night Chicago gets redemption.
6 Unit Play. Take #124 Denver -3 over Jacksonville (4:05p.m., Sunday December 21 FOX)
Last Sunday in Denver, Colorado we hit our big unit play with Broncos as they beat Green Bay 34-26. Sunday late Afternoon we are going back to Colorado as I believe the Broncos win again. I know the Jaguars have won 5-Straight and they have won 4 road games but let’s look at 3 of those 4 road games. The beat Tennessee, Arizona, and the Raiders and neither of those teams are even close to Denver. Denver has won 12-Straight home games and they are also 9-3 ATS in those 12 home games. Jacksonville has dropped 13 out 18 road games and the Broncos defense will provide another home win.
3 Unit Play. Take #126 Detroit -7 over Pittsburgh (4:25p.m., Sunday December 21 CBS)
The Detroit Lions will be clued to their TV’s on Saturday as the Packers and Bears will face off in a must-win game for Detroit. Both teams are 8-6 and 7-7 ATS but with Detroit at home I see them winning this game by double-digits. If the Lions establish the run early then that will open the passing game for Goff. The Lions coming off a loss this year have won 4 games by double-digits, and the Steelers defense will be lost on the road in this matchup. The Steelers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and the Lions are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against AFC opponents.
Tony George
NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 24 TO ACCOMMODATE THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY.******NFL
Thursday 12/18
4 Units
Take #102 Seattle (-1.5) over LA Rams
*8:15 EST
Wind and rain tonight in Seattle. Not good weather, blowing 15-20 MPH steady at gametime. Add in the fact this was low scoring in the first meeting and Seattle’s defense is elite and has only allowed over 21 points 3 times this year in all their games, and the under is in play. This game is for the division basically and perhaps a #1 seed in the playoffs as well. These are the 2 best teams in the NFL and I expect a low scoring chess match. This favors Seattle. Seattle is at home with the better defense by far, I like them to avenge a loss. The Rams beat Seattle by 2 points and that was when Darnold threw 4 picks in that game on the road and still lost by only 2 points. That shows you right there how the Seahawks stack up against them. Big edge playing at home in this weather.
NFL
NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 24 TO ACCOMMODATE THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY.******
Saturday 12/20
3 Units
Play #105 / #106 Philadelphia / Washington (UNDER 44.5)
5 EST
Philly just embarrassed Las Vegas (Who is horrific) by holding them 64 yards passing and 46 yards rushing. They also got their offense going but are still 6-0 their last 6 games to the UNDER. Over the last 6 games even with the 33 put up on the Raiders, they have averaged just 18 ppg. Washington will provide test for them and I am not laying 6.5 on the road in a divisional game, but Philly defense will hold a bad Washington team at bay here and I like this under. The Vikings 2 weeks ago held Washington scoreless. Divisional games on the road are always tough and always chilly temps in late December in DC.
NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 24 TO ACCOMMODATE THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY.******
NFL
Sunday 12/21
7 Units
Take #128 Houston *First Half Line (-7.5) over Las Vegas
*4:25 EST
Pete Carroll is a clown act as a head coach right now. Firing coaches, mis-managing a team that is already devoid of talent outside of Crosby on defense and Bowers on offense. In my 35 years of capping the NFL, I cannot recall any team I have seen over the years as bad as Las Vegas is right now. Never even got past the 50-yard line last week in a 33-0 blowout in Philly. The Raiders motivation at this point needs to considered and this is a back to back road game scenario as well.
Houston is rolling and their defense will completely shut down any offense the Raiders can muster, which is none. Las Vegas threw the ball last week for 64 yards! That is UNREAL by NFL standards. But it gets worse, they ran it for a total of 46 yards. Need I say more? I do not lay double digits for a full game in the NFL, but Houston should be up 14 at halftime (which is the line for the entire game) with any effort at all. To even let Las Vegas compete in this game would be embarrassing for Houston who is on a monster 6 game win streak and holding good offenses like KC to 10 on the road, Indy to 16 and Buffalo to 19 in recent games and last week hung 40 points on Zona.
3 Units
Play #117 / #118 Kansas City / Tennessee (UNDER 37.5)
*1 EST
KC was never any good on offense, and they have OL issues all over the place and all world QB Mahomes is done. Not sure the motivation here as KC is spoiled the last 6 years being king of hill and now they do not even sniff the playoffs. Their offense as Minshew Magic behind center and no run game at all. Tennessee will struggle against KC’s defense which is still good. 16-10 type game, I do not see a track meet here. In 14 games this year KC has 4 Overs, and that was with Mahomes. Playing Under here.
2 Team 6 Point Teaser (-120) *1 EST
3 Units
Tease #125 Pittsburgh UP to (+13) and Tease #107 Buffalo DOWN to (-4.5)
Vernon Croy
******NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 24 TO ACCOMMODATE THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY.******6-Unit Play: #102 Seattle -1.5-110 over Los Angeles (Thursday, December 18, 2025, 8:15pm ET)
Take Seattle ATS as my top NFL pick for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Seattle a lot in this spot at home. This is a Seattle team that really should have beat Los Angeles in Los Angeles earlier this season but for interceptions by Seattle cost I'm not game and the most important thing to note is they only lost that game by two points and dominated the time of possession by over 15 minutes. If Darnold does not throw those four interceptions Seattle wins that game big. Seattle got a scare last week against Indianapolis but that was okay since we had the Colts to cover the spread. I do expect Seattle to step up defensively at home here Thursday and they have allowed us 283.3 yards per game over all the season including just 191 passing yards per game with their opponents having an average quarterback rating of just 74.6 against them allowing just 17.3 points per game. Play Seattle ATS
7-Unit Play: #129 Cincinnati -4-110 over Miami (Sunday, December 21, 2025, 1:00pm ET)
Take Cincinnati ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Cincinnati in this bounce back spot as they are hands down this superior team here. I also feel like this is a tough spot for Miami with the short week after playing Monday night Football. The score against Baltimore is very misleading since Cincinnati did have the ball for over 18 more minutes than Baltimore but Burrows two interceptions cost them. I do expect to see Burrow's biggest game of the season against this Miami secondary That just gave up 28 points against Pittsburgh. Miami has allowed 23.1 points per game this season with opponents averaging 132 rushing yards per game against them. Play Cincinnati ATS
5-Unit Play: #112 New York +3-110 over Minnesota (Sunday, December 21, 2025, 1:00pm ET)
Take New York ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like the Giants in this spot at home. This is a New York team looking to avoid nine straight losses and they have played some extremely close games. The Giants losing streak started at Denver losing by just one point and putting up 32 points against a good Denver defense. This Giants team is much better than the record indicates and I do expect them to get the victory at home. Minnesota has six touchdown passes and nine interceptions in their last five games overall and I have not been impressed with McCarthy. Minnesota has a quarterback rating of 72.1 this season averaging just 177 passing yards per game and 102 rushing yards per game. Minnesota has really struggled on the road this season with blowout losses against Seattle Green Bay and the Chargers. Play New York ATS
5-Unit Play: #121 Atlanta -3-110 over Arizona (Sunday, December 21, 2025, 4:05pm ET)
Take Atlanta ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Atlanta in this spot on the road. Atlanta is much better than the record indicates and they are coming off an impressive victory against Tampa Bay which also gives them the extra rest coming into this game since that was a Thursday night Football game. Brissett has thrown an interception in each of his last three games overall. Arizona has struggled defensively overall this season allowing 351 yards per game and 27.7 points per game. Atlanta has stepped up defensively at times this season and they have allowed just 195 passing yards per game this season which ranks 9th defensively in the NFL. Play Atlanta ATS
5-Unit Play: #126 Detroit -7-110 over Pittsburgh (Sunday, December 21, 2025, 4:25pm ET)
Take Detroit ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like Detroit a lot at home in this spot. I feel like Detroit is the superior team and I do expect them to take care of business at home against a Pittsburgh team that is battling some key injuries especially with their offensive line and at the linebacker position. Goff will have a big day against this Pittsburgh secondary and he has thrown for six touchdown passes in his last three games with no interceptions. Detroit has average 30.6 points per game overall this season which ranks first offensively in the NFL averaging 379.9 yards per game. Play Detroit ATS
5-Unit Play: #113 New England +3-110 over Baltimore (Sunday, December 21, 2025, 8:20pm ET)
Take New England ATS as my top NFL pick for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I really like New England in this bounce back spot. I feel that New England is the superior team here on both sides of the ball and that score between Baltimore and Cincinnati last week was very misleading since Cincinnati dominated the time of possession by over 18 minutes. New England has averaged 27.3 points per game over all the season and they have stepped up defensively holding opponents to just 300 yards against them including just 19.7 points per game against them. Play New England ATS
6-Unit Play: #131 San Francisco -5.5 over Indianapolis (Monday, December 22, 2025, 8:15pm ET)
Take San Francisco ATS as my top NFL pick for Monday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and San Francisco is hands down the superior team here on both sides of the ball. I feel like this is also a tough spot for Indianapolis after playing at Seattle and losing that game in the final minute. Indianapolis has now dropped for straight games and I expect they're starting quarterback to struggle against the San Francisco defense. San Francisco has held opponents to just 20.9 points per game against them overall this season and this is a San Francisco team that has the average 246 passing yards per game which ranks fourth offensively in the NFL and they were without their starting quarterback for a couple of weeks. Play San Francisco ATS
Scott Spreitzer
2-Unit Play: Take 112 Giants +3 over Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)J.J. McCarthy is on the road for the second straight week and off a win. He didn't make bad mistakes last week but the win over Dallas was a bit misleading. The Vikings were out-gained by 96 yards and allowed over 6 yards per play. We will give Minnesota credit, they did average over 6 yards per play but that was against a fading Dallas defense. The Vikings are bad on offense, while their defense can't stop the run. The Giants and their 10th ranked ground game can take advantage here. I'm taking the points with the Giants. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
7-Unit Play: Take 119 Chargers +2 over Cowboys (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
The Chargers aim to make it 4-0 SU as an underdog this season and I'm betting they take care of business. They've already beaten the Eagles and swept KC when getting points and we could argue KC was at least better than Dallas when the Chargers beat them the first time. Philly is obvious. The Dallas defense saw improvements for the first couple games after acquiring Quinnen Williams but the bloom is off the rose after giving up 78 points in their last two games, both losses. In fact, go back three games, and Dallas has allowed a 68% completion rate, 273 passing yards per game on 8.91 yards per pass, seven touchdowns and just one interception. The Chargers are on a 12-1 ATS run against NFC opponents as a dog in this line range. And Justin Herbert is on a 7-0-1 ATS run following an outright win as an underdog. And oh by the way, we get Jim Harbaugh against Brian Schottenheimer. I'm taking the points with the Chargers. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 126 Lions -7 over Steelers (4:25 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
I'm laying the points with the Lions. I know the defense has been shaky the last few games and they're 2-3 SU in their last five but the losses came against the Rams, Packers, and Eagles. The Lions' offense is still outstanding on the ground, through the air, and putting points on the board and Pittsburgh just won back to back games against anemic passing offenses. The offensive level of competition goes way up this week. Dan Campbell knows how to get his troops refocused following a tough result. Detroit has won 15 in a row off a loss and in the last 12 they've out-scored their opponents by 15 ppg - most recently they beat Dallas 44-30 after losing to Green Bay. The Lions averaged 39.6 ppg following their previous five losses this season. I'm laying the points with Detroit. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
4-Unit Play - (106) Washington Commanders +7 -110 over Philadelphia Eagles (12/20 | 5:00PM EST) Am I crazy here? The world is all over the Eagles in this one when we look at public tickets and online opinions. Washington suck, there is no doubt about it. However, this is the NFL where anyone can win on any given night, and there is zero chance I would be willing to lay a touchdown on the road with a team that is scoring less than 21 in such situations while being outscored on average. In fact, they are being outscored 24 to 22.7 so far this season when listed as road favorites. This is a must bet on the home dogs based on pure principle.4-Unit Play - (108) Cleveland Browns +10.5 -110 over Buffalo Bills (12/21 | 1:00PM EST) Yeah I know how ugly this is. The Browns are 3-11 SU and don't get us started on the QB situation. However, the Bills are drastically overvalued this season and are struggling to put together consistent football. We have to go off what the numbers say and what we are seeing on the field.
4-Unit Play - (112) New York Giants +3 -110 over Minnesota Vikings (12/21 | 1:00PM EST) The Vikings are coming off two solid performances vs. Washington and Dallas. However, as we explain below in the under between Pittsburgh and Detroit - the market can only go one way from here. This is especially true when we consider the fact that the Giants are an awful 2-12 SU. They also came up short last week when favored for the first time all season. It's a bad look, but that's why we are getting an extreme buy-low spot. Let's ride.
4-Unit Play - (126) Pittsburgh Steelers/Detroit Lions u52 -110 (12/21 | 4:25PM EST) The Lions have gone over in four straight, and six of their last seven. The average combined points in those games has been 58.12. However, the historic data is pretty clear on how the market adjusts to such situations and all the value is on the under here.
Strike Point Sports
5-Unit Play. Take #102 Seattle (-1.5) over L.A. Rams (8:15 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)Sam Darnold has not looked good as of late, and the Seahawks offense has looked out of sorts, but this is where that changes a bit. The Rams are dynamic offensively, but this is a bad spot for LA. The Rams won the first matchup between the two teams and Seattle knows they need this game. The Rams not having Adams as WR2 is huge as Seattle will be able to focus more more on Puka Nakua. The Rams opened as favorites, but the line has completely switched and it’s justified. Give me the home team.
4-Unit Play. Take #107 Cleveland (+10.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 21)
This one has Bills dud written all over it. Buffalo just had an outstanding come-from-behind victory over New England last weekend, and they will take the Browns for granted. The Browns have an outstanding defense, and they are definitely good enough to keep the team within the number. Give me the points as Buffalo is 4-3 ATS on the road this season, which is good, but the Browns are an impressive 3-1 ATS as a home underdog. This is too many points.
4-Unit Play. Take #111 Minnesota (-3) over New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec 21)
The Giants have performed valiantly this season despite their terrible record, and I have to give them that, but this is just not a game they are keeping within the number. Minnesota is just 3-3 ATS this season as a home team, but they have looked outstanding in their last few games, outscoring Washington and Dallas 65-26. This is one of those games where the Giants lay an egg, and the home crowd gets restless. Minnesota has had a brutal road schedule as of late, but also has wins in Detroit and Dallas. The Vikings roll here so lay the points.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
NFL-Saturday December 20th 2025-
4 Unit Play Take #106 Washington +7 over Philadelphia (5:00pm est):
Way too much is being made of the Philadelphia blowout win last week over an awful Las Vegas Raiders team. The Eagles still look a bit broken and I don't think they have the type of offense here to take advantage of this weak Washington defense. The Commanders have been playing better football of late especially with quarterback Marcus Mariotta running the show. Their head coach Dan Quinn has also done a good job inside his division as an underdog over the years. This is just way too many points.
Take Washington plus the number.
Sunday December 21st 2025-
7 Unit Play Take #130 Miami +4 over Cincinnati (1:00pm est):
Miami made the decision this week to switch quarterbacks and I think this will give them a much needed shot in the arm in this contest. The Dolphins were actually starting to play some decent football until losing last week in a tough road spot in the cold at Pittsburgh. Cincinnati looks and sounds like a team that's done and packed in for the season. The Bengals defense has the signs of a team that has quit and there's some alarming sound bites coming from star quarterback Joe Burrow as well.
Play Miami and the points.
4 Unit Play #116 Carolina +3 over Tampa Bay (1:00pm est):
It's been an up and down year for this Carolina team. The Panthers come off a loss last week to New Orleans and they are a perfect 6-0 against the spread this season in their game following a defeat. Tampa Bay has been a mess the last two months yet they are still being priced as if their a better team than Carolina and I am just not seeing that.
Take Carolina plus the points.
3 Unit Play Take #121 Atlanta -3 over Arizona (4:05pm est):
It really feels like this Arizona team has quit on the season. The Cardinals are a mess right now having failed to cover 5 of their last 6 games coming into this one. On the other side of things I like the way this Atlanta team is playing right now and it seems quarterback Kirk Cousins have given them a shot in the arm on offense.
Take Atlanta.
3 Unit Play Take #123 Jacksonville +3 over Denver (4:05pm est):
I think Jacksonville team is the most underrated team in the league right now as they have looked fantastic over the past five weeks going 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 versus the spread. On the other side of things this Denver team may be the most overrated team in the league not because people think they are really good but because they are nowhere a team that's won 11 straight games overall. The Broncos also come into this game 2-6 this year versus the number when favored in a game this season.
Play Jacksonville.
3 Unit Play Take #113 New England +3 over Baltimore (8:20pm est):
When you compare these two teams season long resume it shows New England has been the much better of these two teams. Baltimore did get a much needed win last game but there's still some issues with this Ravens team I don't like. Baltimore is 1-5 versus the spread this year in games against winning teams. The Patriots are coming off a tough loss last game but I think they looked better than Buffalo in that contest and their head coach Mike Vrabel has always been good off a loss and as an underdog.
Take New England plus the points.
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take #104 Chicago Bears (-110) Over GB Packers. (8:20p.m, Saturday, December 20th)This is the biggest game that Chicago has had in nearly a decade, and the momentum is in their favor. Watson and Parsons are both out for Green Bay, which is a huge decline for this team. Chicago and Green Bay went toe-to-toe in Green Bay two weeks ago, and Green Bay landed on top. This game is the deciding factor right now for who leads the NFC North. This is at home in Chicago, where they are 5-1 straight up. Green Bay is 4-2-1 on the road, and we believe this is the game that Chicago gets to them. The market is terrified of this game and does not know where to go with it being the last game on the board Saturday night. We believe the public is on Chicago's side, and the public takes this game. The market will figure out a way to make their money back from the public on Sunday, and that rolls right inside of our NFL card, which is perfect for our methodology for chasing bettors. Let's bear down as our 2-unit NFL position.
Griffin Murphy
6 Unit Play - Take #108 CLE Browns (+10.5) Over BUF Bills. (1:00p.m, Sunday, December 21st)
Cleveland comes into this game at a brutal 3-11 on the year, 1-4 in their last 5, and coming off a brutal loss to Chicago, which landed in a 31-3 final. So the public is going to heavily react to this. Chicago did not allow a single touchdown against Cleveland, and now the Bills only have to win by 10.5 points after scoring 35 last week against a Patriots team that went into that game with the best record in football. This game is screaming trap, and this goes right into play on why this is going to be a dog day. We believe the market got beat up Saturday night, and Cleveland comes into this game and keeps it within our 10.5-point differential. Let’s roll with the Browns here with a surprise attack against a very competitive, well-known Bills team.
2 Unit Play - Take #126 DET Lions (-7) Over PIT Steelers. (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 21st)
Detroit is in a must-win situation, as they are now in 3rd place in the NFC North, with both Green Bay and Chicago ahead. Detroit is 8-6 on the year and coming off a 41-34 loss to the Rams last week in a high-scoring shootout. The Lions had the Rams' backs against the ropes the entire game and fell apart at the end. We believe this Lions team is deep and explosive, especially offensively. Pittsburgh relies on their defensive line, and if Watt and company are unable to break up this run game, Detroit can run up the scoreboard against this team. The total is sitting at a high 52.5, which tells us points are going to be scored. We believe the Lions come into this game and absolutely torch the Steelers whilst public chasers are jumping on this game after the Steelers just buckled Miami in a must-win game on Monday night prime time football. This is another chase game, and we believe Detroit lights them up. Let’s roll with the Lions!
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
7 Unit – Take #104 CHI Bears ML (-110) over GB Packers (8:20p.m, Saturday, December 20th)Here we go again with an NFC North showdown, this time under the lights in Chicago as the Green Bay Packers come to town to take on the Bears on Saturday night. The Packers opened as heavy favorites in this matchup, but the line has now crashed all the way down to a pick’em, and that tells you everything you need to know about where these two teams are headed. Even with injuries on offense, the Bears continue to be disrespected by the oddsmakers, and that’s exactly the fuel this team thrives on. Green Bay, on the other hand, is finally facing real adversity, and this is the exact moment Chicago needs to step on the gas and punch back while the door is open. The Bears are playing with confidence, momentum, and an edge, led by a defense that has been elite all season and currently leads the NFL in takeaways. Last game against the Packers, a slow first half cost them a chance at a comeback, but that lesson matters here at home, where the crowd will be loud and fully behind them. Jordan Love is walking into a brutal matchup against a defense that disguises coverages, creates pressure, and forces mistakes. This is a statement spot for Chicago, a chance to show they belong at the top of the NFC North. I love the Bears defending home field and grabbing the win in primetime.
Take #104 CHI Bears ML (-110) over GB Packers
Nick Menken
3 Unit – Take #128 HOU Texans (-14) over LV Raiders (-110) (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 21th)
We have the Las Vegas Raiders heading to Houston on Sunday to take on the Texans, and this sets up as a brutal matchup for a Raiders team that is completely heading in the wrong direction. Las Vegas is coming off an embarrassing 31–0 shutout loss to the Eagles last week and has been one of the worst road teams in the league all season, sitting at just 1–6 away from home. Now they walk into a Houston team that has been dominant in their own building, going 5–2 at home and riding one of the best defenses in football. This Texans defense has turned into an elite unit, currently ranked first in the NFL in yards allowed per game at just 290, and it’s the main reason this team is firmly in the playoff picture. Houston is also firing on all cylinders offensively after blowing out Arizona 40–20 last week, with C.J. Stroud playing confidently and building strong chemistry with Nico Collins inside the dome. This Raiders offense already looked lost last week, and this matchup does them no favors against a fast, physical Houston defense that thrives on pressure and takeaways. Everything points to Houston controlling this game from start to finish. Lay the wood with the Texans at home as double-digit favorites and expect another convincing win.
Take #128 HOU Texans (-14) over LV Raiders (-110)
Nick Menken
2 Unit – Take MIN Vikings vs. NYG Giants (OVER 43.5 Total Points) (-110) (1:00p.m, Sunday, December 21th)
We have a matchup this weekend in New York between the Minnesota Vikings and the New York Giants, and this sets up as a sneaky high-scoring game. Minnesota is coming off a strong 34–26 win on Sunday night, piling up 327 total yards of offense, and now they draw an even softer defensive matchup. The Giants defense has been one of the worst units in football, currently ranked 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per game, giving up just under 400 yards on average. New York is coming off a 29–21 home loss to Washington, but the contest is a spot where I expect them to respond offensively in front of their home crowd. Dart should be able to move the ball against a Vikings defense that can be vulnerable, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Giants get into the low-to-mid 20s in points. On the other side, Minnesota has already shown they can consistently move the ball and score, especially against a defense that struggles to get stops. With both teams capable of finding the end zone and the total sitting too low for this matchup, the value is on points. Take the over 43.5 total points on Sunday.
Take MIN Vikings vs. NYG Giants (OVER 43.5 Total Points) (-110)
Nick Menken
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