Free NFL Prop Predictions - Week 8
by Jay Horne - 10/30/2009
Michael Crabtree delivered in his much-anticipated debut last week, catching five passes for 56 yards as we expected. That helped our weekly prop bets get out of the negative on the season. Last week, our side action went 2-1 as we got back to 9-9 overall on the year as we look forward to getting above the .500 mark once again this week. A few interesting headlines heading into Week 8 include Brett Farve's return to Lambeau this Sunday night. Farve conquered his former Packers earlier this season in the Metrodome, but how will he fare in Green Bay? We have side action for Farve mania along with a few other early betting lines that are demanding attention.
Betting lines can be found at Bodog Sportsbook
Prop Bet No. 1 - WR Miles Austin total receiving yards vs. Seattle Seahawks
Over - -125
Under - -105
The Dallas Cowboys biggest question entering the season was who would fill in to be the big play threat at the wideout position after the departure of Terrell Owens. It may have taken more than a month into the season, but the Cowboys may have found their guy in WR Miles Austin. Austin posted the biggest back-to-back receiving performance in Cowboys history, racking up a total of 421 yards and four touchdowns. Austin has definitely surpassed Roy Williams as the No. 1 receiver and is the new go-to guy on the outside. The impressive component to Austin's recent success is that the majority of those yards have been after the catch and also after contact. The Cowboys new star has proven that he is a difficult target to bring down once he catches the ball and that is one aspect of a player's game that rarely changes. The Cowboys passing offense now meets a beaten up Seattle team that is allowing more than 220 yards per game through the air. Most would expect Austin to cool off after the hot streak, but the Seahawks have a number of injuries on the defensive side of the ball plus they are not exactly good against the pass when healthy. As a result, Austin stays hot at least for one more week.
Pick - Over
Prop Bet No. 2 - Will there be a score in first 7 minutes? Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens
Yes - -135
No - +105
We have nailed this particular prop bet the last two times we have used it this year and I have confidence this will be the third straight. Denver and Baltimore are both two similar teams that do not necessarily score a lot of points out of the gates. Baltimore has been held scoreless in the first quarter for the last two weeks and Denver has only scored within the first seven minutes of a game once this season. The Ravens offense definitely has the ability to score quickly, but the Broncos defense is the big reason they are off to the surprising 6-0 start. The Broncos defensive front should be able to shut down Ravens tailback Ray Rice, meaning if any quick scores are to occur from Baltimore it will come from QB Joe Flacco. However, expect the play calling to not open up until later in the ball game. The Ravens will respect the NFL's best defense, allowing just 11 points per game, for a few drives and Flacco will not attack until after the Ravens have attempted to establish the running game. The likely situation is the Broncos defense wins early and their offense has not scored early all year. We like those trends to continue.
Pick - No
Prop Bet No. 3 - Brett Farve total passing yards vs. Green Bay Packers
Over 250 - Even
Under 250 - Under
Brett Farve dominated the Packers in their last meeting inside the Metrodome, completing 24-of-31 attempts for 271 yards and three touchdowns. The performance was about as good as the Vikings quarterback could have done against his former team. For Farve to repeat those numbers would mean that he would have to play another mistake-free, flawless game which is unlikely even for Farve. A big difference in this game will be the fact the game will be played in Lambeau and not inside the climate controlled atmosphere of the Metrodome. Also, the Packers play extremely well at home, winning nine of the last 10 games. Another big factor that cannot be overlooked is the way last week's game ended for Farve and the Vikings. Farve had a ball stripped out of his hands and it was returned for a touchdown and then threw a Pick Six immediately after to give the Vikings their first loss of the season. It was the first sign of vulnerability that Farve has shown all season and it will be interesting to see if that continues. However, even if Farve plays great as we have come to expect it will not be for more than 250 yards. The Packers will probably have the slight edge to win the game and expect there to be a lot less offense from both sides this Sunday night.
Pick - Under
Most Recent NFL Handicapping
- NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
- 2022 Super Bowl Predictions
- AFC Championship Game Betting Picks: Best Props Bills at Chiefs
- NFC Championship Game Betting Predictions: Best Props Buccaneers at Packers
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Picks: Best Props Browns at Chiefs
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Predictions: Best Props Buccaneers at Saints
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Picks: Best Props for Ravens at Bills
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Predictions: Best Props Rams at Packers
- NFL Wild Card Betting Picks: Best Prop Bets Browns at Steelers
- NFL Wild Card Betting Picks: Best Prop Bets Ravens at Titans