Free NFL Totals Picks for Sunday Over and Under Betting and Wagering
by CarbonSports - 10/16/2014
Pick #1: New Orleans/Detroit Over 48.5 (-110)
Fresh off their bye, the New Orleans Saints are ready to make their push towards the playoffs and thankfully for Saints fans they get to play a rare road game inside a dome. New Orleans is 0-3 SU on the road this year (all outdoors) as their struggles away from the Super Dome continue to be a yearly thing, but on the road inside Detroit's Ford Field should make that Saints offense much more comfortable.
The Saints are 6-0 O/U the past six years after their bye week and have put up 31, 45, and 45 points in their last three games (all since 2008) against Detroit. Detroit's defense is much improved this year as they enter Week 7 with the #1 ranked defense in the league, but other than the Packers the Lions haven't really played anyone with quite the offensive talent that the Saints bring here.
Detroit is 33-16-3 O/U after allowing less than 15 points in their last outing and that number improves to 12-1 O/U after allowing less than 14 points. Even with their #1 defense they'll have a hard time slowing down a well-prepared Drew Brees led offense this week as I expect the Saints to threaten the 30-point mark this week.
However, the Saints defense hasn't been able to slow down anyone so far this season as they've seen three of their five opponents score 30+ on them. In New Orleans' three road games this year they've allowed 37, 26 and 38 points and even without WR Calvin Johnson in the lineup for the Lions, this Detroit offense should break out of this mini-funk they're in and light up the scoreboard.
The Siants are 4-1 O/U after failing to cover the spread in their last outing and we are likely to see a back-and-forth shootout in Motown this weekend.
Pick #2: KC/San Diego Under 45.5 (-110)
San Diego enters Week 7 in top spot in the AFC with their 5-1 SU record and winners of five in a row. They managed to put aside a slow start in Oakland last week to beat the Raiders (31-28) and I believe we will see a much better defensive effort from the Chargers in their 2nd consecutive division game.
The good news for this play is the fact that San Diego is at home where they've allowed an average of 11.66 points per game so far this season. Against a Chiefs team that doesn't exactly have a plethora of big-play guys on offense, San Diego is primed to keep that points per game average quite low again this week.
KC was off last week and that extra rest and time to prepare for the #1 team in the conference will help their defense out tremendously. The last thing the Chiefs want to do this week is start trading score for score on the road with the Chargers because that's how you end up leaving town with an L next to your name. KC is 9-21-1 ATS in their last 30 after failing to cover the spread last time out and they tend to step up their defensive play with a 7-15-1 O/U mark in their last 23 against winning teams.
Bad blood will get this physical affair going and in what should be a close game throughout, I don't think we will see too many TD's scored.
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