NFL Betting Advice: Denver Broncos ATS Cheat Sheet
by George Monroy - 8/28/2014
The Denver Broncos are a regular-season monster. Peyton Manning has led the team to a 26-6 record over the last two years and earned a Super Bowl trip in the process. Most of the offseason, however, was filled with Manning chatter. Is he overrated? Can he win that elusive second Super Bowl ring? Can he ever really be considered as the greatest quarterback of all time?
While those questions do have merit when assessing Manning's legacy, for bettors they should have no bearing on how the Broncos should be viewed during the 2014 season. The five-time MVP has been one of the most consistent quarterbacks in the regular season over the last decade and can lead a team to 11 to 13 wins and cover 10 spreads without much effort. Let's take closer look at the 2014 Denver Broncos and go over a quick cheat sheet of things bettors need to know.
Denver Broncos Betting Cheat Sheet
ATS record: 21-14-1 over the last two seasons (playoffs included)
SU record: 26-6 (regular season)
Average margin of victory : 9.9 points in 2013; 11.1 points in 2012
Average point spread : 8.5 points in 2013; 5.5 points 2012
Totals record : 12-7 in 2013; 11-5-1 in 2012
Average points : 39 points in 2013; 30 points in 2012
Last three ATS losses : Seattle 43-8 L (Super Bowl), San Diego 24-17 W (playoffs), San Diego 27-20 L (Week 15, 2013)
Last three SU losses : Seattle (Super Bowl), San Diego (Week 15), New England (Week 12)
2014 Week 1 Lines : -7.5 points vs. Indianapolis, 55.5 total
Longest 2013 ATS streak : four straight ATS wins from Week 1 to Week 4
Manning's average wins since 2003 : 13.5 wins per season
Trouble teams : the Broncos have lost their last two regular-season games against the New England Patriots and are 0-3 ATS against the San Diego Chargers during their last three matchups, including the playoffs.
Trends are never guaranteed to continue over from year to year. However, as most NFL fans know, Manning and his teams tend to be the model of consistency. The quarterback has not won less than 10 games in a season since 2001 and has won less than 12 games only five times in his 16-year career.
If there were a safe bet in the NFL, Manning would have to be it. Sure, the trendy thing to do at the moment is question the legendary quarterback, but for bettors the wisest thing to do is not over think things and simply bet on Manning. Expect the Broncos to win a lot of games, score a lot of points and cover a lot of spreads this season.
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Read more articles by George Monroy
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