This is the time of the year in the NFL where a team is either in the playoffs or still fighting for a spot, or they are already making plans for next season. It is also the time of the year when backups are suddenly thrust into a starting role for one reason or the other. That is the case this Sunday with a pair of quarterbacks playing in completely different circumstances.
Brandon Weeden is expected to get the start for Houston this Sunday against Tennessee in the Texans' quest to win the AFC South, while Kellen Moore will get the call for Dallas in its game against Buffalo as the Cowboys continue to ride out the string. Bovada has decided to add some more action to both of these games with a pair of special NFL player props for each of these signal callers.
Free $60 in Member NFL Picks No Obligation Click Here
Brandon Weeden- Total Passing Yards Week 16
Last Sunday, Weeden got the call for an injured TJ Yates late in the first half and helped lead the Texans to a crucial 16-10 victory against Indianapolis that put them in sole possession of the lead in the AFC South at 7-7. He put the ball up 18 times in that game and completed 11 passes for 105 yards.
Bovada has set the "over/under" for Weeden's total passing yards this Sunday against the Titans at 245.5 with moneyline odds of -120 for both the over and under in this prop.
The last time we saw Weeden on an NFL playing field before this past Sunday was earlier this season as a member of the Dallas Cowboys. He got the call in Week 2 when Tony Romo went down with a shoulder injury and he proceeded to start the next three games for the Cowboys. The results were underwhelming to say the least with 665 yards passing and one touchdown throw against two interceptions and eight sacks. He was replaced by Matt Cassel and eventually released from the team.
Weeden is the third starter for Houston this season with Yates taking over for an injured Brian Hoyer before he tore up his knee in last Sunday's game. The Texans are ranked 18th in the NFL in passing with an average of 242.1 yards a game. They only improve to 16th when it comes to running the ball, so Weeden should get a chance to move the ball through the air this Sunday.
The Titans are just 3-11 on the year, but they could make things tough on Weeden with a defense that is ranked ninth in the league against the pass in allowing an average of 234 yards a game. This is definitely a must-win game for Houston to maintain its lead in the division, but I see the Texans getting it done on defense while Weeden carefully manages the game on offense. Go with the "under 245.5" in this player prop as he barely crosses the 200-yard mark in total passing yards.
Kellen Moore- Total Passing Yards Week 16
The quarterback carrousel in Dallas has turned its way to Kellen Moore as the next man up. The Cowboys never recovered from the loss of Romo (twice) due to injury and at 4-10 on the year all they can do is start planning for next year. Moore made his first appearance of the regular season in relief of a healthy Cassel in last week's 19-16 loss to the New York Jets. He went on to complete 15-of-25 attempts for 158 yards. One pass went for a touchdown and three other attempts went to the wrong team as interceptions.
Bovada has set the over/under for Moore's total passing yards at 210.5 for Sunday's road trip to Buffalo. The moneyline odds are set at -120 for both the over and under in this player prop.
It appears that Moore will be auditioning for the backup role in Dallas next season over the final two games, so it would be safe to assume that head coach Jason Garrett is likely to open up the playbook a bit to see what he can do. The good news is that Dez Bryant is expected to remain in the starting lineup and targets such as Terrance Williams and Jason Whitten should see quite a few balls come their way.
Buffalo is 6-8 and also riding out the string after getting torched for 319 passing yards and four touchdown throws in a 35-25 loss to Washington last Sunday. The Bills' defense fell to 27th in the NFL in average passing yards allowed (257.7) which helps set the stage for a solid play on the "over 210.5" in this player prop.
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
Most Recent NFL Handicapping Articles
- 2018 Dallas Cowboys Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- 2018 Buffalo Bills Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- 2018 Los Angeles Rams Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- 2018 Jacksonville Jaguars Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- 2018 NFL MVP Odds with Expert Betting Predictions
- 2018 New Orleans Saints Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- 2018 Pittsburgh Steelers Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
- 2018 Minnesota Vikings Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
- 2018 New England Patriots Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions