Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots Expert Betting Picks for Best Props on Board

by Chris Vasile - 1/13/2016

Kansas City Chiefs running back Spencer Ware

If the NFL Playoffs were a Hollywood movie, I do not think the opening acts could have been any more dramatic. All four Wild-Card games were off-the-charts crazy! Knile Davis' 106-yard opening kickoff touchdown got the party started and left Houston stunned and ultimately defeated. The street fight that followed in Cincinnati was like a scene straight out of Fight Club. The Bengals choked the game away in dramatic fashion, and it will take a while to live this playoff loss down. Good job, Adam Jones!

Since Saturday's games set the bar high, Sunday's games would be in tough to duplicate. The Seahawks left TCF Bank Stadium 10-9 victors after being held to zero points through three quarters. Their victory was in large part due to a Russell Wilson scramble and a Blair Walsh missed 22-yard field goal. That field goal would have won the game for Minnesota. As for the late game and last wild-card matchup, Green Bay claimed victory after falling behind 11-0. The offense got hot and made the league take notice of how well they can play when the offense is clicking.

Let's dive into some of the best prop bets for each game with some picks, predictions and analysis.

All odds can be found SportsBettingOnline.ag .

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots

Gillette Stadium, 4:35 p.m. EST. Jan. 16, 2016

The Chiefs finally have a playoff win under their belt for the first time since 1994. They did it in dominant style and were ready to go from opening kickoff. Thank you, Knile Davis! He took the opening kick off 106-yards to the house, and the Chiefs never looked back. They picked off Brian Hoyer four times and recovered a fumble. They put up only 314 yards of total offense, which might leave them behind the eight-ball with Tom Brady on the other sideline this weekend. The Patriots are rested after their bye week but still banged up on offense. They limp into the postseason on the heels of back-to-back losses to the Jets and Dolphins. "Tom Terrific" is looking for his fifth Super Bowl title and will have to go through a solid defense to even make the AFC Championship game.

Longest Field Goal Scored:

"Over" 44.5 -110, "Under" 44.5 -125

I predicted the same prop for the Seattle-Minnesota game, and Mother Nature let me down! While temperatures were freezing, it was not enough to deter teams from attempting 40+-yard field goal attempts. Each team made one field goal over 44 yards, which was surprising considering the shank-job Blair Walsh came up with from 22-yards when the game was on the line. Both kickers in this game are very good. But I think the coaches have the last say and will keep their offense on the field in manageable fourth downs or punt it away and play field position.

Pick: "Under" 44.5 -125

Tribet:

KC by 6 or more +333, New England by 6 or more -120, Any Other Result +200

I have no problem if you laugh at the statement I am about to make. I picked Kansas City to go to the Super Bowl. Anyways, moving on. I think this is a tough matchup for New England considering they have virtually a bunch of nobodies playing receiver. Rob Gronkowski should and will be double-covered. The Chiefs have linebackers with the ability to cover "Gronk". I think this entire game boils down to the KC offense. If Alex Smith and the offense do not self destruct, (I'm talking about you Washington, Minnesota and oh yeah, Cincinnati) they can put up enough points to keep this within five points and even sneak out of Foxboro with a second road playoff win in as many weeks.

Pick: Any Other Result +200

Shortest Touchdown Scored

"Over" 1.5 -110, "Under" 1.5 -110

The worse the weather is on Saturday in Foxboro, the more I like this pick. With the field-goal game virtually non-existent, both teams will be willing to gamble a bit more on fourth down. Both offenses should move slowly and more methodically than normal, considering the conditions of freezing rain and snow. I think both teams will rely on the run game to great effect and ultimately end up on the one-yard line. Ware and West for KC are big backs who can power in from the one-yard line, and I will the fate of this prop selection on their shoulders.

Pick: "Under" 1.5 -110

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