Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 12 NFL Betting Options
If you look back at Week 11, there were not very many games that are worthy of a re-watch. The Packers/Vikings game was one of them, and the Steelers/Chargers game was the other. Other than that, Week 11 came and went without a whimper, and perhaps that’s the calm before the storm we are hoping for as we approach Week 12. And more importantly, Thanksgiving Day football on Thursday. To all my American friends reading this piece, I hope your day is filled with great company, delicious food, some adult beverages and winning wagers.
As far as last week’s results go, we were on the wrong end of both games as the Dallas Cowboys couldn’t muster up more than nine points against the Chiefs and fell by 10, and the Seahawks fared no better, scoring just 13 to lose by 10 to the Cardinals. Let’s find a winner in Week 12.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Best Six-Point Teaser for Week 12.
Miami Dolphins +7.5 + New York Jets +8.5 (-120)
Risk: $120 to win $100
Let’s take a second to explain these spreads to those of you who are new around here. The Miami Dolphins are +1.5-point underdogs against the Carolina Panthers. By using a six-point teaser, you will push that spread up through the key numbers of three and seven and get them as an +7.5-point underdog. As for the Jets, they are +2.5-point underdogs against the Texans, and teasing them up using our six-point teaser method will take you through the key numbers of three, four and seven, and they would then be a +8.5-point underdog.
As per your selection on the Dolphins to stay within a touchdown of the Panthers, we think that the whole Cam Newton return to Carolina has been overblown. And while he did lead the Panthers to a win in his return to the lineup, the Cam of old showed up last week when they lost to the Washington Football Team. The Panthers do have Christian McCaffrey back in the lineup, but the offense still looks out of sorts. And with a road game coming up in Miami, we don’t see them being able to blow out this Dolphins team. The Dolphins, for as bad as they’ve looked at times, are rolling on a three-game winning streak, and both sides of the ball have shown up for them in a big way. They have given up nine, 10 and 17 points in those wins, and I expect a similar performance on their home soil on Sunday. The offense has done a great job at limiting the turnovers that plagued them in the first seven weeks. And with Tua Tagovailoa back under center, that gives the Fins the best chance to win this game outright, but most importantly for us, stay within the number.
In terms of the second leg of the teaser, you might want to plug your nose for this one. The Jets – yes, I’m talking about the 2-8 Jets, are more likely to win this game than they are to get blown out. The Jets have done nothing worth noting over the last three games (all losses), and the defense has given up 45, 45, and 24 points. Now they must go on the road to face a similar 2-8 Texans side that is just as bad as them. Don’t let the Texans’ win last week over the Titans fool you into thinking they are suddenly a good team and will run the table for the remainder of the year. The Texans simply caught the Titans in a good spot and took advantage of their opportunity. If you put both teams’ roster side by side to evaluate players and talent, surprisingly, I would take the Jets every single time. The Texans will not blow out the Jets, and the Jets have a good shot to win this game outright.
Denver Broncos +8.5 over Los Angeles Chargers: I don’t really like this option as much as the other two I chose on my main ticket. The Broncos only way to winning this game (and keeping it close) is by keeping the Chargers to around 17 total points. The Broncos’ offense simply isn’t built to go toe-to-toe with the Chargers’ offense. And if this game turns into a track meet, the Chargers will pull away late.
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