Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 5 NFL Betting Options
We roll into Week 5 of the National Football League with a hell of a lot more questions than answers. Yes, I understand it’s still early in the season, but I can’t help but think to myself why teams are playing a certain way, why teams are using players in a certain way, and if the refs still have no clue what’s going on or how to officiate a football game properly.
Perhaps the biggest question I have is what would the odds have been on the Arizona Cardinals to be the lone unbeaten team remaining in the NFL? Surely, it would have paid over 25/1, right? The Cards have been one of the best stories so far this season, and I’m excited to see if they can keep it up through this weekend when they take on another division foe in the San Francisco 49ers.
As for last week’s results, we ultimately lost our teaser to bring our record to just 2-1 on the season, but it just goes to show you why this way of betting teasers is the best method out there. Tampa was never going to cover the 7.5-point spread vs New England. They looked lethargic. However, we knew that at the end of the day, Tampa is better and would find a way to win. We got them at -1.5, which they just barely covered thanks to a last-second field goal. We got through the key number of three, and that’s the main takeaway from last week’s lost ticket. Let’s come back with a winner in Week 5.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Best Six-Point Teaser for Week 5.
Buffalo Bills +.8.5 & Denver +8.5 (-120)
Risk: $120 to win $100
Since it’s just Week 5, let me take a second to explain these spreads. The Buffalo Bills are 2.5-point underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs. By using a six-point teaser, you will bring that spread up through the key numbers of three and seven and get them as 8.5-point underdogs. As for the Broncos, they are 1.5-point underdogs against the Steelers, and teasing them upwards will get you through the key numbers of three and seven and make them 8.5-point dogs.
For what it’s worth, I do believe games that are played early on in this season can be considered a statement game. Especially if Team A (Buffalo) is coming off a brutal loss to Team B (Kansas City) in a big game the prior season (AFC Title Game). Buffalo will want nothing more than to show up to Arrowhead and show the Chiefs they are for real and to beat them not only to stock another win in the win column but to prove to themselves that they can go on the road and beat a very good Kansas City team. Should these two teams meet in the postseason again this year, a Bills’ win would boost the confidence of the team that they can in fact beat the Chiefs, and that will be very important for the team. Now, if they lose, the Bills won’t just forfeit the next potential playoff meeting, but the barrier will be in their minds that it’s near impossible to beat the Chiefs. What I’m saying is that this game means more to the Bills than it does to the Chiefs. And since I’m able to utilize a proper six-point teaser in this spot, I see the Bills keeping this game close and winning or losing by less than a touchdown. At the end of the day, this game comes down to the desire to win and which team’s defense I trust more. For me, that’s the Bills, and I see the Bills limiting the Chiefs and really frustrating the offense similar to what Tampa Bay did to them in the Super Bowl.
As far as the second leg of the teaser goes, the Broncos are who we thought they were last week, and that was a fraud of a 3-0 team. Those three wins came against teams that were a combined 0-9 heading into Week 4. The Broncos were exposed by the Ravens and were brought back down to earth. So, why am I backing them this week? Well, perhaps the only team worse than the Broncos is the Steelers. The Steelers’ offense is not capable of winning football games by blowing teams away, and I see the Broncos’ defense responding in a big way here and shutting down the Steelers. The Broncos do have question marks at quarterback, but the backup does have legit NFL experience, so I’m not too worried in that regard. Either way, I see this game being extremely low-scoring, and I see this game not being a blowout by the Steelers. This is a lot of points to be getting with what I perceive to be the better team, and we are all over it this Sunday.
Washington Football Team +1.5 to +2.5 over New Orleans Saints: This is a funny line because depending on which sportsbook you use; you can get anywhere from +1.5 to +2.5. By teasing the Football Team up, you’d be getting them at +7.5 or +8.5, depending on the line, and you are banking that momentum will carry over into this one from last week’s last-second win and that the Saints will be caught sleeping after blowing a big lead vs the Giants.
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