NFL Betting Predictions: Week 14 Opening Line Report and Picks
Week 13 in the National Football League could be broken into two completely different slates, which would have appeased both favorite and underdog bettors. Thursday night’s contest went in favor of the favorite, as did five of the seven games on the 1 p.m. card. The 4 p.m. card saw underdogs win three of the four games outright, before the favorite (Chiefs) took care of business in the Sunday night game. There are a handful of underdogs I have interest in as we enter Week 14, so hopefully, we are on the right end of the spectrum come Sunday night.
As far as last week’s results go, we went a solid 3-1 as the Chargers and Lions won outright as +2.5-point and +7-point underdogs, respectively. The Chiefs easily dispatched the Broncos and covered the -9.5-point spread, but the Bills let us down and fell short in a very ugly game. Let’s try and keep the momentum rolling into Week 14.
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Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs -9.5, 48.5
I enjoy telling anyone who will listen to me, that I called the Raiders season going down the toilet all the way back in Week 9 when they went on the road to New York and lost to a terrible Giants team. I had the Giants in that one. And at the time, the Raiders were 5-3 and in first place in the division. I said a slump was coming because the Raiders simply can’t have nice things. Since then, the Raiders are 1-4 in their last five games and find themselves on the outside of the playoffs looking in. Again. They lost to a terrible Washington team at home and now have to go on the road to play the Chiefs in Arrowhead with zero momentum on their side. The Chiefs may have struggled a bit offensively against the Broncos, but that’s because the Broncos’ defense is kind of good. The Raiders’ defense is the equivalent of Swiss Cheese, and I expect Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to have monster games in this one. I’m calling for the Chiefs to put up 30+ and win this game by at least 17 points.
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -9.5
Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos -8, 42
Last Sunday the stars finally aligned for the Lions, and they were able to get their first win in nearly a year. I told you to take them on the spread – which was never in question – and I had a little sprinkled on the moneyline for good measure. The Lions flat out tried to give the game away with bonehead coaching decisions late in the game (as has been the case for the entire season), but the Vikings are just that dumb and that bad on defense. Either way, I’ll take the last-second moneyline win and count my blessings. This week, I do not think the Lions will win straight up, but I do think the Broncos should never be an eight-point favorite against any team in this league. Maybe the Texans… but only maybe. The Lions showed last week that they can in fact move the football with some conviction and put up some points. The Broncos, on the other hand, are a mess offensively and were only able to manage nine points against the Chiefs. Once again, sometimes it’s about betting numbers and not teams, and eight points is way too many points to lay with the Broncos.
Pick: Detroit Lions +8
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals -3, 52
This game should be the game of the week as we have the 8-4 Los Angeles Rams taking on the 10-2 Arizona Cardinals in a crucial NFC West battle. The Rams finally got back in the win column last week against the lowly Jaguars, and that was to be expected. However, the fact that they looked good in putting up 37 points is the main takeaway. They got contributions from everyone on offense, and the defense played a really good and fundamentally sound 60 minutes of football. The Cardinals come into this game off a win at Chicago where they put up 33 points but somehow gave up 22 to the inept Bears’ offense. If they can’t figure that out in a hurry, they could be susceptible to giving up a big number to a Rams team that has a ton of firepower on offense. I know that this game is equally important to both teams, but I think the Rams need it a bit more than the Cardinals do, and I think they get it on the strengths of their defense and Matthew Stafford’s arm.
Pick: Los Angeles Rams +3
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