NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 14

by Devon Rymarchuk - 12/9/2021

The most noteworthy performances of week 13 included the following:

In a classic AFC East battle, the New England Patriots travelled to Buffalo Monday night. Bill Belichick proved once again why he is a football genius, as he consistently finds ways to win in any type of game script. The Patriots threw the ball only three times on Monday and were able to keep Josh Allen under lock, winning a gritty 14-10 football game. New England is now atop the AFC and have won seven in a row.

The Detroit Lions were able to finally get their first win of the season against divisional rival Minnesota Vikings. Jared Goff pulled off a game winning drive with less than two minutes to play to lead the Lions to victory. In a season where the Lions have been in many games, this win does not come at a huge surprise; they were due. For the Vikings, it was a pivotal loss for a team in a tough NFC playoff race.

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens luck finally ran out. The Pittsburgh Steelers pulled off a huge win to keep them alive in the AFC North picture. Things to consider in this matchup: Pittsburgh is extremely resilient, and the Baltimore Ravens showed they may not be as good as their record indicates. The Ravens have been flirting with disaster all season and could easily be .500 or below if it weren’t for late game dramatics.

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Key matchups of week are as followed:

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Spread -2.5 (Browns)

Pick Popularity 41%

Win Percentage 56%

Baltimore is trending downwards, and the Browns are coming off a much-needed bye week, which hopefully got their roster healthier. Picking the Browns would be an unpopular value pick this week. In a toss-up matchup, I like the Browns in this divisional rival game.

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

Spread +3 (Rams)

Pick Popularity 32%

Win percentage 42%

I know it was against the Jacksonville Jaguars, but I believe it was the game needed to get Matt Stafford and the Rams offense clicking on all cylinders again. The Cardinals have undoubtedly been the most consistent team in the NFL this season, but to beat a team as talented as the Rams twice in a season will be a tall task for Arizona Monday night. With only 32% of the public choosing the Rams, I believe you can get much needed points in your confidence pool choosing them upset the Cardinals on the road.

Note: If the Rams don’t win, the Cardinals will have a stranglehold on the NFC West and home field advantage going into the playoffs.

Buffalo Bills @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread +3.5 (Bills)

Pick Popularity 11%

Win percentage 38%

The Public has lost a lot of confidence in the Buffalo Bills since the beginning of the season. The Bills came into the season as basically a lock to win the AFC East, but opponents have been able to expose their one-dimensional offense this year. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, have been unbeaten at home this year and continue to be heavy Super Bowl favorites heading into the playoffs. This is the lowest the Bills have been picked to win in the past two seasons, and I think you should avoid ranking Tampa Bay near the top of your confidence pool. This matchup should be bottom three in your rankings, as I see a lot of value in the Buffalo Bills still.

New Orleans Saints @ New York Jets

Spread -5 (Saints)

Pick Popularity 88%

Win Percentage 67%

Seven other teams are being picked at a higher clip then the New Orleans Saints this week, and rightfully so; the Saints have struggled since losing Jameis Winston. With the return of Alvin Kamara against the tanking New York Jets, I can confidently move this matchup higher in my pool this week. The Jets are in the mix to be a high lottery pick once again, and this game is a must win for the Saints in a tight NFC playoff race. The Jets will not be able to force turnovers like the Cowboys did to the New Orleans last week; expect a blowout victory for the hungry Saints.

Week 1 performance from Devon: 68 points

Week 2 performance from Devon: 82 points

Week 3 performance from Devon: 95 points

Week 4 performance from Devon: 88 points

Week 5 performance from Devon: 102 points

Week 6 performance from Devon: 87 points

Week 7 performance from Devon: 65 points

Week 8 performance from Devon: 65 points

Week 9 performance from Devon: 67 points

Week 10 performance from Devon: 56 points

Week 11 performance from Devon: 71 points

Week 12 performance from Devon: 43 points

Week 13 performance from Devon: 84 points

My Confidence picks:

Win	Loss
14. New Orleans Saints	New York Jets
13. Green Bay Packers	Chicago Bears
12. Los Angeles Chargers	New York Giants
11. Seattle Seahawks	Houston Texans
10. Dallas Cowboys	Washington Football Team
9. Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders
8. Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions
7. Minnesota Vikings	Pittsburgh Steelers
6. Carolina Panthers	Atlanta Falcons
5. Tennessee Titans	Jacksonville Jaguars
4. Buffalo Bills	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3. Cleveland Browns	Baltimore Ravens
2. Los Angeles Rams	Arizona Cardinals
1. Cincinnati Bengals	San Francisco 49ers

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Pick:	KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -5.5
Start:	December 15, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #465 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) The Chiefs keep winning games and sooner or later one of those wins will come by a comfortable margin. I look for that to be this Sunday against a Browns team that is just playing out the string. Cleveland currently sits at 3- 10 and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their only win came against Pittsburgh in a snow game on a short week. All 4 of those losses by the Browns have come over the posted number for this game. Kansas City is better on both sides of the football, and I just do not see the Browns offense keeping pace. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and hockey. We will feature our World-Famous Nonconference Game of the Year in College Basketball on Saturday. This game has won 13 of the 15 years it has been in existence and it is a must have for any big game hunter. Read More Read Less

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