NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 14
A new week of NFL is around the corner, so here we are again with our NFL confidence pool picks for Week 14. As we enter the new week of NFL action, there are only five weeks remaining of the regular season, including this upcoming one. This means divisional games are more important than ever, as most of the league is still hunting for a playoff spot.
Let’s quickly review some key takeaways from last week, as we had a good week if you followed my pool picks. The Chargers, Dolphins, and Chiefs were really disappointing. These three teams started the game off on a good note and just couldn’t maintain the momentum. The Chiefs did make a push at the end but couldn’t hold on to the lead. The Commanders and Giants game ended in a tie, which always impresses me since ties are so rare. Lastly, Tom Brady had a magnificent comeback on Monday Night Football, sending a message to his division and the rest of the league that he still got that dawg in him.
So, without further hesitation, here are our week 14 NFL confidence pool picks. As a reminder, these will be ranked from strongest to weakest. All picks are straight up and don’t involve the spread so these picks can be valuable for NFL survivor pools and moneyline betting.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Kansas City Chiefs (-400) over Denver Broncos: 13 Points
The Chiefs have an incredible offense with big play potential, and that alone should be able to put the Broncos away. The Broncos are honestly one of the worst offensive teams I have seen in a long time. We saw them put up only nine points on the Ravens this past weekend. The Broncos struggle to find the end zone, and that has been their Achilles heel this season. The Chiefs will win this game.
Dallas Cowboys (-1400) over Houston Texans: 12 Points
There is no doubt in my mind that the Cowboys will win this game. In this matchup, one of the best teams in football is taking on the worst team in the league. The Texans are another team that struggles to score on offense and can’t find the red zone at a rate that’s good enough to keep up with the Cowboys. The Cowboys will dominate this matchup and come out with a win.
Minnesota Vikings (+115) over Detroit Lions: 11 Points
The Vikings have been playing well, and they will continue to do so in this matchup. The Lions are a very mediocre team that could potentially land in a wild card spot with some good luck. These two met up back in September, and it was quite an interesting matchup with the Vikings coming out victorious by just four points. Since then, both of these teams have been on two different roads, with the Vikings playing a high level of football on their way to clinching the division, while the Lions have been struggling to stay alive in the playoff race. I expect the Vikings to win here and advance to an 11-2 record, coming one game closer to clinching the NFC North.
Tennessee Titans (-190) over Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 Points
This is the first meeting between these two division rivals, and we all know what’s coming. The Titans are going to run the ball down the Jaguars throat until they force them to throw it. The Jaguars are one of those pesky teams that if you let them hang around too long and make them feel like they can win they will run with that attitude and give you a hard time. The Titans will handle business here as they are looking to secure the AFC South. Look for them to snap their two-game losing streak as they run into the Jaguars in a perfect get-back spot.
Buffalo Bills (-425) over New York Jets: 9 Points
Ahhh yes, another AFC East matchup. This has been one of the most interesting divisions in the NFL this season, as all the teams are still in the hunt and hold at least a .500 record. The Bills are the front runners to clinch the division, but the Jets can change that with a win here… but they won’t. The Jets have a legit defense but some offensive woes that they need to urgently address this upcoming off-season. The Jets shocked the NFL when they pulled a win away from the Bills a few weeks ago, which was crazy to see as they were big underdogs in that matchup. I expect the Bills to use this as a revenge game and beat up the Jets. The Bills walk into this game as huge favorites, and it would be a shocker if they lost. Josh Allen looks healthy, and he destroyed the Patriots defense last week. Expect a similar outcome here.
Las Vegas Raiders (-212) over Los Angeles Rams: 8 Points
The Rams have been a mess this season, and they completely fell off after losing Cooper Kupp and Matthew Stafford due to injuries. The Raiders are by far a healthier team, which is key for them as they have been very unlucky this season. On paper, the Raiders have a really good team, but they just couldn’t catch a break early in the season, and the offense wasn’t fluid. The Raiders have looked better in recent weeks as they are currently on a three-game winning streak. Look for the Raiders to maintain their momentum against the injury riddled Rams and come out with a win here.
Philadelphia Eagles (-300) over New York Giants: 7 Points
“The Giants are a good football team this year”. That’s a sentence that I thought I would never say. They have played some solid football under the new coaching staff, and it has been impressive. However, the Eagles are by far a better team. Expect them to win this game as they are legit Super Bowl contenders. The Eagles will bring their A-game to the field this Sunday as they need to bury the Giants in order to increase their chances of clinching the NFC East. This rivalry has presented us with some crazy moments throughout the years, and I love it. I expect to see another great game, with the Eagles coming out victorious.
Cincinnati Bengals (-250) over Cleveland Browns: 6 Points
Deshaun Watson has returned for the Browns, but it's going to take some time for this offense to gel as he will need to develop on field chemistry with his teammates. I expect this to be a tough matchup for the Browns, as the Bengals are looking healthier and were able to defeat the Chiefs this past Sunday. This is a very important game for the Bengals, as they are neck and neck with the Ravens for the AFC North. With Lamar Jackson out for the Ravens, the Bengals will walk into this game versus the Browns ready to win. A win here could potentially get them the first place in the division. They hold a great advantage over the Browns as they have a better passing game. With Ja’Marr Chase back in the lineup, the Bengals are a better passing team, which allows them to spread the field and open up the running game for Joe Mixon.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+160) over San Francisco 49ers: 5 Points
Tom Brady had one of the best finishes to a game this past Monday against the Saints. He led the charge for a 13-point comeback to prove that he’s still That Guy. The 49ers come into this game at a disadvantage as Jimmy Garoppolo left the game early last week due to suffering a broken foot. This is a huge disadvantage as the quarterback position has been the Kryptonite for this 49ers team. Garoppolo was the best man for the job. And with him leading the charge, they looked like real Super Bowl contenders. I expect Brady to lead the Bucs to win here, as he will always hold a grudge against the 49ers, his hometown team, for not drafting him back in the day.
Miami Dolphins (-170) over Los Angeles Chargers: 4 Points
The Dolphins are too explosive for the Chargers to keep up. This team can strike fast and at any moment. One little drag route can turn into a 60-yard touchdown in the matter of seconds. The Dolphins will win this game as head coach Mike McDaniel will have a mastermind scheme to shut down the Chargers. The Chargers are a great first half team. However, they can’t finish games in the second half. There might be some conditioning issues here, but for the life of me I just don't get it. This is one of the worst second half teams in the NFL, and you can’t back a team like the Chargers against an explosive Dolphins team.
Seattle Seahawks (-190) over Carolina Panthers: 3 Points
The Seahawks should win this game no doubt. They have a good offense and a legitimate chance of winning the NFC West as the 49ers lost Garoppolo to an injury. This will give them the needed motivation to win this game against the Panthers. I have this game ranked so low because the Panthers have a defense that can play above average at times, which could surprise us here and could help them pull off an upset. However, I doubt that. They have major quarterback issues as they have cycled through PJ Walker, Sam Darnold, and Baker Mayfield this season; this team is a total mess. I will continue to fade them in spots like this.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-145) over Baltimore Ravens: 2 Points
Lamar Jackson is out with a sprained PCL. This is crucial in this matchup as this is an important game for the Ravens as they are tied for first place in the AFC North with the Bengals. The Steelers have a stingy defense and can make it difficult for good teams to gain any momentum on offense. The Ravens offense hasn't been great this season. And with the loss of Jackson, things are just going to be a little more difficult. The deciding factor in this decision is Jackson's injury, as this team needs him to win games. Kenny Pickett it's a developing quarterback playing on a team that has nothing to lose right now. There is no real pressure on him to win this game, so he is playing with a lot less weight on his shoulders than Tyler Huntley is this upcoming weekend.
New England Patriots (-120) over Arizona Cardinals: 1 Point
The Patriots have a defense that is going to make it difficult for the Cardinals to score. There are major concerns with this Cardinals team, as Kyler Murray has been extremely disappointing this season. He has failed to make the jump in development that we all expected in his third year in the league, and he blames the coaching staff for his lack of productivity. There is obvious suspicion to believe that this team is not on the same page as a whole, and Bill Belichick will find any weakness that this Cardinals team has and exploit it. Deciding a winner for this game was tough because of the Patriots' woes on offense as well. Mac Jones looked extremely unhappy with the running scheme that they ran last week. I will fade the Cardinals as I refuse to back Murray against any good defense.
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