NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 5
Last week was great when it came to backing the favorites to win. There weren’t any surprises at all. The only game where I felt like we got cheated on was the Rams game. The Rams were awful on offense. Matthew Stafford looked like a blind mouse trying to make plays on the field.
My favorite underdog wins of the week were the Jets and the Cowboys. The Cowboys are looking solid, while the Jets were able to steal a game due to the poor offense the Steelers are running.
A new week of the NFL is in our near future. So, Without further hesitation, here is our week three NFL confidence pool picks. As a reminder, these will be ranked from strongest to weakest. All picks are straight up and don’t involve the point spread, so these picks can be valuable for NFL survivor pools and moneyline betting.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Minnesota Vikings (-320) over Chicago Bears: 16 points
The Bears are a horrible football team, and the Vikings have a prolific offense with more weapons than the Bears can account for. The Bears can’t afford to give up many scores early as they have a poor offensive line to combine with a poor receiving corps. The Vikings will Dominate this game.
Buffalo Bills (-900) over the Pittsburgh Steelers: 15 Points
The Bills are the best all-around team in football. The Steelers have a poor offense and couldn’t manage to pull a win away from the Jets. The Steelers have been a part of some ugly football games this year. I don’t expect them to do much in this game. The Bills are favored by two touchdowns. Just the current line should tell you how bad this game is expected to be. This game isn’t No. 1 because the Steelers do have a good defense and upsets can happen.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-400) over Atlanta Falcons: 14 Points
The Buccaneers walk away with this win as their key players have returned to the field. The Chiefs and Packers were a tough matchup for the Buccaneers as they were short-handed. This will be the first time the Buccaneers come close to having a full roster on the field. I expect Tom Brady to use this game as a tune-up to get the offenses rolling for weeks to come. Also, Tom Brady has historically dominated the Falcons.
New Orleans Saints (-235) over Seattle Seahawks: 13 points
The Seattle Seahawks can’t play against good defenses. The only good defense they beat was the Broncos. That happened due to the multiple turnovers on the goal line by the Broncos. The Saints have a good defense and a decent offense. I expect the Saints to pull the win here as Jameis Winston will get the job done, as long as he doesn’t turn the ball over.
Philadelphia Eagles (-235) over Arizona Cardinals: 12 Points
The Eagles are the only undefeated team in the league. They have quickly emerged as favorites to win the NFC. Jalen Hurts is playing out his mind right now. The Eagle’s defense is also forcing turnovers and putting intense pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The Eagles will keep Kyler Murray off-balance and force him to throw into double teams while on the run. The Eagles are taking this game with no doubt.
Kansas City Chiefs (-360) over Las Vegas Raiders: 11 Points
The Chiefs are still a solid team. They can obviously put up points, even on good defenses, as we last this past weekend against the Buccaneers. The Raiders have a decent run defense, but their pass defense is horrible. The Chiefs will gut this defense as the Raiders are playing below their expectations. This matchup is always exciting, and Patrick Mahomes always puts on a show.
Miami Dolphins (-176) over New York Jets: 10 Points
The Dolphins are too good to lose to this Jets team. We know that Tua Tagovailoa Isn’t going to play this weekend. The Dolphins are lucky to have Teddy Bridgewater, who is the best backup QB that you can have at the moment. Bridgewater is still capable of being QB1, and he’s going to prove that against the Jets this weekend. He almost pulled off a win against the Bengals after taking over in the second quarter last week. The Dolphins are also running on an extra couple of days of rest, so this is a perfect situation for them to dominate.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-330) over Houston Texans: 9 points
I have quickly become a fan of this Jaguars team. Trevor Lawrence and the coaching staff have been executing week after week. They have sent a message to their division rivals and the rest of the league that they are here to compete this year. The Texans have been one of the worst teams in the league, and I expect them to continue this trend. The Texans are winless, and they will remain winless against the fine-tuned Jaguars team that has been doing all the right things.
Tennessee Titans (-138) over Washington Commanders: 8 points
The Titans are looking strong when they can establish the run game. The Commanders are just not playing good football. They competed against the Cowboys, keeping it close in the first half, but they let the game get away from them. The Commander's defense can’t hang around for a long time; they get exposed frequently, especially without the presence of a Chase Young. The Titans win this game as they will run the ball down the field with their ground-and-pound tactics.
Green Bay Packers (-375) over New York Giants: 7 points
The Packers have a solid defense with an outstanding secondary. The Giants play best when they make short passes and let their receivers gain yards after the catch. Eventually, they will have to throw the ball deep as they will need to catch up since they’ll be playing from behind as Aaron Rodgers historically dominates weak defenses like this. The Packers win this game by more than one score.
San Francisco 49ers (-275) over Carolina Panthers: 6 points
The 49ers have been impressive since Jimmy Garappolo took over under center. I have always loved him as a starter due to his apprenticeship under Tom Brady. We saw that he gave them a serious shot to win. The Panthers are still struggling and don’t have offensive firepower. Let’s look for the 49ers to win this game as they will dominate both sides of the ball.
Indianapolis Colts (+146) over Denver Broncos: 5 points
Another ugly football game on the slate. This game features two QBs who had great resumes with their previous teams last season but don’t look too hot this year. The defenses on both sides of the ball are good, and it will be a classic Thursday night showdown. There will be a lot of running plays in this game, and the Colts have a better backfield so they will have my pick in this game.
Los Angeles Chargers (-215) over Cleveland Browns: 4 points
The Chargers have a great pass rush and a good secondary. I don’t expect Jacoby Brissett to be great against the Chargers. The Chargers also have a better passing game than the Browns. If the Browns get up, they can dominate the game with their backfield. Look for the Chargers to dominate with the passing attack and then use the pass rush to bring in heat. Let’s roll with the Chargers in this game.
Dallas Cowboys (+180) over Los Angeles Rams: 3 Points
Cooper Rush has been playing extremely well, and so have the rest of the Cowboys. The Rams have been playing extremely mediocre. They’re not the same team from last year, and it shows. The Cowboys offense is more than efficient than ever, and they have an amazing offensive line. Aaron Donald will be held in check, and Rush will find many of his offensive weapons for productive yardage. The Cowboys have my pick in this game.
New England Patriots (-166) Over Detroit Lions: 2 points
This is a tough game to pick a winner in. I’m riding with the better defense that happens to have the home-field advantage. The Patriots are solid at home but have some key injuries with big question marks. The Lions have the better offense, but they are missing a lot of players due to injury. There is no idea if they’ll play this Sunday. So, let’s back the home team here.
Baltimore Ravens (-178) over Cincinnati Bengals: 1 Point
The Ravens are on fire; they almost took down the Bills this past Sunday. The Bengals are also a good team with a solid defense and a decent secondary. I’m picking the Ravens here just because of the quality of play through the first couple of weeks of the season. The Bengals have been underachieving and don’t look fine-tuned. The offense has been looking rusty. They beat a Miami team last week that lost their QB1 due to an injury in the first half. This game is a coin flip, and there’s no idea if the Bengals make everything click this week or if the Ravens just run through them.
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