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Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 14: Basic Strategy Teasers

by Mike Allen - 12/3/2025

Best NFL teaser bets Week 14 Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers

From Thanksgiving through the end of Sunday, Week 13 in the NFL was the best slate for betting underdogs that we’ve seen all year. This was on the heels of a few weeks where the betting favorites did quite well.

My Thanksgiving Day picks, much like your Tia’s turkey, were roasted to a crisp. For you Cowboy and Packer fans, it was a beautiful day, assuming you bet on your team. For the rest of us, it was a rough week.

Don’t even get me started on the Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans game. The referees typically do an incredible and 99% thankless job, but that was not their best showing.

The parity of the league reared its ugly/handsome head in Week 13. Hopefully, you were on the right side of it. Take the Detroit Lions, for example. A lot of people lost money on that game.

It screamed a “Bounce back/revenge” spot, and even though the team statistics in their game mirrored each other at a historical level, the Lions lost by a touchdown.

One bounce here or there, though, and the Lions could have easily covered the 2.5-point spread. So for those people telling you that the Green Bay Packers moneyline was the play to make, they’re leaving out what was never going to lose, betting the Packers as a teaser leg.

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What is a Teaser?

A teaser is a specific type of parlay wager. The person making the bet can manipulate the betting line in their favor by adding 4-12 points, or sometimes more, to the spread.

You can tease different sports, but remember that we mentioned the NFL's parity. A teaser is using said parity to work for us instead of against us.

Of course, your teaser won't pay out as much as if you just bet a regular parlay. Finding the right time to bet a teaser used to be difficult until a man named Stanford Wong came along and developed a basic strategy.

What is a Basic Strategy Teaser

Part of the basic strategy is to tease only NFL games. They’re more competitive than college football on average. We also only want to do two-leg teasers, as it can get out of hand with more than that, and we would be playing right into the sportsbooks’ trap of exposing our greed.

Also, we want only to use a 6-point teaser, not 4 or 5 or 12, only 6.

We take those 6 points not just to but through the key numbers of 3, 6, and 7. A key number represents the likeliest margin of victory. The point differential of 3 is the most common in the NFL, followed by 7 and 6. Over the past few years, however, 6 has become equally as key as 7. 

To do this, we look for underdogs with betting odds of (+1.5) to (+2.5) and favorites of (-7.5) to (-8.5). After giving them the 6 points, we either have an underdog pushed above a touchdown to (+7.5) to (+8.5) or a betting favorite teased down below a field goal to (-1.5) to (-2.5).

Potential Week 14 NFL Teaser Games

Washington Commanders (+1.5) at Minnesota Vikings (-1.5) Total: 42

It looks like the Minnesota Vikings are going to go back to J.J. McCarthy this week after the Max Brosmer experiment blew up in their face, losing 26-0 to the Seahawks.

The Commanders, conversely, played their best game in two months on Sunday night, covering the spread but losing in overtime as they failed a 2-point conversion for the win.

I do like Washington here as a potential teaser leg at (+7.5), but let’s see if we have anything that looks better.

Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5) Total: 47.5

The Jags have quietly worked their way to the top of the AFC South. This matchup, though, with the Colts, will decide 1st place in the division. Indy has to be upset after the calls that went against them on Sunday, so I’m thinking they will come out with something to prove.

That said, this is a big game anyway. I don’t mind Jacksonville, but I may prefer betting against the Vikings than the Colts.

Denver Broncos (-7.5) at Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5) Total: 40.5

The Las Vegas Raiders are worse than the Titans. They're a joke at this point, and I have Denver blowing them out by two scores. Taking the Broncos down to (-1.5) is a no-brainer.

Los Angeles Rams (-8) at Arizona Cardinals (+8) Total: 48

The Rams already had the trap game that they lost at Carolina last week. It’s back on the road again this week, though, as they travel south to play the Cardinals for the first time this year.

I’m looking at the numbers from Arizona, and their previous two losses to the Bucs and Jags could have easily been wins.

The Rams should roll here, but Arizona is playing complementary football right now.

Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) at Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5) Total: 40.5

The Chargers appear to be playing better, but they just beat the Raiders. A win is a win, but let's not forget that they lost 35-6 to the Jags a week prior. We have a low total, which is favorable as the tease counts for more, but I'm staying away from this one.

Week 14 Basic Strategy Teaser Pick

Denver Broncos (-1.5) and Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5): -125

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