2025 Los Angeles Rams Season Win Total Picks

The Rams are a big buzz team entering the 2025 season. They followed a surprise 10-win playoff season in 2023 with 10 more wins and a division title in 2024. Now the assumption is that the team, with one of the league’s youngest rosters, will continue to ascend and threaten a third Super Bowl trip in the McVay Era.
I have a bigger question about the Rams heading into 2025.
Is this team any good?
Los Angeles wasn’t in the Top 12 in either total offense or defense last year. They were 20th or worse in scoring, rushing offense and defense, and passing defense. They were No. 25 in third down conversions on offense and No. 18 on defense and they were outside the Top 20 in red zone offense.
So what do these guys do well, really?
They do have the advantage of having Sean McVay as their head coach. And McVay has guided the Rams past their Las Vegas season win total in six of their last eight years (and four of the last five).
I don’t know if that is going to be enough to justify the hype, though, even if I’m not in a hurry to bet against McVay.
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LOS ANGELES RAMS 2025 OFFENSE
The Rams are solely reliant on Matt Stafford and his 37-year-old back. Stafford has been on a pretty predictable pattern since 2017. He is healthy and plays well for two years and then misses half of the season the third year. And after two consecutive years with 15 or more starts Stafford could be due for a fold like he experienced in 2022 and 2019.
Jimmy Garoppolo seems like a reliable backup. But he isn’t.
The Rams swapped out broken down Cooper Kupp for Davante Adams this offseason. Yet, when was the last time you remember a late-in-his-career wide receiver switching teams and having a major impact on a winning team?
Kyren Williams has been excellent the past two years and just locked up a lucrative second contract. Williams, and second-year back Blake Corum, will be running behind an offensive line that brought in journeymen Coleman Shelton, D.J. Humphries and David Quessenberry in the offseason.
Basically, if anything happens to Stafford or Puka Nacua this offense is in serious trouble.
LOS ANGELES RAMS 2025 DEFENSE
Finishing No. 4 in red zone defense and only allowing touchdowns on 47.5 percent of trips inside of the 20 saved the Rams defense last year. Other than that, Los Angeles wasn’t anything better than mediocre in any area on the defensive side of the ball.
The Rams are absurdly young on the defensive line. Free agent acquisition Poona Ford is the only player on the two-deep with more than two years of NFL experience. And two more rookie mid-round picks are expected to produce up front this season.
Jared Verse is a stud at outside linebacker. But that’s really it at the second level. And their top seven players in the secondary are the exact same guys that were No. 20 in passing yards allowed and No. 28 in touchdown passes allowed last season.
Chris Shula is their defensive coordinator for the second straight year. I ask you: other than Don, name me one football coach with the last name “Shula” that wasn’t complete and total trash.
LOS ANGELES RAMS 2025 SCHEDULE
Sun, Sep 7 vs Houston Texans 4:25 p.m.
Sun, Sep 14 @ Tennessee Titans 1:00 p.m.
Sun, Sep 21 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1:00 p.m.
Sun, Sep 28 vs Indianapolis Colts 4:05 p.m.
Thu, Oct 2 vs San Francisco 49ers 8:15 p.m.
Sun, Oct 12 @ Baltimore Ravens 1:00 p.m.
Sun, Oct 19 @ Jacksonville (London) 9:30 a.m.
Week 8 BYE
Sun, Nov 2 vs New Orleans Saints 4:05 p.m.
Sun, Nov 9 @ San Francisco 49ers 4:25 p.m.
Sun, Nov 16 vs Seattle Seahawks 4:05 p.m.
Sun, Nov 23 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8:20 p.m.
Sun, Nov 30 @ Carolina Panthers 1:00 p.m.
Sun, Dec 7 @ Arizona Cardinals 4:25 p.m.
Sun, Dec 14 vs Detroit Lions 4:25 p.m.
Thu, Dec 18 @ Seattle Seahawks 8:15 p.m.
Sun, Dec 28 vs Atlanta Falcons TBD
Sun, Jan 3/4 vs Arizona Cardinals TBD
LOS ANGELES RAMS 2025 SEASON PICKS AND PREDICTIONS
I don’t think that the Rams are the dominant team that they are being portrayed as. Yes, when they are healthy and at their best they can beat anyone in the league. And Sean McVay is a true savant that gives them a strategic edge in most instances.
There are holes, though. The Rams started just 1-4 last year and were only 4-5 in mid-November before their schedule softened and they won six of their final eight games, with five of those wins come against dregs like the Patriots, Saints and Jets.
Los Angeles also beat their Pythagorean wins expectation by two full games last year, showing that they were closer to an 8-9 team than the 10-7 group they ended up as.
The NFC West is one of the most parity-driven divisions in the league. It would not surprise me if any of the four teams won the title this year. All NFC West teams have easy schedules because they get to crossover against the AFC and NFC South, but the Rams also have to take on the Eagles, Lions and Ravens by virtue of their first-place finish last season.
The juice on the ‘over’ at 9.5 wins is too heavy to warrant a play on the Rams. I wouldn’t touch this number, but if I had to I would take the ‘under’ simply because of the plus-money value.
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