NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 9

Week 8 was a week of salvation for Jets fans as they grabbed a thrilling 39-38 victory from the Bengals, but it will likely be the week that costs them the first pick in the 2026 draft. Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers got to battle his executioner, Packers QB Jordan Love, and youth was served once again as Love went 29-37-360 and 3 TD tosses. The New York Giants were hit with the playoff version of Philly's RB Saquon Barkley, who rattled off 65 of his 150 rushing yards on the first play of the game, his longest touchdown run of the season. He added 4 receptions for 24 yards and a touchdown before he left the game with a groin injury.
We had a good, but not great, week's worth of results, going 10-3 for 79 points out of the possible 91. We lost 5 points with the Falcons, as Miami's defense looked like the "Killer B's" from the early 80s, 4 points with the 49ers, and 3 points on our long shot pick of New Orleans over Tampa Bay.
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14 points – Los Angeles Chargers over Tennessee Titans. The Chargers ride high into Nashville, exploiting Tennessee's offensive struggles with a dominant defense that forces turnovers. Justin Herbert dissects the secondary, building an early lead and cruising to a statement road win against a reeling Titans squad. Pick: Chargers
13 points – Detroit Lions over Minnesota Vikings. Detroit enters this NFC North clash riding momentum after handling business in its previous outing. The Lions unleash a potent rushing attack against Minnesota's vulnerabilities, generate big plays through the air, and force errors to secure a critical divisional win. Pick: Lions
12 points – Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers. Green Bay dominates at home against a struggling Carolina team, with their balanced attack overwhelming the Panthers' defense. Jordan Love connects on deep threats, while the front seven controls the line for a comfortable win. Pick: Packers
11 points – Los Angeles Rams over New Orleans Saints. The Rams return home fresh off a win, ready to capitalize on momentum against an inconsistent Saints squad dealing with injuries. Los Angeles' aerial assault targets coverage gaps, complemented by timely defensive stops, leading to another strong performance. Pick: Rams
10 points – New England Patriots over Atlanta Falcons. New England hosts Atlanta, leveraging an elite defense to disrupt the Falcons' rhythm. The Patriots' offense finds efficiency in key spots, turning short fields into scores and extending their strong early-season form. Pick: Patriots
9 points – Indianapolis Colts over Pittsburgh Steelers. The Colts channel their top-seed momentum into a gritty AFC win at home against Pittsburgh. Indy's rushing attack overwhelms the Steelers' front, while the defense pressures the pocket, forcing turnovers in a pivotal matchup. Pick: Colts
8 points – Houston Texans over Denver Broncos. Houston exploits Denver's road challenges at home, with emerging talent on both sides generating explosive plays. The Texans contain the Broncos' offense for a hard-fought victory, keeping pace in the AFC South. Pick: Texans
7 points – Chicago Bears over Cincinnati Bengals. Chicago carries rising confidence into a road matchup against a Bengals squad hampered by key absences. Caleb Williams distributes the ball with precision, exploiting Cincinnati's defensive gaps while the Bears' ground game sets the tempo. On the other side, Chicago's defense generates consistent pressure and limits explosive plays to secure a calculated upset. Pick: Bears
6 points – Las Vegas Raiders over Jacksonville Jaguars. The Raiders lean on defensive improvements to control the trenches against Jacksonville at home. Las Vegas forces turnovers and mixes runs with passes, pulling away in the second half for a West Coast triumph. Pick: Raiders
5 points – Dallas Cowboys over Arizona Cardinals. Dallas asserts dominance in primetime at home, with a balanced attack shining in Jerry World. The Cowboys' stars contain the Cardinals' threats and clinch with late-game execution in a projected shootout. Pick: Cowboys
4 points – New York Giants over San Francisco 49ers. In an upset pick, the Giants harness home energy to surprise a cross-country traveling 49ers team plagued by injuries. New York's defense disrupts rhythms early, while the offense capitalizes on mismatches for a bold win. Pick: Giants
3 points – Washington Commanders over Seattle Seahawks. Washington edges this Sunday night tilt at home, leveraging a stout front to stifle Seattle's attack. The Commanders' young unit creates turnovers, tipping the scales in a close contest against a hot Seahawks squad. Pick: Commanders
2 points – Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills. Kansas City asserts itself in this AFC heavyweight rematch on the road, with Patrick Mahomes orchestrating precise drives. The Chiefs' defense bends but holds, forcing field goals and sealing a low-confidence win given Buffalo's home strength. Pick: Chiefs
1 point – Baltimore Ravens over Miami Dolphins. Baltimore returns Lamar Jackson for this Thursday's opener, capitalizing on athleticism to pull away. But Miami's home vibes and recent momentum make this the riskiest pick on a short week. Pick: Ravens
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