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Top Super Bowl Contenders: Betting Odds and Expert Predictions

by Spencer Toth - 11/27/2025

Top Super Bowl contenders for 2026 Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams

There are six weeks left in the NFL regular season, and now is the perfect time to make your Super Bowl bets. There is still plenty of value on all the contenders, but that may not be the case as the path to the Super Bowl becomes clearer for the top teams. The Rams and Eagles are the only two teams with shorter than +1000 Super Bowl odds, while another nine franchises are all between +1000 and +1500 at this stage of the season. The right pick now could return a massive reward in February, and these four teams stand out as the top plays to make before their odds shorten. 

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Los Angeles Rams +440

The Rams have emerged as the outright favorite to win the Super Bowl, but there is still plenty of value at +440. Los Angeles sits on top of the NFC with a clear path to the No. 1 seed and the valuable bye that goes with it. The Panthers and Cardinals are on tap in the next two weeks, then they close out the year against the Falcons and another against the tanking Cardinals. A 5-1 or even 4-2 will likely be enough to clinch the top seed, and their odds will plummet into the +300 range when that happens. 

On the field, the Rams have been the best team in the league this season. Matthew Stafford has shot up the MVP rankings and is now the outright favorite, and it’s hard to argue with his place on the list. He has thrown 30 touchdowns and two interceptions this season, and has strung together an incredible 25 straight touchdown passes since his last pick. A strong offensive line, coupled with talented receivers down the field, certainly helps, but Stafford has been making accurate throws all season long. Puka Nacua and Davante Adams are one of the best 1-2 punches in the league, while Kyren Williams is incredibly reliable in the red zone. On defense, the Rams have allowed a league-low 16.3 PPG this season and have been incredibly effective on third down.

Sean McVay knows how to get the best out of his players, and the Rams have a unique blend of veteran talent and promising young players on their roster. That combination has allowed them to load up on talent with cheap rookie deals, while splashing some cash for proven gamechangers. Jared Verse won defensive rookie of the year last season, with teammate Braden Fiske finishing third. The importance of rookie contracts cannot be overstated in the modern-day NFL, and the Rams are in pole position to capitalize. Los Angeles’ window won’t be open for very long, but if Stafford wants another Super Bowl, this will be his best chance to get it. 

Seattle Seahawks +1100

The Seahawks will likely be condemned to a Wild Card spot thanks to their placement alongside the Rams, but there is still plenty of value at +1100. Seattle has been dominant on both sides of the ball, and the stunning play from Jaxson Smith-Njigba has been turning heads around the league. We all know what Sam Darnold has done during his previous playoff berths, but this year feels different in Seattle. The Seahawks aren’t asking him to do too much with the ball, and he is trusting his playmakers to make plays down the field. Seattle doesn’t have many elite receiving options outside of Smith-Njigba, but they frankly don't have to. He leads the league in receiving yards by more than 250 yards, with 21 big plays (20+ yards) this season. Seattle does have former Super Bowl MVP Cooper Kupp as their WR2, and he will be leaned on in the postseason. Kupp brings a different skill set to the Seattle offense, and once you add in Darnold’s willingness to lean on his tight ends, the Seahawks have a well-rounded passing attack. On the ground, Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet have been an excellent duo. While fantasy managers will not be happy with Walker III’s lack of red zone touches, the reality is that a strong run game is the backbone behind Darnold’s success. 

On defense, Seattle does a great job at stuffing the run, thanks to another talented generation of linebackers in Seattle. They are some of the hardest tacklers in the league, and their ability to take away runs up the gut consistently puts their opponents in third-and-long situations. They have 12 players with at least one full sack this year, and it is not as if they have relied on turnovers to find defensive success. Their four forced fumbles are the third fewest in the league this season, as the Seahawks have relied on steady physical play to succeed. Seattle still has the Vikings, Falcons, and Panthers left on their schedule, and a huge home game against the Rams. It feels odd to take two teams in the same division to win the Super Bowl, but one of these sides will finish with the top NFC seed and see their odds drop significantly. Seattle was one of my pre-season Super Bowl picks, and their impressive play still makes them a buy at +1100.

Baltimore Ravens +1200

The Ravens' 1-5 start feels like a distant memory, as Baltimore has won five straight games to sit on top of the AFC North. Lamar Jackson will always give this team a chance to win, and this feels like the year Baltimore may finally get over the hump. Buffalo and Kansas City both have serious flaws, and I am not quite ready to take the Colts and Broncos seriously. Baltimore is loaded with talent on both sides of the ball, and their early-season adversity has actually set it up nicely for a deep playoff run. The top seed is out of reach for the Ravens with five losses, but they are still in pole position to win their division and secure the home playoff game that comes with it. 

On offense, Baltimore has one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the league in front of the most physical running back in the NFL. Jackson and Derrick Henry are a truly frightening duo, and it is hard to imagine anyone slowing them down in the playoffs. A few bad breaks and defensive collapses cost the Ravens early on, but their defense has shored up, and they are more responsible with the football on offense. Henry had three fumbles in the last two seasons combined, then fumbled the ball three times in the first three weeks of this season. That woke him up in a big way, and there are really no flaws with this Ravens roster. They have the elite quarterback they need for a deep run, a balanced offense, and a punishing defense. The Ravens have allowed fewer than 20 points in six straight games, and that is always a recipe for success with Lamar and Henry on the other side of the ball. A pair of games still to come against Joe Burrow and the Bengals is unlucky scheduling, but the Ravens still control their own destiny with a pair against the Steelers. This could be the best price we get on Baltimore for the rest of the year, and a big primetime showing on Thanksgiving will only make this +1200 wager age even better.

New England Patriots +1400

The 2024 quarterback class may go down as one of the best of all time. Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, and Bo Nix were the big names in their rookie years, but those showings pale in comparison to what Drake Maye has done this season. Maye is second in MVP odds heading into Week 13, and was the outright favorite before Stafford turned it up to another level. The Patriots have the longest odds among the other contenders, and that is hard to justify with how Maye and the whole team have been playing. New England has won nine games in a row, and they have a firm grip on the AFC East with a two and a half game lead over the Bills. Not only that, but they are the only team with double digit wins this season, and a soft schedule down the stretch puts them in a great spot to secure the No. 1 seed in the AFC. 

Maye’s 21-6 TD-INT ratio is solid, but the real eye-catcher is his 110.7 QBR this season. Maye has been able to sit in the pocket and throw with incredible accuracy, something New England hasn’t seen since Tom Brady. Comparing Maye to Brady at this stage of his career may seem like a stretch, but his ability to stay composed, combined with some of the most accurate throws in the league, makes that a worthy comparison. His 71% completion percentage and 3,130 passing yards are both league highs. Even more impressive, Maye has found so much success without much of a run game to give him favorable downs. That could be a problem in the playoffs, but Maye has instilled so much confidence in this offense that they could still go all the way. 

New England may lose a shootout in the playoffs, but its strong run defense will allow it to consistently beat up on bad teams until the postseason. When the Patriots claim the top seed and the precious bye that goes with it, New England’s Super Bowl odds will instantly be slashed in half from this price. At +1400, the Patriots could have the most value compared to any team on this list, and there is no reason to wait before snapping them up. They still have the Giants, Jets, and Dolphins left this season, and a bye week to get ready for their must-see matchup against the Bills. The league may not like it, but another dominant era of Patriots football is upon us. 

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