2021 Buffalo Bills Predictions with Odds to Win Super Bowl

For the Buffalo Bills and their die-hard fans, a trip to the Super Bowl seems like it’s never going to happen. Since losing four straight Super Bowls in the early 1990s, the Bills have just three playoff appearances, and those all came in the last four seasons. That’s progress, and the Bills were a win away from the Super Bowl last year as they lost to Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game. Will the Bills learn from that? I believe they will. I believe they were simply outmatched last year against the Chiefs both on the field and in terms of experience for the moment. The Bills will likely still have to get past KC in the playoffs, but I think this year they are better equipped to do so, and their future odds are looking real nice.

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The Bills will open the regular season on September 12 with a home date against the Pittsburgh Steelers before traveling to Miami to take on the Dolphins in Week 2. From there, the Bills return home for games against Washington and Houston, before hitting the road to face two playoff teams from last year in Kansas City and Tennessee. It’ll be imperative for the Bills to open up the season at least 3-1 before that two-game road trip. As of writing this, the Bills are +1100 to win the Super Bowl, +550 to win the AFC and -150 to win the AFC East.

Let’s take a look at what to expect from each unit heading into this season.

Offense

Key Players: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs,

There was a lot of doubt surrounding the ability of Josh Allen to become a prototypical NFL-caliber quarterback that can throw the ball with accuracy. Allen came from Wyoming and many thought the Bills were reaching when they selected him, but he’s quickly silenced the doubters. Sure, Allen had an up and down rookie and sophomore season. He completed just 52.8 and 58.8 percent of his passes while throwing a total of 30 TD and 21 interceptions. He also ran for 1,141 yards combined, 17 touchdowns. In year three, and with the addition of Stefon Diggs, Allen took the step forward many in Buffalo were hoping he would. He threw for 4,544 yards, 37 touchdowns and just 10 interceptions and he completed an outstanding 69.5 percent of his passes. He also ran for 421 yards and eight touchdowns. That’s the kind of production a franchise quarterback needs to have if the team is going to take the next step and win a Super Bowl. I have full faith that Allen can replicate that success once again this year.

As for Diggs, he came over from Minnesota and was extremely happy to finally have a quarterback with arm strength who can find him downfield and in those intermediate routes. Diggs caught 127 balls and amassed 1,535 yards which were both career highs. He also found the endzone eight times. If Diggs and Allen can replicate that success and perhaps find another level of production, the Bills will be in good hands for the foreseeable future.

Defense & Special Teams

Key Players: Ed Oliver, Jordan Poyer, Tre’Davious White

Defensively, the Bills weren’t as good last year as they were the year prior, but the unit stepped up when it was needed most and that’s all the matters. The Bills dealt with a slew of injuries to the defense, and that contributed to the poor numbers, but if you wanted any team’s defense on the field to make a timely stop, it would be the Bills. The Bills ranked 16th in the league in terms of points per game, 17th in terms of stopping the run and 13th when it came to defending the pass. A healthy Bills team should be able to improve on those numbers drastically and that’ll only help the team because they hope to get back to the AFC Championship game and then take it a step further into the Super Bowl. 

Outlook

The Bills are sitting pretty in the AFC East. They have the best team on paper and should be able to take advantage of the New England Patriots and New York Jets, both of whom are undergoing a major rebuilding phase. The only team that can challenge the Bills for their AFC East crown is the Dolphins, but the Bills were able to handle the Dolphins with ease last season, winning both games. There is good value in the Bills winning the division and I’ll be looking at hitching my wagon to the Bills’ futures of winning the conference and Super Bowl at some point in the season once I see how a few teams are doing that I’m concerned about.

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