2023 New York Jets Predictions with Season Win Total Odds
I’m absolute buying into Aaron Rodgers this season.
Think what you want about the guy. And I think that he is a self-absorbed, self-important, sleaze. But Rodgers is an all-time great quarterback. And the NFL isn’t for the choir boys.
Rodgers was rightfully jettisoned from the Packers. Green Bay wasn’t going anywhere with him, and Rodgers’ inability to prioritize anything but himself was an anchor around the entire franchise.
The Jets swooped in and made a bold, aggressive move to grab the disgruntled future Hall of Famer. Rodgers will turn 40 this December. And the Jets know that they have a one- or maybe two-year window with him at the helm to return to relevance after 12 straight non-playoff seasons.
I think it will be worth it. At least in the short term.
You would think that Rodgers is highly motivated after the way things ended in Green Bay. He’s coming off one of his worst seasons as a pro and just his third losing season as a starting quarterback.
If he is reinvigorated, then he will be the best Jets quarterback since Broadway Joe. And backed up by a Top 5 defense and a hungry franchise Rodgers, could have what he needs to make a lot of noise in the AFC.
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NEW YORK JETS 2023 OFFENSE
Rodgers is a terrible leader. However, his physical talent is so overwhelming that it infects his teammates and helps elevate their production. Rodgers hasn’t had a great compliment of skill position players to work with in years. And this young, athletic crop in New York should give him a lot of options.
Rodgers recruited stalwart teammates Allen Lazard and Randal Cobb. The Jets also have future star Garret Wilson, two-time Super Bowl champ Mecole Hardman, and 2021 free agent disappointment Corey Davis.
Mix in veteran tight ends Tyler Conklin and C.J. Uzomah, and Rodgers has a lot of options.
The biggest question on the team is the offensive line.
New York has some pieces. Duane Brown is about to be 38 and is in his 16th pro season. Former top pick Mekhi Becton is trying to prove himself after three injury-plagued seasons have limited him to just 15 games. Alijah Vera-Tucker and Joe Tippmann are high draft picks as well, and the Jets have enough seasoned pros (Wes Schweitzer, Connor McGovern, and Billy Turner) to cobble together an offensive wall.
The Jets were just No. 26 in rushing last year, and they desperately need to improve in that area to take some of the pressure off the passing game.
NEW YORK JETS 2023 DEFENSE
Head coach Robert Saleh came to New York with a defensive background. And in two years he turned the Jets from the worst defense in football into a Top 5 stop unit.
According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the 11-point improvement of their scoring defense from 2021 (29.6 PPG) to 2022 (18.6 PPG) marked the second-biggest jump of any team in the last 45 years.
The Jets were No. 4 in total defense and scoring defense last season and have 10 of their 11 starters back.
Not only that, but they added talent with free agents Quinton Jefferson, Adrian Amos, and Al Woods, along with No. 1 draft pick Will McDonald.
Defensive tackle Quinnen Williams should be content after signing a massive deal this offseason. Pro Bowlers C.J. Mosley and Sauce Gardner provide the high-end talent in the back seven.
There is no weakness on this side of the ball. The Jets have size, speed, experience, youth, and depth.
New York’s offense was No. 29 in time of possession last year. Better execution and more help from the offense could help New York’s defense find an even higher level.
NEW YORK JETS 2023 SCHEDULE
Mon, Sep 11 8:15 PM vs. Buffalo Bills
Sun, Sep 17 4:25 PM @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Sep 24 1:00 PM vs. New England Patriots
Sun, Oct 1 8:20 PM vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sun, Oct 8 4:25 PM @ Denver Broncos
Sun, Oct 15 4:25 PM vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sun, Oct 29 1:00 PM @ New York Giants
Mon, Nov 6 8:15 PM vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Sun, Nov 12 8:20 PM @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Nov 19 4:25 PM @ Buffalo Bills
Fri, Nov 24 3:00 PM vs. Miami Dolphins
Sun, Dec 3 1:00 PM vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Dec 10 1:00 PM vs. Houston Texans
Sun, Dec 17 1:00 PM @ Miami Dolphins
Sun, Dec 24 1:00 PM vs. Washington Redskins
Thu, Dec 28 8:15 PM @ Cleveland Browns
Sun, Jan 7 7:00 PM @ New England Patriots
NEW YORK JETS 2023 SEASON PICKS AND PREDICTIONS
There were a lot of numbers pointing toward the Jets bouncing back in 2023 after last year’s 7-10 slog.
They fell 1.3 wins short of their Pythagorean Wins Expectation last year, and they had four close losses. New York was -7 in turnovers, and their 18.3 offensive yards per point were No. 29 in football.
New York’s schedule is also favorable. They will play 10 games in their home stadium (thanks to a “road” game against the Giants) and will play 11 games in their home state. In fact, they only leave The Empire State twice before November.
So, things were already looking pretty good for this New York team as a potential playoff sleeper.
Then they got Rodgers.
I think that Rodgers is going to be in full blown Rampage Mode. He has a persecution complex. He is going to be out to prove all his nonexistent “haters” wrong. We’ve seen him in this mode before – the season after the Packers drafted his replacement – and he went out and won an MVP.
If the offensive line holds up, then the Jets have a great blend of youth, experience, and talent. Throw a Top 5 defense on top of that, and I think the Jets are legit.
I’ll bite on the Jets going ‘over’ 9.5 wins. Rodgers has won 10 or more games in 10 of the 13 years in which he has started at least 15 times. I think that nine wins is the floor for this team, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they busted through with an 11- or 12-win season.
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