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2025 New York Jets Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/4/2025

New York Jets predictions Breece Hall

The 2024 New York Jets took a winning record (2-1) into their Week 4 matchup against Denver, but that was the one and only time that the Jets would hold a winning record. They would win just one game between Week 4 and Week 14. The Jets went just 2-4 in their divisional games, 2-7 on the road and they finished the season with a -66-point differential.

Aaron Rodgers led a bad Jets offense last season. They ranked 24th in YPG while being held to less than 20 PPG. Rodgers finished eighth in the league in passing yards with 3,897. He added 28 touchdowns, and he threw 11 interceptions while finishing the season with a 63% CMP%. The Jets ground game was underwhelming. Breece Hall led the team with 876 yards and five touchdowns on 209 carries. He had six total fumbles last season, though only two were lost. Braelon Allen finished second on the team with 334 yards on 92 carries while Isaiah Davis and Rodgers both finished with over 100 rushing yards. Garrett Wilson continues to be one of the best wide receivers in the game as he posted a 1,104-yard season last year which ranked 14th in the league. He was tied with Davante Adams for the team lead in receiving touchdowns with seven. Adams added 854 yards despite playing in only 11 games last season. Allen Lazard, Hall, and Tyler Conklin all reached the 400+ receiving yard mark with Lazard totaling six touchdowns.  

The defense ranked third in allowed YPG as they held their opponents to just 313.8 yards, but they ranked in the lower half of the league in PPG allowed as opponents scored nearly 24 PPG against them last season. Jamien Sherwood led the team with 158 tackles which was also tied for the third most in the NFL last season. Sherwood added 10 TFL’s, two sacks, and three pass deflections. Quincy Williams also reached the 100-tackle milestone as he finished the season with 116 while leading the team with 14 TFL’s and adding four pass deflections and two sacks. Will McDonald IV led the team with 10.5 sacks last season which also ranked 12th in the NFL. D.J. Reed led the team with 11 pass deflections while Brandin Echols and Ashtyn Davis were tied for the team lead with two interceptions. Sauce Gardner finished with one interception, nine pass deflections, one sack, and 49 tackles.

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Key Additions/Losses

The offense will largely have a new look this season as they lost Rodgers, Adams, Conklin, as well as offensive tackles Morgan Moses and Tyron Smith. The defense is also losing some key pieces as the defensive line lost Haason Reddick, Leki Fotu, Javon Kinlaw, and Solomon Thomas. Reed, Davis, and Echols will all be absent from the secondary this season as well. Even their special teams took a hit with the exit of Greg Joseph, Greg Zuerlein, and Thomas Morstead.

After an exodus of their roster last season, the Jets did not do much more than band-aid fixes. The team brough in Justin Fields to replace Rodgers under center while adding Josh Reynolds and Tyler Johnson to the wide receiver room behind Wilson. In addition to that, the Jets signed Brandon Stephens to a three-year deal while the re-signed Sherwood to a three-year deal after his productive season a year ago.

New Kids on the Block

The New York Jets did not do anything flashy over the draft, but a rebuilding team can use stability and consistency. They found that in offensive tackle Armand Membou out of Missouri. Membou is incredibly athletic for his size and should be able to keep Fields off the ground this season. The Jets found another consistent player in Mason Taylor out of LSU. The tight end is explosive in the pass game, but he is also a solid blocker and could be an instant redzone threat. In the third round they were able to add Azareye’h Thomas out of Florida State which could end up being a steal if he can fill the hole left by Reed. The rest of their draft class is as follows: Arian Smith (WR, Georgia), Malachi Moore (S, Alabama), Francisco Mauigoa (LB, Miami), and Tyler Baron (Edge, Miami).

X-Factors

Patience- The current situation in the front office and above to the ownership is not great for the Jets. It hangs over them like a storm cloud. However, there is some promising talent. Wilson is one of the league’s best receivers while they just added a cornerstone on the offensive line and put together a solid group of cornerbacks for this season. The Jets will be bottom dwellers again, which would give them another top pick in next year’s draft where they could potentially find a long-term answer at the quarterback position if Fields doesn’t pan out. They need to buy into the rebuild.

New York Jets Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +27000

AFC Champion: +12000

AFC East Winner: +1900

NFL MVP- Justin Fields: +15000

AP Offensive Player of the Year- Breece Hall: +10000

AP Defensive Player of the Year- Sauce Gardner: +7500

New York Jets Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 5.5 Games

The Jets are not a playoff team and will finish in last place of the AFC East. However, it is possible that they could reach six wins this season. They should be 0-3 out of the gates thanks to matchups against Pittsburgh, Buffalo, and Tampa Bay. Then there is another likely three-game skid between Week 11-13 with road trips to New England and Baltimore and a home game against Atlanta. There are three wins on the schedule which include home games against Carolina and Cleveland and a road game against New Orleans. They would need to find another three wins on the schedule to hit the over. Some key games in terms of the over potential are their Week 4 and Week 5 matchups against Miami on the road and Dallas as well as Week 14 and Week 15 matchups against Miami at home and a road trip to Jacksonville. The Jets have a tough home schedule this season including one being overseas while road trips to Buffalo, Baltimore, and Tampa Bay don’t make things easier. This one is one of the tougher ones, but it is hard to see the Jets passing the five-win mark this season.

2025 New York Jets Predictions

I like the Under on the win total here as the Jets are in need of another top pick in next year’s draft to progress the rebuild. Outside of picking the win total, the future bets are underwhelming for the Jets. Gardner winning the AP Defensive Player of the Year at +7500 odds is the only intriguing futures award heading into the season. This will be a long season for Jets fans and another season in the basement of the AFC East and maybe even the whole AFC.

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