NFC North: Season Win Totals Predictions
by Dave Busk - 9/8/2009
Green Bay (Over 9 -1.50/Under 9 +1.20)
A couple of weeks ago the Packers were listed at (8.5) -1.45 to go 'over,' now some money has pushed this line up. If I didn't take the (8.5) there is no way I will take the 'over' (9) and lay the same amount of juice, but in my option the Pack is back in 2009. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers had some big shoes to fill replacing Brett Farve. Despite a 6-10 record in 2008, Rodgers still threw for more than 4,000 yards and 28 touchdowns. This kid has a great upside. They went out and hired a very good defensive coordinator in Dom Capers to improve this unit. Their schedule is weak as they face the Bears and Bengals at home in Weeks 1 and 2 before traveling to St. Louis in Week 3. Mix that in with the Lions twice along with Cleveland and a rebuilding Tampa Bay, plus two of their tougher non-division games on the schedule at home with Dallas and Baltimore visiting, that adds up to the third softest schedule in the league. I like the Pack 'over,' just at a better price. However, you can grab them at a sweet +1.80 to win the NFC North at Sportsbook.com
Chicago Bears (Over 8.5 -1.70/Under 8.5 +1.40)
The Bears got what they have been missing in the offseason by trading for quarterback Jay Cutler. I think that trade is overshadowing some of the holes this team has. They still don't have many options for Cutler to throw too and I think their defense is losing a couple of steps. Their schedule to start the season is a tough one as they open up at Green Bay then come home to play Pittsburgh before traveling west to face a improving Seattle team. They also go to Atlanta and Baltimore and get Philadelphia at home. There's a very good chance we're looking at an 8-8 team and to be able to take back 40 cents on the dollar would put me on the 'under' here.
Minnesota Vikings (Over 9.5 -1.50/Under 9.5 +1.20)
The first three games of the Vikings schedule couldn't be any better for a team that needs to get comfortable playing together. The Vikings open up at the Browns, then go to Detroit before their home opener vs. San Francisco. Farve takes away from the other aspects of this team; they have a good running back along with a very tough, physical defense. I do think Farve playing in a dome for eight games will be a benefit for him and this is the team all along he wanted to play for to get his revenge vs. Green Bay. I think the Vikings will be in the playoffs but as a wild card, and a slight lean on the 'over' here.
Detroit Lions (Over 4.5 -1.40/Under 4.5 +1.20)
Every NFL team has to win at least one game each season, right ? Well the Lions didn't last year and with a new front office and former Titans Defensive Coordinator Jim Schwartz as the new head coach it won't be about wins for this team. The Lions have announced that rookie quarterback Matthew Stafford will start, and while you don't see many totals lower then this one, it still might be to many steps for this team to take this year to get 'over'.
For more info on Busk's NFL and college football picks, check out his Insider's Page here.
Most Recent NFL Handicapping
- NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
- 2022 Super Bowl Predictions
- AFC Championship Game Betting Picks: Best Props Bills at Chiefs
- NFC Championship Game Betting Predictions: Best Props Buccaneers at Packers
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Picks: Best Props Browns at Chiefs
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Predictions: Best Props Buccaneers at Saints
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Picks: Best Props for Ravens at Bills
- NFL Divisional Round Betting Predictions: Best Props Rams at Packers
- NFL Wild Card Betting Picks: Best Prop Bets Browns at Steelers
- NFL Wild Card Betting Picks: Best Prop Bets Ravens at Titans