NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 10
by Dave Schwab - 11/6/2013
The race to the division title is on in the NFC East with just three games separating first place from last heading into the 10th week of the season. In a rare twist, the Cowboys, Eagles and Redskins all came away with straight up wins last Sunday, with the Giants enjoying a much-needed bye. Both Dallas and Washington snatched a victory from the jaws of defeat, but Philadelphia steamrolled Oakland 49-20 on the strength of seven Nick Foles’ touchdown throws. I actually had the “under” in that game as my NFC East ‘Pick of the Week,’ which was basically shot by halftime. This dropped my overall record on the year to 7-2, but I am still up a healthy $1,630 this season on a $100 weekly wager.
Each week of the season I will briefly preview all the games in the NFC East and highlight my top ‘pick of the week’ with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System. I will be tracking the results as the season progresses with the goal of making at least $1,000 profit with my picks by the end of the year. Since we are already up so big, let’s go for $2,000! All lines quoted have been provided by 5Dimes.
Washington Redskins vs. Minnesota Vikings (Thursday, Nov. 7, 8:30 p.m.)
Washington comes into Thursday night’s game at 3-5 both SU and against the spread. The total went “over” the 49.5-point line in last Sunday’s 30-24 overtime victory against San Diego as a one-point home favorite, and it as now gone over in its last three games. The Redskins are averaging 25.4 points a game, but they are ranked 31st in the NFL in points allowed (31.6).
The Vikings had Dallas on the ropes their last time out, but they could not hold on in a 27-23 loss as 10-point road underdogs. They improved to 3-5 ATS but dropped to 1-7 SU with their fourth straight loss. Christian Ponder is expected to get the start at quarterback in what has been a revolving door all season long. Adrian Peterson is coming off his best effort of the year after gaining 140 yards on 25 carries against the Cowboys.
The Redskins are currently listed as 2.5-point road favorites for Thursday night, with the total set at 50.
Oakland Raiders vs. New York Giants (Sunday, Nov. 10, 1 p.m.)
Oakland’s loss to Philadelphia dropped them to 3-5 SU on the year and 4-3-1 ATS. The total went way over the 45.5-point closing line after staying under in six of their previous seven games. The Raiders continue to struggle putting points on the board with Terrelle Prior at quarterback with an average of just 18.2 points a game.
The Giants have proven that when they take care of the ball they can win games. They headed into last week’s bye following back-to-back victories over Minnesota and Philadelphia both SU and ATS after losing their first six games. New York still has the worst turnover ratio in the NFL at -12, but it is moving in the right direction with a +4 ratio in its last two games.
The current line for this game has the Giants favored by nine points at home, with the total set at 43.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints (Sunday, Nov. 10, 8:30 p.m.)
The Cowboys will try and win consecutive games for just the second time this season after last week’s squeaker over Minnesota. They lead the division at 5-4 SU and remain very profitable ATS at 7-2. The total has stayed under in three of their last four games. Tony Romo has this offense ranked ninth in the NFL in passing and fourth in scoring with 28.6 points a game. The defense is ranked 31st against the pass while allowing 23.2 points a game.
Things have suddenly tightened up in the NFC South for the Saints after last Sunday’s stunning 26-20 loss to the Jets as six-point road favorites. Coupled with Carolina’s four-game winning streak, their lead is down to just one game with a record of 6-2 SU (5-3 ATS). New Orleans remains one of the most potent scoring teams in the NFL with Drew Brees at the helm, but its defense is also ranked near the top of the league in points allowed (18.2).
Dallas comes into this NFC showdown of playoff contenders as a 7.5-point road underdog, with the total set at 53.5.
NFC East ‘Pick of the Week’
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers (Sunday, Nov. 3, 1 p.m.)
The big question in Philadelphia is which Nick Foles will show up this Sunday against the Packers? The one that went 11-for-29 for 80 yards against Dallas in Week 7 or the one that tied an NFL record with seven touchdown throws while completing 22-of-28 passes for 406 yards against Oakland. The key to this game could actually be an Eagles’ defense that has allowed an average of just 17.3 points in its last three games.
Green Bay suddenly finds itself in a three-way tie for first place in the NFC North with Chicago and Detroit at 5-3 SU after this past Monday’s 27-20 loss to the Bears as a 10-point home favorite. The biggest question for this team is can it even stay in the playoff race with Aaron Rodgers on the shelf for the next few weeks? The Packers will turn to journeyman Seneca Wallace as their starter for this game while relying on a heavy dose of Eddie Lacy and a running game that is ranked second in the NFL with 148.6 yards a game.
If Rodgers was still in the lineup, the Packers would have been 10-point home favorites again this week, but the game is now listed as a “pick”. His loss combined with Green Bay having to play on a short week sets up perfectly for the Eagles to come into Lambeau and steal a win.
3-Unit Play take Philadelphia (pick) over Green Bay
YTD Record 7-2 (+$1,630)
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Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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