NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 10
by George Monroy - 11/6/2013
Every week the NFL is filled will great betting situations for gamblers. The Dallas Cowboys are 7-2 against the spread and winning at a 77 percent rate. The San Diego Chargers and New York Jets both have over a 66 percent ATS win rate, while the Denver Broncos have gone “over” in every game they have played this season. If a bettor is doing his homework, there are ample opportunities to make a profit wagering on football this season. However, there is one wager that often gets overlooked, which is also winning at an excellent rate—basic strategy teasers.
A basic strategy teaser is a two-team combination wager that allows gamblers to move the spread for two games by six points (or more) either way. The specific teaser is a two-team, six-point wager that involves favorites of 7.5 to 8.5 points and underdogs of 1.5 to 2.5 points. Basic strategy teasers take advantage of NFL key numbers—specifically seven and three—to create a positive expected value bet. In essence, a bettor could blindly wager on every teaser on the board and expect to come out with a profit. Of course, we do not advocate such a strategy, but studying basic strategy teaser lines and wagering on only the strongest of the week is a great way to make a solid profit on football. Let’s jump right in and take a look at Week 10’s three basic strategy teaser games and figure out which are have the best value.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers
Original spread: Eagles +2.5
Six-point teasers: Eagles +8.5
The Eagles receiving 8.5 points on the road against an injury-plagued Packers teams is the best teaser value of the week. Sure, the jury is still out on Nick Foles as the permanent answer in Philadelphia, but the team was able to put up 49 points last week against the Oakland Raiders. The Packers, on the other hand, will be without Aaron Rodgers for at least a couple of weeks. However, Green Bay’s biggest issue is their defense. The team allowed 125 rushing yards and 442 total offense yards on Monday night versus the Chicago Bears. The most concerning part is that the Packers were only able to score 20 points. The Eagles are a surprising 4-1 on the road, and Foles is still a perfect 3-0.
Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals
Original spread: Texans +2.5
Six-point teaser: Texans +8.5
Houston’s disappointing 2-6 start to the season has marred the fact that the team still has an elite defense. The Texans have turned a corner a bit since Case Keenum took over quarterbacking duties after Matt Schaub was pulled from the job due to injury. Keenum may not be the long-term answer in Houston, but his performances over the last two weeks were enough to keep the Texans in close games against two of the NFL’s best teams in the Kansas City Chiefs and Indianapolis Colts. The Cardinals may be coming off of a 14-point victory over the Atlanta Falcons, but that team has been a mess on both sides of the ball. This matchup is a situation where the Texans should be able to keep the game close if not win it straight out.
Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings
Original spread: Vikings +2.5
Six-point teaser: Vikings +8.5
It’s beginning to be very difficult to trust the Redskins this season. Minnesota may be bad, but Washington is not much better. There have been reports that Robert Griffin III and head coach Mike Shanahan are battling for control of the offense and are simply not on the same page. The Vikings are on a four-game losing streak but did play a very good game against the Cowboys last week and nearly pulled off the victory. If the Vikings continue to let Adrian Peterson run the ball and control the clock against the sometimes-dynamic Redskins, they should be able to keep this matchup within the 8.5 points. Expect Minnesota to cover this spread.
Last week: 4-0; Season: 39-10
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