Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 7
by Dave Schwab - 10/15/2014
It was a lopsided affair in this past Sunday night's showdown between Philadelphia and New York, with the Eagles cruising to a 27-0 shutout as 1.5-point home favorite. The Giants unexpected no-show on offense proved costly as I had the "over" 50 as my NFC East "pick of the week". After a 4-0 start, I have now come up on the wrong end of my last two plays.
Every week of this year's NFL regular season I will briefly preview all the games in the NFC Eastusing 5Dimes betting odds as well as release my NFC East "pick of the week" with the use of Doc's Sports Unit Betting System. I will be tracking my results from week-to-week as the season progresses with the ultimate goal of generating a solid profit with my picks. Heading into Week 7 of the NFL season, my yearly return on a $100 wager using the recommended unit play stands at +$600
Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins (Sunday, Oct. 19, 1 p.m.)
The Titans are turning out to be worse than expected this season with a 2-4 straight up start, and they have gone a costly 1-4-1 against the spread. Jake Locker sat out last week's game against Jacksonville, so Charlie Whitehurst got the start. He went a respectable 17-for-28 for 233 yards, and the offense scored 16 points in Tennessee's two-point win as a 4.5-point home favorite. Overall, the Titans are 28th in the league in scoring with an average of 17.3 points a game.
Washington's downward slide continued with a 30-20 loss to Arizona last Sunday as a 5.5-point road underdog. It is now 1-5 SU on the year with a 2-4 record ATS. The total has gone over in four of the Redskins last five games after getting outscored a combined 139-85 in their last four outings. There were rumblings earlier this week that first-year head coach Jay Gruden was thinking about benching quarterback Kirk Cousins in favor of Colt McCoy, but it looks like Cousins will make at least one more start before the hopeful return of Robert Griffin III in Week 8.
The Redskins have been listed as six-point home favorites against Tennessee, and the total has been set at 46.
NFC East 'Pick of the Week'
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (Sunday, Oct. 19, 4:25 p.m.)
The big question heading into this divisional showdown: which Giants' team is going to show up? Will it be the one that lost its first two games of the season and is coming off a dismal showing last week, or the one that strung together three straight victories in between these losses by a combined score of 105-51? Eli Manning had nowhere to turn last Sunday night as a result of constant pressure that led to six sacks, and to add injury to insult, one of his top targets, Victor Cruz, was lost for the season with an ankle injury. Nonetheless, this is still the type of team that knows how to circle the wagons when it needs to the most, especially against a bitter division rival.
Speaking of wagons, it is standing room only on the Dallas bandwagon right now. All the closet Cowboys' fans are coming out of the woodwork in the midst of the team's current five-game SU winning streak (4-1 ATS). One of the biggest reasons for this recent success has been the play of the offensive line and running back DeMarco Murray. He has already rushed for 785 yards this season on 159 carries for an average of 4.9 yards an attempt. The loss of tackle Doug Free with a fractured foot is something to watch, but so is the tendency for the Cowboys to get caught up in their own press clippings when things are going good.
New York comes into Sunday's game as a seven-point road underdog on 5Dimes' latest board, and the total has been set at 47.5. While it is always a risk betting against a hot-hand, I am banking on the Giants taking this fight all the way to the final gun in a moderate 3-Unit play. It also helps that the Cowboys are just 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five home games against New York.
3-Unit Play: Take New York (+7) over Dallas
YTD: 4-2 (+$600)
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Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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