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Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 4

by - 9/30/2015

New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning

The entire NFC East tightened things up last week with Dallas losing for the first time while both New York and Philadelphia posted their first win of the new season. Given the Cowboys injury situation, you get the feeling that things are going to remain tight in this division right into the month of November at the very least.

Through 17 weeks of the NFL regular season I will be covering all the games in the NFC East as well as highlight my top "pick of the week"with the use of Doc's Sports Unit Betting System and betting odds from BetOnline. Despite a bit of a rough start, the ultimate goal is to generate an overall profit for the year with my picks.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (Sunday, Oct. 4, 1 p.m.)

Philadelphia avoided a dreaded 0-3 hole with last Sunday's 24-17 win over the New York Jets as a three-point road underdog. While the running game looked better and special teams did its part with a Darren Sproles' punt return for a touchdown, you would have to say that Chip Kelly's new-look Eagles are still a work in progress.

Looking back at the Redskins first two games, they ran the ball extremely well behind Alfred Morris and Matt Jones, and their defense was solid against both the pass and the run. Last week in Washington's first division matchup, it all came unglued in a 32-21 loss to the New York Giants as a three-point road underdog. Which direction this team heads this Sunday could easily dictate how the rest of the season unfolds.

The Eagles come into this game as three-point road favorites, and the betting odds for the total have been set at 46.

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints (Sunday, Oct. 4, 8:30 p.m.)

The one thing we know for sure about Dallas is that both Tony Romo and Dez Bryant are out until further notice. What we hope to find out on Sunday night is how this team will respond to blowing a 28-17 lead at the half against Atlanta last Sunday. The Cowboys went on to lose 39-28 as one-point home favorites behind a defense that had no answer for stopping Atlanta in the second half of that game.

The Saints fell to 0-3 on the year with last Sunday's 27-22 loss to Carolina. However, it did turn into a win for bettors with New Orleans' closing as a 10-point road underdog. This team did not look all that good in its first two games with Drew Brees at quarterback, and things did not get all that better with Luke McCown under center against the Panthers. Brees remains questionable for Sunday night because of a shoulder injury, but the Saints' issues run deeper than that, especially on defense.

The current betting lines for this NFC tilt remain "off the board" pending the playing status of Brees. The early opening line had the Saints listed as four-point favorites at home, but that is obviously subject to change.

NFC East 'Pick of the Week'

New York Giants at Buffalo Bills (Sunday, Oct. 4, 1 p.m.)

One of the things we have learned about the Giants in their 1-2 start is that their offense can still put points on the board with Eli Manning at the helm. The other thing we learned is that this New York defense has some major trouble holding onto leads. Even in last week's one-sided win against Washington, the final score was closer than it should have been. Through three weeks of games, the Giants are averaging 26 points a game and allowing 24 points a game on defense.

The Bills are another team that has no problem putting points on the board with an average of 33 points a game in their 2-1 start. Even in a Week 2 loss to New England they were able to find a way to score 32 points. Buffalo is getting it done behind Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, rookie running back Karlos Williams and a revitalized Percy Harvin, who leads the team in receptions with 16 for 192 yards.

Buffalo has been listed as a 5.5-point home favorite, but I would not bet against New York winning this game straight up. What I really like in this matchup is the over on a total line 46.5 as both teams continue to light up the scoreboard.

4-Unit Play Take New York at Buffalo OVER 46.5

YTD: 0-3 ($-1100)

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