NFL Season Win Totals Odds Released by CG Technology
by Robert Ferringo - 2/26/2016
The paint isn't even dry on the Denver Broncos' Super Bowl banner. The booze and coke from the players' celebration has only recently been washed off. Yet people in dark corners are already shining the light on the 2016 NFL football betting season and already sculpting expectations as to how that season with play out.
CG Technology, formerly known as Cantor Gaming, released their first bettable 2016 NFL Season Win Totals. These numbers are open to the gambling public with betting limits set at just $500.
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Here is a list of CG Technology's 2016 NFL Season Win Totals:
Teams 2015 Record -- 2016 NFL Season Win Total
Arizona 13-3 -- 9.5 (over -120)
Atlanta 8-8 -- 7.0
Baltimore 5-11 -- 7.5 (under -125)
Buffalo 8-8 -- 8.0
Carolina 15-1 -- 10.5 (un -130)
Chicago 6-10 -- 6.5 (ov -120)
Cincinnati 12-4 -- 9.5
Cleveland 3-13 -- 4.5 (ov -130)
Dallas 4-12 -- 9.0 (un -125)
Denver 12-4 -- 9.5 (un -120)
Detroit 7-9 -- 7.0
Green Bay 10-6 -- 10.5
Houston 9-7 -- 8.0(un -130)
Indianapolis 8-8 -- 8.5 (ov -130)
Jacksonville 5-11 -- 6 (ov -130)
Kansas City 11-5 -- 9.0
Miami 6-10 -- 7.0(un -125)
Minnesota 11-5 -- 9.0(ov -120)
New England 12-4 -- 10.5 (ov -120)
New Orleans 7-9 -- 7.0(un -130)
NY Giants 6-10 -- 7.5 (ov -130)
NY Jets 10-6 -- 8.0 (ov -125)
Oakland 7-9 -- 7.5 (ov -135
Philadelphia 7-9 -- 7.5
Pittsburgh 10-6 -- 10.5 (un -125)
San Diego 4-12 -- 7.0 (un 120)
San Francisco 5-11 -- 5.0(ov -120)
Seattle 10-6 -- 10.5 (ov -120)
St. Louis (LA) 7-9 -- 7.0(ov -130)
Tampa Bay 6-10 -- 6.5 (un -125)
Tennessee 3-13 -- 5.5 (ov -130)
Washington 9-7 -- 7.5 (un -120)
Naturally, there is a lot of value in this set of extremely soft, pliable numbers. Some of these season win total numbers will move as many as two wins between now and opening night. Hell, the schedules haven't even been released for the upcoming year, and throw in injuries, roster cuts, free agency, coaching changes, and all manner of off-field chaos and the landscape is going to look a lot different in September than it does today.
I am a huge fan of futures betting because I feel like it can be easy money. But betting these numbers is less about handicapping and more about guess-gambling.
There is no offseason in the NFL anymore. It is a monolithic industry and a pillar of our national economy. Just this week the annual meat market of the NFL combine is underway, churning out the next wave of future CTE survivors in preparation of this spring's draft. (And if you have been watching the NFL combine on the NFL Network you really need to reevaluate your life choices.) But even someone like myself, a 10-year gambling professional, has a hard time mustering the energy to vigorously dissect these early numbers less than four weeks after the end of the Super Bowl.
However, I have always said that early lines - whether they are NFL futures odds, NFL season win totals, or even early release college and NFL betting lines for individual games, is not in the numbers themselves.
The utility of these lines is that it sets a benchmark for expectations for the offseason. There will be an absurd number of twists and turns throughout this NFL offseason - stories both real and manufactured - with forecasts blowing in the summer wind. But these initial numbers from CG Technology represent the borders being drawn. And how, and how much, these lines shift and change over the next seven months can be a valuable indicator for gamblers trying to get a feel for the momentum behind each of these 32 teams.
And as anyone who bets on football can tell you: momentum is everything.
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Read more articles by Robert Ferringo
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