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NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 11: Expert Pick'em Predictions No Point Spread


by Chris Vasile - 11/13/2019

San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo

When I say the favorites took a beating last week, that would be selling the underdogs short. Seven underdogs won straight up last week, and I saw a stat that said if you were to bet $100 on those seven teams in a parlay, you'd get back nearly $200,000. That's insane, and we certainly didn't give you those seven underdogs in this article last week.

However, this week is a new week, and as always, I'll be breaking down each game from a confidence perspective. Confidence pools are the new "it" thing in terms of NFL pools, and it's for those who just want to pick a winner straight up and not have to worry about the point spread . I'm super confidence in these selections this week, and hopefully they assist you in winning some money.

Week 11 Confidence List (my selection listed first)

Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos : The Vikings are coming off a huge statement win on Sunday night football over the Dallas Cowboys, and one would think they have a bit of a letdown in this spot against Denver. However, Kirk Cousins beats bad teams, and with the way Dalvin Cook is running with the football, the Vikings have the look and feel of a team that can make a deep run in the playoffs. The Broncos won't catch anyone off guard this week and are in for a long afternoon.

Oakland Raiders vs Cincinnati Bengals: The Raiders are somewhat relevant again for the right reasons, and all feels good again in the world. After a big Thursday night win over LA, the Raiders have three extra days of rest to take on a winless Bengals team that may very well end up 0-16. Ryan Finley didn't show anything of interest last week against Baltimore and now has to travel across the country to make his first road start. The Bengals suck, the Raiders defense is sneaky good, and the Black and Silver win this game going away.

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals: I am going to be taking the Cardinals on the point spread in this game, but I can't justify taking them to win this game straight up. San Fran is coming off that crazy Monday night game vs. Seattle, while Arizona lost to Tampa Bay on the road. It's one thing for an undefeated streak to be snapped and then have to get up for a mediocre team the next week, but it's another to have no clue what you're doing, and that's where we sit with Kliff Kingsbury. We believe the 49ers do have a bit of a letdown, but ultimately talent will win out and the Niners will escape with a close win.

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons: Despite making us look like complete fools last week, the Atlanta Falcons will not win back-to-back road games against good opposition. Not sure what happened with New Orleans, but the Saints came out flat, and that's something Carolina will not do. They have a good defense and need of as many wins as possible to get themselves back in the playoff picture. The Falcons caught lightning in a bottle last week, and we won't bet on it happening again.
 

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans : At some point this season, we are going to stop doubting the Ravens, and it's going to be glorious. What Lamar Jackson is doing to run the offense is incredible, and we see no way the Houston defense can contain them. This game has "over" written all over it. And despite having an extra week to prepare, we don't see the Texans keeping up with this high-powered Ravens offense.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: For whatever reason, these two teams play close games whenever they hook up. The Bills should have won last week against the Browns, while the Dolphins pulled off the upset against the Colts as 11-point underdogs. Not sure what Miami is doing by winning these games and screwing up their draft pick, but Buffalo should win this game on the heels of their defense alone.

 

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers: This game is being played in Mexico, so once again the Chargers will not have a home-field advantage. The Chiefs did everything right for 59 minutes last week before the long snapper decided to suck and be a moron. They should have beat the Titans, and they will make up for that this week by stomping a Chargers team whose hopes are all but dashed.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: Nick Foles is back, and we like him to help jumpstart a Jaguars offense that has sputtered over the last few weeks (putting up 27 and 29 against the Bengals and Jets isn't exactly impressive). Now they have an extra week of prep to take on a division rival in the Colts, who are regressing back to what expected them to be after losing two straight games. They are getting terrible offense production, and we aren't sure about the health of Jacoby Brissett. The Jaguars win this game on the heels of Foles returning and having himself a great game.

New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles : It's a rematch of the Super Bowl from two years ago, and I don't believe the Patriots have forgotten about it. The Baltimore Ravens may have given the NFL a blueprint on how to stop the Patriots, but the Eagles simply don't have the personnel to execute that game plan. With an extra week to prepare, the Patriots should march right into the Linc and come away with the win.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers : The Saints came out of their bye week last week and laid an absolute egg on home field. Now they get to rectify that by going up against a Bucs defense that is brutal defending the pass and that has Jameis Winston turning the ball over on a consistent basis. We aren't going to panic and think the Saints are a bad team. They win this game with ease, and the Bucs go back to the drawing board after taking one step forward.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: Don't look now, but the Steelers own the second wild-card spot, having won four straight games against decent opponents. Now they get a division game against a Cleveland team that still sucks but is coming off a win against Buffalo, which might make people think they are turning the corner. This is a short week, and we'll take a Steelers team that is rolling right now and playing with confidence to put the Browns back in their place.


Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams: Something is seriously wrong with this Rams team, and it'll be a while before I jump back on them in hopes of making money off their wins. The Bears are not a good team by any stretch of the imagination, but the defense is legit and should make life very difficult for Goff. The Bears are coming off a much-needed win against the Lions, and Trubisky actually played half decent. We'll take them and their defense to pull off the upset in California on Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions: As of right now, nobody knows if Matthew Stafford is going to play, but we don't think that matters. The Cowboys will have a bounce-back game against a Lions squad that is just playing out the string. Zeke will have a solid game to make up for his lack of production against the Vikings, and all will be right in the world again.

New York Jets at Washington Redskins: Which dumpster fire would you like to bet on? The Redskins, who are starting a rookie quarterback with zero talent around him, or the Jets, who have the talent but are being guided by a clueless coach in Adam Gase. I'll take the second-year QB in Sam Darnold over a rookie who is just trying to survive the season.

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