Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 16 NFL Betting Options
Now that we are finally out of that chaotic Week 15, we can turn our attention to Week 16 and what it has to offer from a betting and fantasy perspective. There are several key players in the COVID protocol that may or may not play this week, which throws those who are in the fantasy playoff semi-finals for a loop. It’s imperative to stay up to date with the ins and outs as we approach the Thursday night game between San Francisco and Tennessee and then into the weekend slate. From a betting perspective, we have a ton of good games on tap, including Buffalo at New England, Indianapolis at Arizona, Baltimore at Cincinnati, and Los Angeles at Minnesota. Good luck and let’s find some winners.
As far as last week’s results go, we easily cashed our ticket as both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh won outright against the Broncos and Titans, respectively. We also gave you the Patriots as an alternative option. And if it wasn’t for a late Jonathan Taylor 67-yard touchdown run, the Pats would have covered the teased spread. Let’s get another win in Week 16.
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Best Six-Point Teaser for Week 16.
Buffalo Bills +8.5 + Denver Broncos +7.5 (-120)
Risk: $120 to win $100
Let’s take a second to explain these Basic Strategy Teaser spreads to those of you who are new around here. The Buffalo Bills are 2.5-point underdogs against the New England Patriots. By using a six-point teaser, you will push that spread up through the key numbers of three, four and seven and get them as a +8.5-point underdogs. As for the Broncos, they are +1.5-point underdogs against the Raiders (depending where you look), and teasing them up using our six-point teaser method will take you through the key numbers of three, four and seven, and they would then be a +7.5-point underdog.
I don’t think I’ve ever been more excited for a revenge game in the NFL than I am this week. The Buffalo Bills will go into Foxboro and thoroughly beat down the Patriots and wrestle away the top spot in the AFC East. Much has been made about their Week 13 meeting in Buffalo. However, let’s be honest, the Patriots do not win that game if it wasn’t for the inclement weather. Sure, everyone knew what the Patriots were going to do, and that was run the football. However, the Bills’ defense, for some reason, could not stop them. Reporters called them out, and coaches called them out. Do you think for a second that the top-ranked defense in the league is going to let it happen twice in three weeks? I doubt it. How about the offense? What could Josh Allen have done any differently in Week 13? He was a victim of the game calling and managed just 145 passing yards with one touchdown. This week, the weather in Foxboro is supposed to be fine for playing football. We saw what the Colts were able to do to a fatigued Patriots’ defense. And with the Bills possessing more firepower than the Colts, I fully expect Allen and Stefon Diggs to put on a show. I like the Bills to win this game outright. However, if you’re looking to play it safe, teasing the Bills to over a touchdown underdog is a very smart play because I don’t see them getting blown out at all in this contest.
The second leg of the two-team, six-point teaser is the Denver Broncos. I know they are going to be without Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, but I’m banking on the “Ewing Theory” here where the team rallies around the absence of a critical player. The Broncos also have the better defense in this contest, and I do not think the Raiders will be ready for this game after the COVID hoopla they had to jump through on their way to Cleveland and with one less day to prep/rest. Both teams are tied at 7-7 right now and are a one-game back of a wild-card spot, with a few teams in their way. It’s going to take a mini-miracle for either of these two teams to make the postseason, but I believe the Broncos have the better overall talent on both sides of the football and will be ready to win this game. Similar to Buffalo, if you want to play it safe, grabbing as many points as possible is solid as the Raiders don’t blow out anyone and their defense is always suspect.
Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 over New York Jets: Let’s be honest for a second. I was one of the many people fooled into thinking the Jags would compete for a full 60-minutes last week after the firing of Urban Meyer. I was made to look like a fool. So, what’s the next step from here? Well, naturally it would be to back them at over a touchdown spread. Why? Because the Jets are not built to blow anyone out. Hell, they stink and may not even win this game. This game is likely to be low-scoring and stay within a touchdown.
Baltimore +8.5 over Cincinnati: This is my least favorite teaser option. I don’t think Lamar Jackson is going to suit up for the Ravens this week, so the Bengals should be fully prepared for Huntley with a full game of tape from the Packers game to watch. I think Cincinnati has enough firepower to run away with this game, but the BST parameters tell us the Ravens fit the system, so we must include them.
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