NFL Divisional Round Betting Picks: Best Props for Ravens at Bills
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills, Bills Stadium, 8:15 p.m. EST. Jan 16, 2021.
When the Bills take on the Ravens in Saturday’s Divisional Round game, it will mark the first time that these two franchises have competed against one another in postseason play. For the Bills, they are coming off a thrilling win against a game Colts team that gave them everything they could handle and were within a completed Hail Mary from pulling off the upset. The Bills failed to cover in that contest as 7.5-point underdogs, while the total flew over the number. As for the Ravens, they come into this contest on the heels of a good win against the Titans in what was a double-revenge game for them. The Ravens trailed 10-0 to start the game, but Lamar Jackson took matters into his own hands and accounted for 179 passing yards and 136 rushing yards with one score. The total stayed well under the number by a whopping 21 points.
As of writing this, the Bills are favorite by two points, and the total is set at 50. The low spread tells me that Baltimore has a very real chance of winning this football game. Outside of maybe Buffalo, the Ravens offense has been clicking on all cylinders for the last month and a bit, winning six straight games, including last week, and they have looked extremely good in doing so. Instead of worrying about the side or total, which I lean Baltimore and the over, I’m going to take a shot with some props I saw that jumped off the page at me.
Team Total Points
Baltimore Ravens– “Over” 23.5 -125, “Under” 23.5, -110
I was burned with the Ravens’ team total in their Wild Card matchup against the Titans. However, I have no problem going back to the well with the Ravens’ offense this week as I believe they have a tremendous chance to win this game, and I believe this is going to be one of the higher-scoring games of the weekend. Look, Baltimore was more focused on getting revenge against the Titans and winning that game by any means necessary. They played well enough to win, and the offense was non existent aside from Lamar Jackson. Against this Bills team, the Ravens should have much more looks in the passing game, and I expect them to put up at least 28 points in this contest because they are simply going to need to. The Bills’ offense is no joke, and they will get theirs on offense, which means Jackson and Co. are going to have to push the ball downfield and have a tremendous run game to keep up with the Bills.
Pick: Over 23.5 -120
Player Passing Yards
Josh Allen - “Over” 302.5 -112, “Under” 302.5, -112
I love what Josh Allen has done this year. He’s led the Bills to a spot in the AFC Divisional Round by way of his arm and his legs. He’s just as much of a threat to run the football as he is to throw the ball 40 yards downfield. He could have very well won the MVP award this season if Aaron Rodgers was retired. In this contest, I believe this total is a bit too high… and here’s why. For starters, he’s topped this mark in only nine of 17 games this season. Yes, that’s 50 percent. However, when you think of Allen, you think of him slinging the ball all over the field, which is not the case. Secondly, the Ravens are going to run, run and run the football. That bleeds the clock. And unless Allen puts together a couple of lengthy drives that feature all pass plays, there won’t be enough time for him to reach this mark. The Ravens defense is one of the best in the league. They rank inside the Top 8 in all major defensive categories, including sixth in passing yards allowed at just 221. Simply put, if the Ravens’ run game is working, like I think it will, the Bills will lose the time of possession battle and Allen will fall short of the 300-yard passing mark.
Pick: Under 302.5 passing yards
J.K Dobbins - “Over” 57.5 -112, “Under” 57.5, -112
Why wouldn’t we take a Ravens’ running back to go over their posted rushing totals after we mentioned the Raven’s vaunted run game in emphatic fashion? J.K Dobbins has emerged as the go-to back in the Ravens’ backfield. And with the exception of last week, he’s turned in some stellar performances of late. He’s cracked the 57.5-yard total in five of his last seven games, including a 160-yard performance in Week 17. As I mentioned above, the Ravens are going to run the football every chance they get. We know Lamar Jackson is going to get his share of yards on the ground, but I expect a little more of a traditional run game this week – one that features plenty of Dobbins.
Pick: Over 57.5 Rushing Yards
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