NFL Wild Card Betting Picks: Best Prop Bets Ravens at Titans
Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans, Nissan Stadium, 1:05 p.m. EST. Jan 10, 2021.
When the Baltimore Ravens travel to Tennessee on Saturday to take on the Titans in Sunday’s first Wild-Card game, it’ll mark a rematch from last year’s playoffs when the Titans knocked off the Ravens in the Divisional Round. The Ravens were 14-2 and one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl before the Titans manufactured a masterclass in how to slow down Lamar Jackson. This year, the tables have turned a bit as the Titans are division winners at 11-5, while the Ravens had to sneak into the playoffs on the final day of the regular season. From a franchise point of view, this will be the fourth-ever playoff meeting between the two sides, with Baltimore currently holding the advantage 2-1.
As of writing this, the Ravens are 3.5-point favorites, with the total set at 55. These two teams hooked up in Baltimore on Week 11, and it was the Titans who emerged victorious in overtime as six-point underdogs. Since that game, the Ravens have gone 5-1 to get hot at the right time, and the Titans finished the year just 3-2. This is the ultimate revenge game for the Ravens. However, instead of worrying about the side or the total, I’ve keyed a few props that I believe give us the best shot of turning a profit.
Team Total Points
Baltimore Ravens – “Over 29.5” -120, “Under 29.5”, -120
When I wrote my last Super Bowl Predictions piece, I spoke about how the Ravens are probably the last team anyone would want to match up against in the playoffs. They are on an absolute tear right now and have scored 38, 27, 40, 47, 34, over their last five games (all wins). Now they come into this contest finally fully healthy and with major revenge from what happened to them last season. Don’t think Lamar Jackson and John Harbaugh are going to let this game slip away from them. The Ravens offense racked up 404 rushing yards in their Week 17 win against the Bengals, and while it may have been against the Bengals, that just goes to show you how effective they can be running the football. They now get to take on a Titans team that ranks 19th against the run, 28th in total yards and 29th in passing yards allowed. They’ve given up 38, 40, 25, 10 and 41 over their last five games, and I don’t believe they will have what it takes this week to slow down this Ravens’ attack that is firing on all cylinders right now. Look for this to be a higher scoring game with the winning score – likely Baltimore – surpassing 30 points.
Pick: Over 29.5 -120
Player Passing Touchdowns
Lamar Jackson “Over” 1.5 +120, “Under” 1.5 -163
When you think of the Baltimore Ravens, and in particular Lamar Jackson, you think of a team that runs the football every single opportunity they get. The rankings would show that very thing as they rank first in rushing yards per game at almost 192 and dead last in passing yards per game at 171.2. However, while the run game may have a dominant game against the Titans’ defense this week, I believe the passing game is going to have success. Look, I mentioned it above. The Titans’ defense has given up a boatload of points over their last five games, and the secondary can be taken to the woodshed given the right looks and formations. If you look at Jackson’s last handful of games, he’s been efficient through the air, tossing three, two, three, one, two, one and two touchdown passes. All we need are a few redzone opportunities and you can almost bank on Mark Andrews catching a touchdown, or a big splash play from Marquise Brown that ends up in six points. The line is low, the value is there, and we’ll be all over a big Ravens’ offensive output in this contest.
Pick: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Player Total Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry “Over” 120.5 -115, “Under” 120.5 -115
As you are reading this paragraph, you are going to think to yourself that this is a dumb bet. Well, the fact of the matter is that it likely is, but I have my own idea of how the game script is going to go for the Titans and I see them behind early and behind big, which will cause them to abandon the run game. Look, we all know about Derrick Henry and the fact he hit the 2,000-yard mark this year and has three 200+ yard rushing games over his last four games. But here’s the thing; Houston, Detroit, Jacksonville and Green Bay are not the teams you bet on to stop the run. The Ravens have the eighth-best run-defense in the league. And I’ll bet they remember what Henry did to them last year (30 carries for 195 yards). The Ravens will devise a plan to stop Henry and force Tannehill to beat them through the air. That may backfire (I doubt it), but this number is inflated because of the season Henry had, and we’ll be looking to exploit that inflation.
Pick: Under 120.5 rushing yards.
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