NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 7

by Joey House - 10/15/2025

Most football fans know the phrase "any given Sunday," a nod to the NFL's unpredictability. Week 6 proved it again. Two preseason favorites for Super Bowl LX, the Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills, have lost two straight after starting 4-0. The Baltimore Ravens, also expected to contend, are now nearly eliminated at 1-5. Former Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has led Indianapolis to first place in the AFC South and is tied for the best record among starters at 5-1.

We recovered from a poor Week 5 by going 9-6 and scoring 72 of 120 points. It should have been better. Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels fumbled late in the fourth quarter. He kept smiling, but the turnover cost Washington and us a win. The Eagles on Thursday and the Bills on Monday looked like they never boarded the plane. I checked the scoresheet and saw I lost every primetime game. That has never happened before.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

15 – Kansas City vs. Las Vegas Kansas City has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 SU in their last nine meetings and 15-1 SU in their last 16 home games. Las Vegas is allowing 24.8 points per game while scoring just 17.2, making it difficult to keep pace with the Chiefs' high-powered offense. Winner: Kansas City

14 – Denver vs. NY Giants The Giants are coming off a big home win over Philadelphia, but are 0-8 SU in their last eight road games. They rank 26th in scoring at 20.2 points per game. Denver is 7-0 SU at home and boasts the league's second-ranked defense, allowing just 15.8 points per game. Winner: Denver

13 – Green Bay at Arizona Green Bay is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games against NFC West opponents and leads the league in rush defense, allowing only 73 yards per game. Arizona has dropped four straight after a 2-0 start and ranks 28th in pass defense, giving up 246 yards per game. Winner: Green Bay

12 – Philadelphia at Minnesota Carson Wentz, now on his sixth team, faces his former squad. In his only previous game against the Eagles, he was sacked nine times in a 24-8 loss. With 12 sacks taken in his last three games, Wentz is likely in for another punishing afternoon against Philadelphia's relentless pass rush. Winner: Philadelphia

11 – Seattle vs. Houston (MNF2) Houston is winless in two trips to Seattle and faces a Seahawks team ranked fifth in scoring at 27.7 points per game and sixth in defense at 19.5 points allowed. While the Texans lead the league in scoring defense at 12.2 points allowed, their offense averages just 21.6 points and may struggle to keep up. Winner: Seattle

10 – Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (TNF) Pittsburgh has owned this rivalry, going 10-2 SU in its last 12 visits to Cincinnati. The Bengals rank 29th in scoring at 17.2 points per game and 30th in defense, allowing 30.5 points per game, giving the Steelers a clear edge. Winner: Pittsburgh

09 – New England at Tennessee This is the Patriots' highest confidence ranking since the Tom Brady era. Expect a penalty-heavy game, with New England averaging a league-worst 8.8 penalties per game and Tennessee not far behind at 8.0. The Patriots' discipline should prove decisive. Winner: New England

08 – Jacksonville vs. LA Rams (Sunday Morning, England) The Rams' third-ranked passing offense at 269 yards per game takes a hit with WR Puka Nacua (54 receptions, 616 yards, 33 first downs) listed as doubtful. Jacksonville leads the league with a plus-8 turnover margin, making them the more reliable pick in this international matchup. Winner: Jacksonville

07 – Indianapolis at LA Chargers Daniel Jones is thriving behind a competent offensive line, completing 71.7 percent of his passes and averaging 250 yards per game. Both marks are career bests. His improved play should challenge a Chargers defense that has struggled to contain efficient quarterbacks. Winner: Indianapolis

06 – San Francisco vs. Atlanta (SNF) Atlanta is just 3-13 SU in its last 16 visits to San Francisco. The 49ers lead the league in passing offense at 291.5 yards per game, but Atlanta counters with the top-ranked pass defense at 139 yards allowed. San Francisco's minus-5 turnover differential could keep this one closer than expected. Winner: San Francisco

05 – Chicago vs. New Orleans New Orleans has lost nine of its last ten games, while Chicago has won three straight. The Bears lead the league with 12 forced turnovers and a plus-8 takeaway margin. The Saints rank 28th in scoring at 18.5 points per game and 25th in defense at 26.7 points allowed, and with the Bears' takeaway advantage, Chicago has the clear advantage. Winner: Chicago

04 – Carolina at NY Jets The Jets rank fifth in rushing at 135 yards per game, but Carolina is even better, fourth at 142 yards. The Panthers also own the ninth-best rush defense at 94 yards allowed. New York has lost six straight, while the Panthers are riding a two-game win streak. Winner: Carolina

03 – Cleveland vs. Miami This is the week's ugliest matchup. Cleveland ranks last in scoring at 13.7 points per game but has the third-best defense in total yards allowed. Miami's defense ranks 29th, giving up 29.0 points per game. Cleveland's defense allows 24.3 points, just enough to give them the edge. Winner: Cleveland

02 – Washington at Dallas Jayden Daniels faces scrutiny, but he'll benefit from facing Dallas' league-worst pass defense at 269 yards per game. Dak Prescott leads the NFL in pass attempts and completions, with 1,617 yards (second) and 13 touchdowns. Still, Washington's pass defense at 235 yards gives Daniels a fighting chance in a likely shootout. Winner: Washington

01 – Detroit vs. Tampa Bay (MNF1) Tampa Bay's Baker Mayfield is short on weapons, with the Bucs' top three receivers sidelined. Detroit, coming off a tough loss to Kansas City, should bounce back at home and take advantage of Tampa's depleted offense. Winner: Detroit

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Start:	October 15, 2025 @ 7:00 PM
Expert:	Scott Spreitzer
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NFL Confidence Pool Picks Week 7

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