NFL Handicapping Articles
NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Betting Options for Week 2
by George Monroy - 9/16/2015
Basic strategy teasers opened the year with a 2-1 record, and the only matchup to not cover the spread was the New Orleans Saints losing by 12 points on a +8.5-point teaser to the Arizona Cardinals. The wager needs to win at a 72-percent mark in order to become profitable, and last week's 66-percent clip would have lost bettors money if they had bet each teaser round-robin style. For Week 2, there are only three teasers on the board-two underdogs being pushed up past the seven-point mark and one favorite being pushed down toward the 1.5-point mark.
NFL Picks Good & Bad Bet: Underdogs with the Best Week 2 Betting Value
by George Monroy - 9/16/2015
Week 1 of the NFL season had five underdogs win their respective games outright, with the biggest two being the Buffalo Bills dominating the Indianapolis Colts and the St. Louis Rams pulling off an overtime victory against the defending NFL champion Seattle Seahawks. Many betting experts already had their eyes on these two matchup as possible underdog value, along with San Francisco's matchup as a home underdog against the Minnesota Vikings. Heading into Week 2, there are a few underdog situations that stand out for either being very good or very bad.
Free NFL Picks: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 9/15/2015
I clearly should have done my homework last week because I generally don't like previewing the same NFL team two weeks in a row if avoidable. I picked the Ravens-Broncos game in Week 1 because it was a potential playoff preview, but I didn't bother looking ahead to Week 2, and it's Denver at Kansas City on Thursday night, the first NFL Network/CBS Thursday telecast of the season. So I'll try and focus more on the Chiefs here if possible.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 2 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/15/2015
I was 2-1 on my three game picks in last week's Opening Line Report, hitting on Green Bay -6.5 at Chicago, although the Bears played it closer than I expected, as well as Miami -3.5 at Washington. The Redskins appear every bit as bad as they were expected to be. I missed on Indianapolis -2.5 at Buffalo as that Bills defense shut down Andrew Luck and Co. and Tyrod Taylor actually looked like a pretty solid NFL quarterback in his first regular-season start.
NFL Betting Analysis: Dez Bryant Injury and Dallas Cowboys Wagering Odds
by George Monroy - 9/15/2015
The Dallas Cowboys didn't have much time to celebrate after their thrilling come-from-behind victory over the New York Giants during the opening week of the season. Shortly after Tony Romo marched his team 72 yards down the field with a little over a minute on the clock and hit Jason Witten with the gaming-tying touchdown, news broke that Dez Bryant, who was injured earlier in the game, will miss four to six weeks with an broken bone in his foot.
Week 1 NFL Crushes the Vegas Books
by Raphael Esparza - 9/14/2015
It seems like only yesterday I hung up my suit & tie in the Las Vegas corporate world and retired from the Vegas sportsbooks. I will admit there are times I miss working behind the counter and bullshitting with co-workers and customers, but this Sunday I was perfectly happy sitting in my home office watching NFL games.
NFL Betting Advice and Handicapping: Biggest Concerns from Week 1
by Trevor Whenham - 9/14/2015
There were a lot of good things about that opening weekend in the NFL. We don't care about those right now. There were some things that were as bad as expected. Don't care about those either. What we want to focus on here are five situations where there were varying degrees of hope that were, more or less, shattered by what happened in the opening game.
NFL Betting and Wagering Lessons Learned from Week 1
by Trevor Whenham - 9/14/2015
The single biggest thing that bettors need to remember after the first week of the NFL season is that we really don't know much. Casual fans and lazy media members will panic about bad play and embrace strong play in the first week. Smarter people realize that prizes aren't won in September and that it is a long season.
NFL Odds and Betting: Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 9/12/2015
So, have you stopped cursing Pittsburgh Steelers kicker Josh Scobee yet? Scobee, acquired last month in a trade with Jacksonville after the Steelers lost two other kickers to major injury, missed two field goals in Thursday night's NFL Kickoff Game against New England. The Patriots won 28-21. The total in that was 51, and the "over" was taking a huge lean. All Scobee has to do is hit one of those, and presuming all else remained the same obviously the "over" hits.
NFL Props Odds with Expert Betting Picks and Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 9/11/2015
The Pittsburgh Steelers and the New England Patriots kicked off a new season of football in the NFL on Thursday night in a game that ended as a "push" with New England holding on for the seven-point win. Now it is time for bettors to turn their attention to a full slate of games this Sunday.
NFL Betting: Tips and Advice on Using In-Game Wagering
by George Monroy - 9/11/2015
NFL in-game betting is a wagering option that has been around for a few years already and is beginning to gain popularity amongst bettors. The concept is simple yet enticing. During commercials and time outs of NFL football games, new and updated lines are offered for bettors to wager on. For example, if New England begins the game as a seven-point favorite and then scores two straight touchdowns early in matchup, the updated spread would probably have the Patriots as a 10- to 12-point favorite (depending on the opponent).
How to Manage Your Bankroll: Keep Stats and Set Rules for NFL Betting
by George Monroy - 9/10/2015
Bankroll management is one of those boring topics that tends to get overlooked by bettors, but it's of the utmost importance for anyone looking to make a profit by wagering on sports. If you are a serious gambler, managing your money is akin to a business owner managing his or her books. Would you expect any business person to not have detailed records and knowledge of the amount of money they made or lost last year?
Free NFL Betting Predictions: Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos Odds and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/9/2015
It was tough picking which Sunday NFL game to preview for Week 1. Packers-Bears is always interesting, and Green Bay begins life without Pro Bowl receiver Jordy Nelson. MMQB writer Peter King has the Packers as his Super Bowl champions, and I know a lot of other experts feel the same way despite no Nelson.
Yards Per Point: One Simple Stat, Three Winning NFL Systems
by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2015
The National Football League is state-sanctioned chaos. It's a weekly ritual of violence and speed featuring carbon-fiber-clad sociopaths with hyperactive pituitary glands mauling and maiming one another. It's a bizarre sport and senseless entertainment that has become a pillar of our national consciousness and economy.
Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 1
by Dave Schwab - 9/9/2015
The long wait for a new season in the NFL is finally over, and I am happy to announce that I will once again be covering the NFC East for Doc's Sports. The Dallas Cowboys had a breakout season in 2014 with a 12-4 record and a division title, but the new-look Philadelphia Eagles are primed to reclaim the top spot after winning the NFC East the season before.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 1 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 9/9/2015
The key to success when betting totals is to dig deep into the facts, stats and betting trends for all the matchups on the slate in an effort uncover a few golden opportunities to beat the sportsbooks with a few bad lines. The following are my top three picks for Week 1 of the 2015 NFL regular season based on betting odds by BetOnline.
Week 1 NFL Betting Advice: What to look for when Handicapping Matchups
by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2015
Week 1 of the NFL season is finally here, and we are ready to rock. But a common mistake that amateur gamblers make is that they are so geeked up that pro football is back that they overexpose themselves and their bankroll in the opening weekend.
NFL Week 1 Betting Cheat Sheet: Closer Look at the Stats and Trends
by George Monroy - 9/9/2015
Approaching the opening week of the NFL season can be more difficult and confusing than any other betting week of the year. The first set of games during the football season are almost a blank slate as most teams are dealing with new roster additions, coaching changes, incorporating draft picks and dealing with heightened or lowered expectations.
Free NFL Betting Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Odds
by Alan Matthews - 9/8/2015
Great way to kick off the NFL season on Thursday night, and I'm expecting mammoth ratings and betting action as we finally put "Deflategate" past us -- smartly, Commissioner Roger Goodell won't be in attendance on Thursday -- and get to some real football as the Super Bowl champion Patriots host Pittsburgh on NBC. It's two of the best quarterbacks of this era in four-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady of the Patriots and two-time champ Ben Roethlisberger of the Steelers.
NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Betting Options for Week 1
by George Monroy - 9/8/2015
The 2015 NFL season is only hours away, and at this point most bettors have poured over every single line looking for the best value during Week 1. And while there are quite a few great spots to bet on, another opportunity to find value is by wagering on a basic strategy teaser. The bet takes favorites of 7.5, 8.0, and 8.5 points and teases them down to under three points and takes underdogs of 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5 points and teases them up past the seven-point mark.
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