2020 Dallas Cowboys Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
I have already been caught openly weeping for the death of the New England Patriots dynasty this offseason. Not out of any allegiance or affinity for the Patriots, mind you; my sadness was strictly relegated to the NFL betting success that I’ve had with New England over the last 15 years.
On top of that, another empire was dealt a deathblow this offseason as the Dallas Cowboys finally moved on from Jason Garrett. Of course, the Dallas Empire was one built on a foundation of hype, trash and broken dreams. But it also led to a lot of success at for gamblers consistently betting against the Boys.
With the Patriots, you always knew that they were going to show up in big games and when you needed them to. Over the last 15 years, the Cowboys have been exactly the opposite. This was a team that you always knew was going to let its fans and backers down. You could always count on the Cowboys to underachieve and fail to live up to their own hype. You could always count on them to do the absolute wrong thing at the absolute wrong time to lose games in the most gut-wrenching ways.
Mike McCarthy, another perpetual underachiever, has been tasked with getting this Cowboys team over the hump. He inherits an extremely talented Cowboys roster that has no clear weaknesses beyond its lack of mental toughness, lack of killer instinct, and lack of attention to detail. Those are issues directly related to coaching. And it will be interesting to see if McCarthy can change this team’s mental profile.
Dallas had the No. 1 total offense in the NFL last year. Not the Chiefs. Not the 49ers. Not the Ravens. No team in football gained more yards than the Cowboys last year at 431.5 per game. They were No. 2 in passing and No. 5 in rushing yards, leading to the No. 6 scoring offense in the NFL.
The current drama involves quarterback Dak Prescott and his contract battle with the front office. The consensus on Prescott is that he’s a mid-level quarterback with “game manager” tendencies that is the beneficiary of being surrounded by supreme talent. He isn’t considered a true superstar or playmaker and therefore seen as somewhat disposable. Despite that public perception, Prescott wants a top-market quarterback money, and his uncertain future could cast a dark cloud over this season.
The Cowboys boast one of the best offensive lines in football. That is the real engine that makes their offense go. Ezekiel Elliott is one of the best running backs in the game, and the receiving corps, led by Amari Cooper, is deep and talented.
Defensively, the Cowboys have all the pieces. They have finished in the Top 10 in total defense each of the past three seasons. Demarcus Lawrence and Tyrone Crawford anchor a defensive line that added veterans Dontari Poe and Everson Griffen. Linebackers Leighton Vander Esche and Jaylon Smith have Pro Bowl talent and are entering their prime. The secondary is a perpetual weak spot. But Ha Ha Clinton-Dix was added to supply experience and playmaking.
The pieces are in place for the Cowboys to dominate their shoddy division. They haven’t been able to put it all together, though, due to a mix of poor leadership and a toxic franchise culture. The Cowboys are proven losers and NFL villains. In fact, they are worse than villains because they have spent decades convincing the public that they are actually the heroes.
For good or ill, McCarthy was scapegoated for a lot of the shortcomings of the Packers franchise over the past decade. If he is a top-tier coach, now is his last best chance to prove it. If he is not, then he’ll be just another in a long line of losers that couldn’t steer the Cowboys back onto a championship path.
Besides their own bloated sense of self-importance, there are actual reasons for optimism around this team. Dallas was one of the biggest statistical underachievers in football last year, finishing nearly three wins below their Pythagorean win expectation. They also went 0-5 in close games last year and finished with a negative turnover differential. All of those numbers suggest a positive regression for this squad.
Of course, we’ve heard it all before with the Cowboys. They are one of the most public teams in the NFL and one of the squarest bets in all of sports. Dallas is constantly overhyped and the value on this team is usually nil. However, I think that they have a weak division and a manageable schedule. They also have undeniable talent, and I think they should easily get to 10 wins.
Take Dallas ‘Over’ 9.5 wins.
Robert Ferringo has been the top football handicapper in the country the past 10 years, earning nearly $40,000 in total football profit (average profit: +$3,800). He has also posted 8 of 10 winning seasons (including four straight winning years) and produced an amazing 53 of 82 winning football months over the past 13 years. Robert has hit at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 1,000 totals picks and has posted 12 of 14 winning Super Bowls. Robert is looking for a fifth straight winning football year and wants more profit this fall. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!
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