2025 Indianapolis Colts Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

The Indianapolis Colts failed to get anything going last season largely thanks to their quarterback play. Between Anthony Richardson Sr. and Joe Flacco, the offense never had a chance to flourish as they scored more than 30 points just twice last season. They would finish with an 8-9 record and finish second in the AFC South division. They finished the season with a -50-point differential largely due to their failure to perform on the road as the Colts managed a mere 3-6 record away from home.
The offense ranked 13th in the league in YPG while they managed 22.2 PPG. Richardson led the team with 1,814 passing yards in 11 games while throwing eight touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He also finished second in rushing yards with 499 while adding another six touchdowns on the ground, though he did fumble the ball seven times. Flacco finished right behind Richardson in passing yards with 1,761 in just eight games while throwing 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the Colts rushing attack despite playing in just 14 games. He finished the year with 1,431 yards and 11 rushing touchdowns on 303 carries. Behind Taylor was Trey Sermon and Tyler Goodson who combined to record 312 yards and three touchdowns on 88 carries. Indianapolis had three receivers record at least 800 receiving yards. Alec Pierce led the way with 824 yards and seven touchdowns despite finishing with just 37 receptions. Michael Pittman Jr. finished second on the team with 808 yards with three touchdowns while Josh Downs finished third with 803 yards and second in receiving touchdowns with five.
The defense was one of the worst units in the league as they allowed over 360 YPG which ranked 29th in the NFL while their 25.1 allowed PPG ranked 24th. They did have four members of their defense reach the 100-tackle milestone. Zaire Franklin not only led the team but also led the league in tackles with 173. He also led the team with 11 TFL’s and also added 3.5 sacks, six pass deflections, and two interceptions, and five forced fumbles. Nick Cross finished second on the team and ninth in the league with 146 tackles while also recording six TFL’s, one sack, five pass deflections, and three interceptions. E.J. Speed added 142 tackles in just 15 games while adding seven TFL’s, five pass deflections, and one interception. Jaylon Jones was the final member of the Colts defense to record at least 100 tackles. Jones also led the team with 12 pass deflections and also recorded two interceptions and three TFL’s.
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Key Additions/Losses
The quarterback room behind Richardson was emptied as Flacco joined the quarterback battle in Cleveland while Sam Ehlinger signed with Denver. The interior of the offensive line saw Will Fries and Ryan Kelly sign with Minnesota while Sermon was not re-signed. On defense, they lost Speed to Houston, defensive linemen Dayo Odeyingbo, Taven Bryan, and Raekwon Davis, as well as safety Julian Blackmon. Kicker Matt Gay also left to sign with Washington.
Despite all the losses, the Colts were not very active in free agency. They brought in Daniel Jones to create some competition with Richardson while also bringing in running back Khalil Herbert. Indianapolis brought in Neville Gallimore to fill in some holes in the defensive line and they signed Corey Ballentine, Charvarius Ward, and Camryn Bynum to boost the secondary.
New Kids on the Block
The Colts added do it all tight end Tyler Warren to boost their offense with the 14th pick in this year’s draft. They added edge rusher JT Tuimoloau who will boost the pass rush along with Kwity Paye. The rest of their draft class is as follows: Justin Walley (CB, Minnesota), Jalen Travis (OT, Iowa State), DJ Giddens (RB, Kansas State), Riley Leonard (QB, Notre Dame), Tim Smith (DT, Alabama), and Hunter Wohler (S, Wisconsin).
X-Factors
QB Room- The biggest question surrounding this Colts team is the quarterback situation. Richardson and Jones will be one of the most interesting quarterback battles heading into the season, though the ceiling for Richardson is much higher if he can clean up the turnovers and stay on the field. Either way, this is not an ideal situation for a Colts franchise who has not reached the playoffs since 2020.
Front Office- Another big X-Factor that will impact this team is the buy in of the front office. They were not very active over the course of the offseason despite being a fringe playoff team last year. Indianapolis had a solid draft class and has some pieces to build around, but the front office members seem to be dragging their feet until the clouds clear over the long-term quarterback situation.
Indianapolis Colts Notable Odds
Super Bowl Winner: +7500
AFC Champion: +3400
AFC South Winner: +330
NFL MVP- Anthony Richardson: +15000
AP Defensive Player of the Year- DeForest Buckner: +20000
AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- Tyler Warren: +2500
Indianapolis Colts Schedule Breakdown
Predicted Win Total: 7.5 Wins
This season may be a long one for Colts fans. Despite playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, it is quite possible this team will fall below the projected win total of 7.5 wins. Their schedule indicates just four wins coming in Week 1 against Miami, Week 5 against Las Vegas, Week 8 against Tennessee, and Week 17 against Jacksonville. However, it may be tough for the Colts to find four more wins on the schedule given the state of the quarterback battle. With a tough road schedule and a vastly improved Houston team, I think the Colts will lose more games than last season with seven wins being the ceiling for this team.
2025 Indianapolis Colts Predictions
If Richardson plays up to his potential and can stay healthy, Indianapolis could be a real threat to sneak into the playoffs. However, that is a big if as he has played in just 15 games over his first two seasons. On top of that, the Texans are much improved and so are the Patriots who are another team to add in the wild card mix in the AFC. Indianapolis could see their first-round selection be a real contender for Rookie of the Year, but I don’t think he will have the consistency at quarterback to see his numbers reach their full potential. Until Richardson can put together a 17-game season and limit the turnovers, it is hard to buy in to this Colts team.
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