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2025 New York Giants Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Spencer Toth - 8/13/2025

New York Giants predictions Russell Wilson

It is hard to believe the New York Giants won a playoff game two seasons ago. This team has had a revolving door at quarterback since then, and they hit a new low last year with a 3-14 record. That was the worst showing for the Giants in the last 50 years, but it didn’t earn them a high draft pick as a result. After committing to the rebuild last season, the Giants are taking steps in the right direction heading into 2025. Head coach Brian Daboll’s chair has gotten warmer over the last 12 months, and it’s time for New York to start putting wins on the board this season. Can the Giants compete in the tough NFC East, or will it be another lost season in New York?

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Offseason Recap

Just like with many rebuilding teams, the New York Giants had a busy offseason trying to sculpt a competitive roster. In the draft, the Giants secured the services of Abdul Carter with the third overall pick. Carter joins an incredible pass rush in New York featuring Dexter Lawrence, Brian Burns, and Kayvon Thibodeaux. The towering Penn State lineman will make an instant impact in New York, and the Giants will consistently test the opposition’s offensive lines this season. Carter can also drop into coverage as he spent a large portion of his college career at linebacker, and he will give the Giants flexibility on the defensive side of the ball. 

While Carter will undoubtedly create some highlight reel plays, the biggest changes for the Giants came at the quarterback position. Daniel Jones was shipped to Indianapolis to make space for Russell Wilson as the full-time starter. Wilson brings a plethora of NFL experience with him to New York, and will be looking to bounce back after a disappointing season in Pittsburgh. His play was handcuffed with the Steelers’ conservative playcalling, but he did only turn the ball over five times, matching his career-low. Wilson will not be getting any younger at 36 years old, but he is still a clear upgrade over Jones. Additionally, if Wilson doesn’t work out in New York, the Giants also traded up to take Jaxson Dart at the end of the first round. 

In an ideal world, Wilson has a great season with New York and Dart has time to learn and grow before being thrown under center. However, the Giants have yet to replace Eli Manning, and Dart may end up as the starter sooner rather than later. The Ole Miss quarterback has incredible arm strength, and is capable of making accurate throws at all three levels of the field. His build allows him to keep defenses honest with designed quarterback runs, and he still has plenty of room to grow at 22 years old. He will certainly have to speed up his process to get up to the speed of the NFL, but he will hopefully have time to do so before taking over as the starter. 

The Giants also retooled their defense over the summer, signing a pair of high-end players for their secondary with all their extra cap space. Jevon Holland and Paulson Adebo are both expected to make an impact this season on the defensive side of the ball. The Giants have no shortage of pass rushers, and if the secondary can play up to par, there will be a serious No Fly Zone in New York. Their defense struggled both on the ground and through the air last season, and their offseason additions could have this team competing for a playoff spot as soon as this season. 

Season Expectations

New York is still licking its wounds from losing Saquon Barkley, and the expectations have been curbed heading into the year. A quarterback change and several changes on both sides of the ball keep the door open for a miracle, but the expectations are certainly limited. Malik Nabers was one of the lone bright spots from last year for New York, and his development could vault the Giants up the standings. Nabers put up 1,204 yards in his rookie year, which was 7th in the league amongst receivers. Even more impressive, he broke the rookie record for receptions with 109 while taking passes from Jones, Drew Lock, Tommy DeVito, and Tim Boyle. His ability to pick up yards after the catch allowed him to thrive despite inconsistent quarterback play, and he will be a real threat with a hopefully improved signal caller. His ongoing injury concerns must be closely monitored, but Nabers has the chance to rise to the superstar tier in the NFL this season. Remarkably, he was able to do what he did while the Giants finished with a bottom-five offense in PPG, yards per game, and 3rd down conversion percentage. The only direction is up for the Giants' offense, and their crafty defensive signings have put this team on upset watch in a crowded NFC East. 

New York Giants Schedule Breakdown

While there is a lot to love about where the Giants are heading, their schedule is not one of them. New York has the hardest schedule in the league this season and will face an uphill battle on a weekly basis. They are in the NFC East alongside both NFC finalists, and the Dallas Cowboys are also due for some improvement. Those six games will not be easy, and it doesn’t get any better as they have to face off against the NFC North and AFC West. The NFC North sent three teams to the playoffs last year, and the AFC West features the Chiefs, Chargers, and Broncos. Additionally, even though the Giants finished fourth in the division, their other fourth-place matchups are against the 49ers, Patriots, and Saints. San Francisco and New England are both expected to be much better this season, which leaves the Giants with very few easy games to look forward to. 

New York Giants Odds

Scheduling is everything in the NFL, so even though the Giants got better on paper, they are expected to struggle again this year. They have the third-longest odds to make the playoffs this season at +700, and are a stunning +3000 to win the division. This team will likely be able to pull off a few upsets, but they are destined to finish with another double-digit loss season. Their win total is set at 5.5 games, which is not surprising in the slightest. Based on the projected win totals around the league, the Giants have only two games against teams expected to finish with 7 or fewer wins. No easy matchups will hurt the ceiling of this team, and if the wheels fall off early, they may start looking ahead to next year before their Week 14 bye week. They have the shortest odds to have the worst record in the league at +400, which offers a reasonable upside for a team heading nowhere fast. 

2025 New York Giants Season Predictions and Best Bets

This is one of the toughest teams to handicap heading into the season. I am all over what the Giants have done this offseason, especially on the defensive side of the ball. It wouldn’t be surprising to see things start to click early and for New York to pull off a few stunning upsets against Super Bowl contenders. If Russell Wilson can turn back the clock with an open playbook, his connection with Malik Nabers could be enough for New York to play meaningful football down the stretch. However, their schedule is simply unavoidable. They open up the season against the Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs, and Chargers. An 0-4 record is the most likely outcome, and it is hard to imagine this team rallying from there. They will elect to shut down Russell Wilson early in the season and stumble across the finish line. While I won’t be touching their win total, the only bet I can see that makes sense for this team is to finish 4th in the NFC East at -185 odds. Dallas will be better this year and has an easier schedule, while New York will almost certainly finish behind Washington and Philadelphia. I am not a fan of this kind of odds for a season-long future, but parlaying it with another divisional prop will boost your return nicely. 

Pick: New York Giants to Finish 4th in the NFC East -185

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