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2025 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Spencer Toth - 8/17/2025

Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions Mike Evans

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be looking to win the NFC South for the fifth consecutive season, and their third with Baker Mayfield under center. Tampa Bay plays a unique brand of football on both sides of the ball, and they have been able to physically dominate their opposition in recent years. They have improved their record in each of the last three seasons and appear to be getting better with each passing snap. Can Mayfield take the next step and vault himself into the elite tier of quarterbacks, or is it time for the sleeping giants in the NFC South to finally take a stand?

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Offseason Recap

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had an effective offseason without completely overhauling their roster. It started in the draft, where the Buccaneers took Emeka Egbuka with the 19th overall pick. It is hard to say that wide receiver was a glaring hole in this dominant offense, but the Buccaneers' front office felt as though they couldn’t let a “top-10 on our board” player slip away. Egbuka joins a talented receiver group featuring Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and impressive sophomore Jalen McMillan. While Egbuka was a fun signing for the fans, the front office used the rest of their draft picks to address defensive needs. Two corners and two edges will join the Buccaneers roster, as will Haason Reddick. Reddick is a real boost for this pass rush, as he posted double-digit sack numbers in four straight seasons before getting hurt last year with the Jets. Reddick can play all over the defense, which is a great aspect of his game, and he joins a Tampa Bay defense that already boasts the talents of Vita Vea up the middle. Outside of Reddick and the draft, the Buccaneers remained quiet this offseason as they rightfully believe a clean bill of health could fuel a deep playoff run. 

Season Expectations

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had a ‘why not us?’ mentality over the last few seasons. While they had previously been missing the quarterback play needed to succeed in the playoffs after Tom Brady retired, they now have their answer. Baker Mayfield had the best season of his career with the Buccaneers last season, throwing for 41 touchdowns through the air. This allowed the Buccaneers to finish inside the top five in PPG, yards per game, red zone percentage, and they lead the league with a 51% third down percentage. There are many great offenses in the NFL, but what Mayfield and the Buccaneers did last season doesn’t get enough credit. Mike Evans also had a big role to play, as he logged his 12th straight 1,000 yard season despite missing three games with a hamstring injury. Chris Godwin is still hurt to begin the season, but the young receiving depth around the veteran Evans will allow this offense to thrive. 

The Buccaneers have proven they are offensive juggernauts who are running it back with a similar unit this season. However, their defense needs work, especially in the passing game if this team is going to compete against teams outside the dreadful NFC South. Tampa Bay is effective at stopping the run, but they allowed the third-most passing yards against them last season. Drafting corners and pass rushers will certainly help, but the Buccaneers will still only be able to go as far as this defense allows. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Schedule Breakdown

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an easier-than-average schedule, thanks to their position in the NFC South. The Saints, Panthers, and Falcons are all long shots to make the playoffs, and Tampa Bay has the benefit of six meetings against those sides. They also have to go through the AFC East, which is relatively easy outside of the Bills, and the NFC West. However, since they won the NFC South with a 10-7 record last season, they also have to face off against the first-place Lions, Eagles, and Texans. The rest of their division has the luxury of avoiding these difficult matchups, and Tampa Bay will need to take care of business in their divisional matchups if they are to come out on top. The Buccaneers have an especially easy end to the year, as their final five games are against the Falcons, Dolphins, Saints, and a pair against the Panthers. If they can float in the .500 range heading into that stretch, they will position themselves nicely for a fifth straight divisional crown. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

Tampa Bay is the odds-on favorite to prevail in the NFC South at +100, and has -160 odds to make the playoffs. The most likely route to a playoff spot for the Buccaneers is with a division title, as a weak NFC South is unlikely to send multiple teams to the postseason. The Buccaneers have a win total of 9.5 wins, which makes a lot of sense considering the fact that they finished 9-8 and 10-7 in each of the last two seasons. They have been able to use their physicality to dominate the bottom half of the league, but have been unable to take the final step without patching their pass defense. To take it a step further, the Buccaneers have 7th-best odds to win the NFC at +1400 and tasty +2800 odds to win the Super Bowl. These odds are hard to justify considering the direct path the Buccaneers have to the playoffs. The Lions, Vikings, Packers, and Bears all have equivalent or shorter odds to win the NFC, but all find themselves in the NFC North. 

2025 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Season Predictions and Best Bets

The Buccaneers have the perfect blueprint for another solid season in Tampa Bay. Baker Mayfield appears to have finally found his home in the NFL, and his ability to spread the ball and play confident football allows Tampa Bay to trust him under center. Their physicality leads to fewer mistakes, and I expect another double-digit win total with a divisional crown to go with it. The first bet to make is for the Buccaneers to win the NFC South at +100 odds. Their over 9.5 win total has a similar -115 price tag, but the division pick is the sharper play to make. It is far more likely the Buccaneers go 9-8 and win the NFC South than they go 10-7 or better and finish second behind Atlanta or Carolina. Additionally, there is plenty of value in the Buccaneers to make a deep playoff run this season. Winning the division will allow them to play at home in the Wild Card round, and assuming they defend their home turf, they will be just one win away from the NFC championship. Getting +1400 odds on the Buccaneers is a great price tag and offers the kind of upside we are looking for when making season-long bets. The +2800 Super Bowl pick isn’t as juicy, as the Buccaneers will likely be underdogs in the Super Bowl if they do go on to win the NFC. 

Top Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the NFC South +100

Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the NFC +1400

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