Free NFL Prop Predictions - Week 7
by Jay Horne - 10/22/2009
The Denver Broncos magic streak stayed alive last week, but QB Kyle Orton was just 15 yards shy of putting us back into the profit margin for the year. Our prop selections took another hit, falling one game under .500 on the year, but we look to right the ship this week. One of the big headlines heading into Week 7 will be the much-anticipated debut of San Francisco wide receiver Michael Crabtree. Crabtree was a part of a contract holdout that caused the 49ers rookie to miss all of the preseason along with the first six weeks of the regular season. Take a look as we break down some interesting betting lines that involve Crabtree and others to bet on for Week 7 in the NFL.
Prop Bets for Week 7 can be found at Bodog.
Prop Bet No. 1 - Michael Crabtree total receptions vs. Houston Texans Week 7
Michael Crabtree's contract absurdity have caused him to miss all of the preseason and the first six weeks of the regular season. The time out will undoubtedly effect his overall production this season and how quickly he adapts to the next level. However, the 49ers will get his feet wet quickly this week against the Texans as Crabtree is expected to start on the opposite side of the field as WR Isaac Bruce. The 49ers own one of the worst wide receiving corps in the NFL so it will not be hard for Crabtree to make some type of impact. Coach Mike Singletary will get Crabtree a few quick throws to take the edge off and expect a quick catch or two out of the gates. Surely this will be a learning experience, but Crabtree will stay on the field in hopes to help the struggling passing game. The catches should not be difficult as the rookie had some of the best hands in the nation at the college ranks and Crabtree will grab a few balls this Sunday. The ability to break some big plays and catch some deeper passes through strong route running may take much longer.
Pick - Over 3
Prop Bet No. 2 - Arizona Cardinals total points vs. New York Giants Week 7
Anyone think the pressure is on the New York Giants defense to perform this week? The Giants defense was dominated last week in their big matchup with New Orleans, allowing 48 points and nearly 500 total yards. The Giants defense is supposed to be one of the best groups in the NFC, but they were embarrassed last week by the league's best offense. However, the Giants defense will come out in full force this week in a statement game to prove last week was a fluke. In fact, New York still ranks first in the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 149 yards per game despite last week's awful performance. The Cardinals offense is the most unbalanced attack in the league. Arizona has attempted an NFL-low 99 rushing attempts this year and is averaging another league-low 2.9 yards per attempt. The Cardinals passing game behind QB Kurt Warner remains their only way to move the football. The Arizona offense is not as prolific as popular perception might insist. The Cardinals are averaging just 22 points per game this week when they meet the angry Giants defense that will shut them down. Arizona has failed to score 20 points or more in each loss this year and that will be the case again when New York bounces back this week.
Pick - Under 19.5
Prop Bet No. 3 - DeAngelo Williams & Jonathan Stewart - Total Combined Rushing Yards Week 7 vs. the Buffalo Bills Week 7
The Carolina Panthers disappointing start has mainly been blamed on QB Jake Delhomme. Delhomme has thrown 10 interceptions this season, which is more than any other quarterback in the league. It is safe to say the air attack has been grounded for the Panthers this year. However, even the running game has been a disappointment until a big game last week against Tampa Bay. Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams combined for 262 yards as the Panthers pulled out the victory, 28-21. For Williams, it was his first performance of more than 80 yards on the season. For Stewart, it was his first day with more than 65 yards. Both backs are averaging just 124 yards per game and neither tailback has had a great season. Buffalo owns the league's worst rushing defense, allowing 180 yards per game. However, don't let the numbers fool you. I think Buffalo will have a solid performance this week as the pressure is on the team to win. Not only will they have the opportunity to get back on the winning track, but the entire Carolina offense will continue to struggle.
Pick - Under 175.5
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