NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 17
by Dave Schwab - 12/24/2013
This season’s NFC East division title all comes down to Sunday night’s matchup between Philadelphia and Dallas at AT&T Stadium in what will be the final game of the 2013 NFL regular season. These two teams have been neck-and-neck in the standings all season long, so it is only fitting they meet in a winner-take-all showdown. On the undercard, Washington and New York will battle it out at MetLife Stadium for nothing but pride. I went against the Redskins last Sunday with a 3-Unit play, and even though they managed to lose to the Cowboys SU they covered with the 2.5 points at home. This dropped my overall record on my weekly picks to 12-4, but I am a profitable $2,970 for the yearon a $100 wager.
All season long I have briefly previewed all the games in the NFC East as well as highlighted my top ‘pick of the week’ with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System. I have been tracking the results of these selections as the season progresses with the goal of ending up with at least a $1,000 profit by the end of the year, so suffice to say it has been a very good year. Below is a look at the two Week 17 games in the division, with NFL odds provided by 5Dimes.
Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants (Sunday, Dec. 29, 1 p.m.)
Washington’s descent from first to worst in the NFC East includes a current seven-game losing streak and an overall straight up record of 3-12. The Redskins have covered the last two weeks after going 0-5 against the spread during the first five games of their skid, but they are still a costly 5-10 ATS overall. Kirk Cousins has taken over the starting job at quarterback for an ineffective and banged-up Robert Griffin III, but the real problem with this team has been a defense that is ranked 21st in the NFL in yards allowed (359.1) and 31st in points allowed (30.5).
The Giants battled back from a disastrous 0-6 SU start with six victories in their last nine games, but there are still some major issues on both sides of the ball for this team as well. Eli Manning has not been able to produce the big plays on an offense that is averaging just 18.3 points a game. New York’s defense has struggled against both the pass and the run at times this season while allowing an average of 25.1 points a game. The Giants are also 6-9 ATS this season with a costly 2-5 ATS record at home. The total has stayed “under” in three of their last four games.
New York has been opened as a 3.5-point home favorite for its season finale, and the total has been set at 45.5.
NFC East ‘Pick of the Week’
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (Sunday, Dec. 29, 8:25 p.m.)
Philadelphia could have taken last Sunday night off against Chicago once it knew that this Sunday’s game would decide the division title, but it decided to build some momentum for this contest by crushing the Bears 54-11 as a 2.5-point home favorite. Nick Foles continues to throw the ball well, LeSean McCoy has been unstoppable running the ball, and the defense returned to form after taking Week 15 against Minnesota off. This is not the same offense that Dallas held to just three points the first time these teams met this year.
The big story in Big D is the health of Tony Romo’s back. Conflicting reports have the Cowboys’ signal caller out for the season with a herniated disc in his back, while head coach Jason Garrett and team owner Jerry Jones continue to insist he could still be ready to play by Sunday night. The opening line for this game had the Eagles favored by 2.5 points, and that has now jumped to seven points with Romo out of the lineup. After watching the Cowboys’ defense the past three weeks, it really does not matter whether Romo plays or not since he does not line up on that side of the ball. I had Philly winning this game by double-digits before the Romo situation even came up based on the current form of both teams.
5-Unit Play take Philadelphia (-7) over Dallas
YTD Record 12-4 (+$2,970)
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