NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 4
by Dave Schwab - 9/25/2013
The NFC East is quickly turning into the NFC least with a straight up record of 1-7 in the last two weeks. Both Washington and New York are still looking for their first win of the year, and Philadelphia has lost its last two after beating the Redskins on opening weekend. I suffered my first loss of the season in my pick of the week when the Giants failed to show up for last week’s game against Carolina.
Each week of the season I will briefly preview all the games in the NFC East and highlight my top pick of the week with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System. I will be tracking the results as the season progresses with the goal of making at least $1000 profit with my picks. All lines quoted have been provided by 5Dimes.
New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, Sept. 29, 1 p.m.)
The Giants will kick off this NFC East meets AFC West series with nowhere to go but up after last week’s 38-0 meltdown against the Panthers as one-point road favorites. Everything that could go wrong for this team has, with the worst turnover ratio in the league at -9. Eli Manning has accounted for the majority of these turnovers with eight interceptions. They have been opened as 4.5-point underdogs for Sunday’s game, with the total set at 44
Kansas City has been feasting on the NFC East so far with victories over Dallas and Philadelphia on its way to a surprising 3-0 SU start (2-1 against the spread). A victory this Sunday would double the Chiefs win total from a year ago and would make Andy Reid an early candidate for Coach of the Year after getting fired by the Eagles at the end of last season.
Washington Redskins vs. Oakland Raiders (Sunday, Sept 29, 4:25 p.m.)
While everyone has been so focused on what is wrong with Robert Griffin III in his second season as the Redskins’ starting quarterback, most of the attention for the 0-3 start both SU and ATS should center around a defense that has given up a total of 98 points so far. It is ranked 31st in the league against both the pass and the run.
Oakland comes into this game with quarterback Terrelle Pryor listed as “questionable” after taking a hit to the head in this past Monday night’s loss to Denver. While 5Dimes still has this game off its board, look for the Raiders to open as three- or four-point underdogs at home. They are off to a 1-2 start SU (2-0-1 ATS), with the only win coming at home against lowly Jacksonville.
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Diego Chargers (Sunday, Sept. 29, 4:25 p.m.)
Dallas is sitting atop the division at 2-1 SU and a perfect 3-0 ATS after last Sunday’s 31-7 rout of St. Louis as a 3.5-point home favorite. The impressive thing about that win was the Cowboys’ ability to move the ball on the ground behind DeMarco Murray, who gained 175 yards on 26 carries.
The Chargers have now been on the winning and losing end of last-second scores in all three of their previous games this season. They beat Philadelphia on a game-winning field but lost to Houston and Tennessee in the closing seconds of those games. The game against the Titans ended as a “push,” but they covered as underdogs in the other two contests. San Diego has been opened as a one-point home underdog for Sunday’s matchup, with the total set at 46.5.
NFC East Pick of the Week
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos (Sunday, Sept. 29 4:25 p.m.)
It has been a rough go of it for Philadelphia against the AFC West this season with back-to-back losses to San Diego and Kansas City as favorites. The one thing we have learned about Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense is, when working according to plan, it can quickly move the ball downfield and almost score at will. The Eagles are second only to Denver in total offense and are averaging 26.3 points a game.
The total line for this game is set at 57 mainly because Denver is averaging 42.3 points a game on its own. Peyton Manning is playing at an extremely high level while fully utilizing all the weapons in the Broncos’ deep and talented arsenal. He has already thrown 12 touchdowns to five different receivers and has yet to be picked off in 122 attempts. He should have a field day against an Eagles’ defense that is ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass and 26th in points allowed.
3-Unit Play Take Philadelphia vs. Denver OVER 57
YTD Record 2-1 (+370)
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Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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