NFL Office Pool Picks Week 13 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
As a football handicapper, it has always imperative that you learn something each week and then apply it to the following slate of games. Last week we learned that the Rams are not as good as everyone wants them to be and that the laying points with terrible teams such as the Texans is a bad idea. We also learned that bell-cow running backs have a very hard time avoiding the IR as we saw Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook go down with injuries, with the prior missing the rest of the season. This week, we will find out who the best team in the AFC East is as we have a showdown between the Patriots and Bills (keep an eye open for my Monday Night Football piece on Friday), and we will find out if laying points with road favorites is a good idea or not (eight of the 14 games fall under this category). Either way, let’s get down to business.
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Week 13 Picks Against the Spread
Dallas Cowboys -4.5 over New Orleans Saints: It’s been a really long time since the Saints have been this bad. You’d have to almost go back to before Drew Brees was the starting quarterback. The Saints have been awful, and I don’t think a home date with a high-powered Cowboys offense is a good spot to back them.
Arizona Cardinals -8 over Chicago Bears: The Cardinals are coming off a bye and should have both Murray and Hopkins back in the lineup for this in. Don’t overthink this one. The Cardinals are the better team on both sides of the football and will win this one with ease.
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 over New York Jets: Just when you think the Eagles are starting to turn the corner and make a push for a playoff spot, they lose a winnable game against a bad Giants team. Now they face the other New York team that is off a win. However, despite that, I see the Eagles handling their business.
Indianapolis Colts -9 over Houston Texans: The Colts should have won last week’s game vs Tampa Bay. They dominated the Bucs, but a few lapses in judgment cost them the win. Now they get to tee off against a piss-poor Texans team that just lost to the Jets. Don’t overthink this one.
Los Angeles Chargers +3 over Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals were full marks for their dominating win against the Steelers and have now won two straight to get back into the thick of the playoff race. The Chargers lost a very winnable game to the Broncos and now find themselves at 6-5 and clinging on to the final wild card spot. I still think their defense is better than the Bengals, and that will be the difference in this one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -11 over Atlanta Falcons: Are we really going to doubt Tom Brady in this one? The Falcons give up a ton of yards and points, and the Bucs are just humming along and scoring at will. The Bucs win by double-digits.
Miami Dolphins -3 over New York Giants: Both teams are coming into this one off of wins, but the Fins have managed to win four straight games. Both teams are still far out of the playoff picture, but we’ll take the home side and the team with the mojo on their side. Take the Fins.
Los Angeles Rams -13 over Jacksonville Jaguars: I thought the Jags were going to man up and pull out a win last week vs the Falcons. They didn’t and looked brutal in the game. The Rams desperately need a win to stop the bleeding, and we see them getting it here at home.
Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 over Washington Football Team: I like what the Washington Football Team is doing on the field. They are playing good defense and scraping by with their offense. They’ve now won three straight, but this is where I think the end of the line is. They now go on the road to Vegas for a date with the Raiders, who are off a good and much-needed win on Thursday. I think that’ll rejuvenate them and they’ll get a win in front of their home fans.
Baltimore Ravens -4 over Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers stink, and the Ravens are not much better despite their 8-3 record. Baltimore should have enough offensively to get by a fraudulent Steelers team and extend their lead atop the AFC North.
San Francisco 49ers -3.5 over Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks have very little left to play for. They are bad on both sides of the football and now have to host a division foe that is fighting for their playoff life. While the Seahawks would love to play spoiler, the Niners are just better and should be able to win this game.
Kansas City Chiefs -10 over Denver Broncos: The Chiefs are surging, and nobody will want to play them come January. They have enough offensive firepower to run the Broncos out of the stadium, and we see just that happening. The Broncos are close to a wild-card spot, but we see them falling further out of the race after a loss on Sunday Night Football.
Buffalo Bills -2.5 over New England Patriots: The Patriots are the hottest team in the league right now having won six in a row. They travel to Buffalo to tangle with the Bills in what will be a game that could decide where the AFC East crown is going. Despite the Patriots’ success and the fact they’ve won their six games by an average of 29 points, I think the Bills have the edge in this game due to extra prep days and home-field.
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