NFL Office Pool Picks Week 15 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
All year long, Doc’s Sports will be providing against-the-spread picks for all 272 regular-season NFL games. We went 142-125-5 against the spread last season, and have nearly clawed back to .500 this year with a 10-4 ATS showing in Week 14. There are just four weeks left in the season, and with the bye weeks in the rearview mirror, we have a full 16 matchups each week to close out the year. Time is running out to dash up your office pool standings, so without further ado, here are the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It is hard to have much faith in either of these sides right now. Tampa Bay is coming off an ugly loss against the Saints, while the Falcons got smoked by the Seahawks to drop to 4-9 on the season. Tanking isn’t a concern when tailing Atlanta, as they have traded away their first-round pick and will bring maximum effort into this contest. Their superior run game will allow them to chew up the clock, and this is one that will go down to the final possession. Falcons 20, Buccaneers 17
Jacksonville Jaguars (-12.5) Over New York Jets
This is a massive spread, but with the Jets looking as bad as ever, we have no choice but to lay the points. New York doesn’t have a quarterback, their defense isn’t as dominant as it once was, and the Jaguars look the best they have in a decade. Jacksonville is now leading the AFC South, and they will make it look easy to widen the gap at the top of the division. Jaguars 30, Jets 10
Houston Texans (-9.5) Over Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are free-falling down the standings, while a dominant Texans defense has led Houston to five straight wins. These are two teams heading in opposite directions, and with a spread under ten points, the Texans are the way to go. Houston’s league-leading defense will completely smother Jacoby Brissett, while a healthy CJ Stroud will run up the score on the other side of the ball. Texans 27, Cardinals 3
New England Patriots (+1.5) Over Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen is the best quarterback on the planet, but Drake Maye is not far behind. Once you factor in the well-rounded Patriots roster, New England in the home underdog role is an absolute steal. The division is on the line, and the Bills won’t go down easy, but the Patriots have managed to tackle every obstacle this season and will do so again in Foxborough. Patriots 25, Bills 21
Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) Over Los Angeles Chargers
Both of these teams have real problems at offensive line. Injuries have allowed the Broncos to climb to the top of the division, and now this is a heated matchup with serious wild card implications. When push comes to shove, it is hard to fade Patrick Mahomes and this Chiefs defense. The Chargers will still be in a pole position to make the playoffs, but they will leave Arrowhead after a double-digit defeat. Chiefs 27, Chargers 17
Las Vegas Raiders (+11.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles
In what world can the Eagles be double-digit favorites? They continue to lose games in embarrassing fashion and are seriously struggling on both sides of the ball. The Raiders aren’t any better; in fact, they are one of the worst teams in the league, but this line is still way too wide. The Eagles will get back on track with a much-needed win, but it won’t be a blowout like this line suggests. Eagles 16, Raiders 13
Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
This is a fantastic line for the Ravens. Baltimore is fighting for the lead in the AFC North, and this is all but a must-win game to keep their season alive. The Bengals are technically still alive, too, but with Trey Hendrickson out for the season, their defense has gone from bad to worse. Baltimore has their flaws as well, but they are still legitimate threats in a wide-open AFC, and I expect them to remind the league of their potential in a big win. Ravens 31, Bengals 14
New York Giants (-2.5) Over Washington Commanders
These teams have lost a combined 15 games in a row, and neither will want to win this one as it will harm their draft position. With a spread under three, we have no choice but to side with well rested Giants coming off their bye week. Washington is incredibly banged up on both sides of the ball, while the Giants still have a semi-respectable defense. It isn’t easy to make JJ McCarthy look dominant, but the Commanders managed to do that last week, and Jaxson Dart will have a big game against Washington. Giants 27, Commanders 10
Chicago Bears (-7.5) Over Cleveland Browns
The Browns just lost to the 1-11 Titans, and it is hard to imagine this one staying close against Chicago. The Bears had their big win streak snapped by the Packers, but this is a big step down in competition against Cleveland. They are the better team on both sides of the ball, and this is a must-win game to keep their NFC North dream alive. Shedeur Sanders will have his big moments, but a few bad decisions will cost the Browns the win and cover. Bears 30, Browns 17
Tennessee Titans (+12.5) Over San Francisco 49ers
This massive spread is impossible to justify. The Titans have looked much better in the second half of the year, while the 49ers are still looking very disjointed. The talent advantage for San Francisco will allow the 49ers to win, but covering the hefty spread is a different story. 49ers 25, Titans 17
Detroit Lions (+5.5) Over Los Angeles Rams
This is a big game for both teams, and we will side with the free points in a close one. This matchup will come down to who can execute on third and fourth down, and the Lions are due for some good bounces after being stuffed in the last few weeks. The Rams took out their anger against the Cardinals last week, but a relatively healthy Lions side will be a much tougher task. Los Angeles will likely still win, but the Lions will get the cover. Rams 28, Lions 25
Carolina Panthers (-2.5) Over New Orleans Saints
I won’t read too much into a rare Saints win from last week, as the Buccaneers lost due to self-inflicted wounds rather than stellar play from New Orleans. The Panthers are well rested, which will make their already punishing run game that much more effective. It is a bit surprising to see this spread under a field goal, but we are not complaining. Panthers 27, Saints 10
Green Bay Packers (-2.5) Over Denver Broncos
The Broncos keep finding ways to win, but their luck will run out against a high-flying Packers side. Green Bay takes care of the football, they pressure the quarterback, and I don’t see a clear path to victory for Denver. Unless the Broncos win the turnover battle by a significant margin, the Packers will leave Denver with a statement win. Packers 20, Broncos 17
Seattle Seahawks (-13.5) Over Indianapolis Colts
Philip Rivers might play in this one, which should give you all the information needed about the situation in Indianapolis. The Colts' promising start has taken a sharp turn for the worse, while the Seahawks are playing their best football of the season. Seattle’s explosive offense will take an early lead, and the Colts' run game will get swallowed up by blitzing linebackers all game long. This one really comes down to how badly the Seahawks want to run up the score. Seahawks 40, Colts 13
Dallas Cowboys (-5.5) Over Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota dominated the Commanders last week, which gives us a great spot to sell high on them against the Cowboys. Dallas has a truly dominant offense, a rapidly improving defense, and legitimate playoff hopes. Meanwhile, JJ McCarthy plays inconsistent football, and he won’t get bailed out by five turnovers generated by the defense. Dallas will take no chances with a big win on Sunday Night Football. Cowboys 37, Vikings 17
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) Over Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are technically back in the playoff race, but Tua Tagovailoa’s well-documented struggles in cold weather will be their demise. The Steelers play a physical brand of football that only gets better as the temperature drops. The Dolphins will want to get out of Pittsburgh as fast as possible when the Steelers win the battle of the trenches en route to a crucial victory. Steelers 24, Dolphins 20
Season Record: 102-106-2
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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