NFL Office Pool Picks Week 12 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!

If you finish on top of your season-long office pool, it won’t be thanks to one lucky bounce or backdoor cover. Anything higher than a 50% win rate over the course of a 272-game regular season is a huge accomplishment, and Doc’s Sports is here to help you reach that goal. We will be providing free against the spread NFL picks for every game this season. In Week 11, the favorites went 11-4 straight up, 8-6-1 against the spread. For us, we had the best week of the year with a 10-4-1 record against the spread. Everything fell into place as it needed to, but the job is far from over. It takes an entire season of consistent results to win your office pool, so without further ado, let’s jump into the Week 12 picks.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Buffalo Bills (-5.5) Over Houston Texans
Do people honestly think that Davis Mills and the terrible Texans O-line will compete with the Bills? I know this is a relatively thick spread for a road team, but it’s hard to believe this will be a competitive contest. Buffalo can’t afford to drop this game if they hope to chase down the red-hot Patriots on top of the AFC East. There simply aren’t enough playmakers on either side of the ball for Houston to expect anything resembling an upset. Maybe it stays close early, but anything short of a commanding double-digit victory would be shocking. Bills 28, Texans 10
Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) Over Kansas City Chiefs
This is a massive game for both teams. The Colts get the chance to test their credentials against the reigning AFC champions, while the 5-5 Chiefs are still battling for a playoff spot. While the Chiefs being home favorites makes sense, the spread over the crucial three-point number doesn’t. The Colts are coming off their bye and have had plenty of rest, while the Chiefs will also be looking ahead to their Thursday night game on Thanksgiving. Kansas City pulls out the win, but it’ll be close. Chiefs 21, Colts 20
New England Patriots (-7.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
The Patriots are the second biggest road favorite of the week, but this spread should be pushing double digits. The Bengals are already without Joe Burrow, and they will now be missing Ja’Marr Chase after he spat on a Steeler last week. The Patriots' offense has been humming, and a brutal Bengals defense will be truly helpless. Maybe Joe Flacco pulls off another miracle, but more often than not, the Patriots run away with this one. Patriots 35, Bengals 16
Chicago Bears (-2.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers
The Bears continue to get disrespected with spreads like these. They have won eight of their last nine games, are at home, and are facing a Steelers offense led by old man Aaron Rodgers. Not to mention the Steelers QB has a fractured wrist, but even a healthy Rodgers will struggle in this spot. Chicago is the better team on both sides of the ball, making this the most confident pick of the week. Bears 38, Steelers 21
Baltimore Ravens (-13.5) Over New York Jets
The Ravens have won 10 of the last 11 against the Jets, with their last three victories coming by at least two touchdowns. They escaped Cleveland with a win last week, but they needed 13 unanswered fourth-quarter points to do so. Baltimore can’t afford to play with fire like that against the Jets, and they will pour on the points in the first half. Tyrod Taylor is getting the start for New York, and I am not too sure whether that is a good thing for New York. Either way, this is the type of game where Baltimore really throws down the hammer. Ravens 45, Jets 9
Tennessee Titans (+13.5) Over Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are certainly better than the Titans, but are they two touchdowns on the road better? I don’t think so. Tennessee still has plenty of rebuilding to do before they are competitive, but the Seahawks haven’t done enough to earn this kind of spread against anyone in the league. They struggled to finish off drives against the Rams last week, Sam Darnold threw four interceptions, and even one miscue will allow the Titans to cover. Tennessee has stayed within ten points in four of its last six games and will do so again at home. Seahawks 28, Titans 20
Detroit Lions (-10) Over New York Giants
The Lions have made Ford Field a fortress this season, and expecting Jameis Winston to put on a competitive road display is a stretch of the imagination. Detroit will be looking to wash the bad taste of the Eagles' defeat out of their mouth, and the Giants are the perfect victim. Winston will have a few flashy plays on offense, but any short field given to Dan Campbell and the Lions will result in a Detroit touchdown. This one will get as ugly as the Lions want it to, and unfortunately for New York, this could be one of the most lopsided scorelines of the season. Lions 48, Giants 17
Minnesota Vikings (+6.5) Over Green Bay Packers
The Vikings always play their divisional rivals close, and this will be no exception. The Packers have been far too inconsistent on offense to lay points like this against a solid Vikings defense. It is hard to have much faith in JJ McCarthy on offense, but we can trust Brian Flores and the Vikings defense to get the job done. Upset alert here, but either way, the Vikings will cover. Vikings 17, Packers 13
Cleveland Browns (+3.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders
Laying points with the Raiders on a short week? No thanks. Las Vegas has been truly abysmal on offense with Geno Smith; they appear to have abandoned the run, and their defense is completely invisible. The Browns haven’t been much better on offense, but at least they have a competent defense to fall back on. Expecting the Raiders to win at all is tough, but by more than a field goal is completely absurd. Browns 20, Raiders 17
Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) Over Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are just 1-4 at home this season, and this is a soft line for two teams heading in opposite directions. Close early-season losses for Arizona disrupted their momentum, and there isn’t much hope for them with the inconsistent Jacoby Brissett closing out the year. The Jaguars have legitimate playoff hopes, and this isn’t a game they can afford to lose. Jaguars 27, Cardinals 23
Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) Over New Orleans Saints
The Falcons may not be good, having dropped five games in a row, but they are still better than the lowly New Orleans Saints. Kirk Cousins will be playing for his career in Michael Penix Jr’s absence, and this is the perfect defense to get him eased into the starting role. New Orleans doesn’t have much going for them on either side of the ball, and this is nothing short of a must-win if the Falcons hope to keep their slim playoff aspirations alive. Falcons 20, Saints 13
Philadelphia Eagles (-3) Over Dallas Cowboys
Jalen Hurts gets lots of criticism for his playstyle, but there is no denying it is incredibly effective. The Cowboys' defense simply doesn’t have the physicality needed to slow the Eagles down. Philadelphia is a ruthless winning machine, and they are too well-rounded to stumble against a Cowboys defense with plenty of holes. Will Dallas’s offense make it interesting? Sure. But the Eagles will eventually slam the door and pull away. Eagles 27, Cowboys 17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) Over Los Angeles Rams
The Buccaneers were unlucky not to cover last week against the Bills, and they will fare better against the Rams in Week 12. Los Angeles keeps eking out wins, but they haven’t had dominant performances over all four quarters. Their balanced offense led by Matthew Stafford will allow them to pick up a crucial win, but covering the number is another story. Rams 27, Buccaneers 25
Carolina Panthers (+7) Over San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy and Mac Jones are not too far apart, and the 49ers are still not healthy enough to lay these kinds of points against the 6-5 Panthers. Carolina knows how to run the ball very effectively, and they will chew up plenty of clock and keep the 49ers offense off the field. This isn’t the free-falling Panthers from a few years ago, as they are built to succeed on both sides of the ball. This will be a game that comes down to the final possession, and a boatload of points is exactly what we want in that case. 49ers 22, Panthers 21
Season Record: 76-84-1
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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