NFL Office Pool Picks Week 9 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
If you manage to come out on top of your season-long against the spread office pool, it won’t be because of one lucky bounce or bad break. Staying ahead against the spread is no easy task, as the best handicappers in the world struggle to get even 60% of spread picks correct. However, Doc’s Sports will be making things easier, as there will be free against the spread picks for all 272 games this season. Last week, we went an abysmal 3-10 against the spread, our worst showing in the four-year history of this column. The favorites had an amazing week, going 11-2 straight up, with all 11 winners also covering the spread. This is the third consecutive week where the favorites have dominated, as the gap between the top and bottom teams grows as we approach the second half of the season. Four teams are on bye this week, meaning we have 14 matchups to get through. Let’s dive into your Week 9 against the spread NFL picks.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Miami Dolphins (+7.5) Over Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson is expected to return for the Ravens, but unfortunately, he doesn’t play on the defensive side of the ball. Baltimore’s defense is still a complete disaster, ranking in the bottom ten in rushing yards, passing yards, and points allowed. Their offense has been consistent, but that doesn’t mean they should be getting massive spreads on the road. Miami had an excellent game last week against the Falcons, and while they won’t be able to win, a respectable performance will keep Mike McDaniel’s job safe. Ravens 30, Dolphins 24
New England Patriots (-5.5) Over Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons don’t stand a chance without Michael Penix under center, but even if he plays, beating the Patriots will be beyond difficult. New England has won five in a row, as Drake Maye continues to dominate in the pocket. The Patriots have been playing excellent football on both sides of the ball, while the Falcons are coming off their worst loss of the season. Oh, wait, they also lost by 30 points to the Panthers this year. Atlanta is an inconsistent team coming up against New England at the wrong time. This one could get ugly. Patriots 35, Falcons 14
Carolina Panthers (+13.5) Over Green Bay Packers
The Panthers got smashed last week while the Packers got a primetime victory. This means that Week 9 is a great time to buy low on Carolina and sell high on Green Bay. The Packers defense isn’t the dominant unit we expected them to be, and the Panthers will be able to keep this one close. Carolina is 4-4 on the season, and has stayed competitive aside from a meeting with an angry Bills team last week. Packers win, Panthers cover. Packers 28, Panthers 18
Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) Over Tennessee Titans
This is a big number we can get behind. Los Angeles has the rest advantage after their Thursday night win over the Vikings, while the Titans continue to get blown out week after week. It’s too early to call Cam Ward a bust, as his supporting cast is truly awful. Tennessee has no run game, a dreadful defense, and is already looking ahead to next year’s draft. Justin Herbert and the Chargers will take care of business with ease. Chargers 30, Titans 10
Denver Broncos (+1.5) Over Houston Texans
The Texans got a feel-good win over the 49ers last week, but that was only due to the fact that San Francisco couldn’t expose their weak offensive line. Houston has been unable to keep CJ Stroud upright this season, and Denver will get to him early and often. This will be a low-scoring, field-position battle, and we will fully trust Sean Payton to coach his way to a win in that kind of matchup. Broncos 17, Texans 13
Chicago Bears (-2.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
We are getting the Bears right under the crucial three-point margin of victory, as they will bounce back after their loss to the Ravens last week. Chicago is in the thick of the NFC playoff race, while the Bengals are clinging to a faint hope of a meaningful Joe Burrow return in a month or two. The Bengals just handed the Jets their first win of the season after allowing 39 points, as they officially have the worst defense in the league. Chicago by a million. Bears 45, Bengals 22
Indianapolis Colts (-3) Over Pittsburgh Steelers
I have been incorrectly fading the Colts this season, but it is time to give them some credit. The Steelers defense is far from the dominant unit it once was, and the Colts should be able to put up 30+ points on them in Pittsburgh. Will Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers offense be able to keep pace? It’s possible, but it doesn’t happen often enough to take them with a marginal spread. Let’s go for a repeat of last week's scoreline in Pittsburgh. Colts 35, Steelers 25
San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) Over New York Giants
The 49ers haven’t been impressive this season, but the reality is they are still in the playoff race and one of the NFC favorites. A matchup against a reeling Giants side is all but a must-win for the 49ers, and this short spread won’t deter us from riding with the home team. Brock Purdy could be back for this one, but whether it is Purdy or Mac Jones under center, the 49ers have enough talent to win and cover. 49ers 25, Giants 17
Detroit Lions (-8.5) Over Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings lost Carson Wentz for the season, but they are getting JJ McCarthy back from injury at the perfect time. McCarthy may not agree that this is the perfect timing, as a hungry Lions pass rush will not be an easy game back for the young quarterback. Detroit is 5-2 this season, with all five victories coming by at least eight points. When the Lions are on their game, they usually dominate, easing fears surrounding this large spread in a divisional game. Lions 40, Vikings 21
New Orleans Saints (+14.5) Over Los Angeles Rams
This is an understandably large spread with Tyler Shough expected to make his first career NFL start, but it has crept a tad too high for this matchup. New Orleans has a respectable defense that can keep things close, and the Rams might get caught looking ahead with a pair of divisional games on the horizon. It’s not going to be pretty, but the Saints will scrape together a cover by the finest of margins. Rams 24, Saints 10
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) Over Las Vegas Raiders
This smells like a trap line, but the reality is that these two teams are not even closer to one another at this stage of the season. Jacksonville has legitimate playoff hopes, while the Raiders are looking for a creative way to end the Geno Smith experiment. Las Vegas was supposed to have a strong run game this season, but its offensive line has let Ashton Jeanty down. When they face several third-and-longs, the Raiders won’t be able to convert often enough against a well-rounded team like the Jaguars. Jaguars 27, Raiders 17
Buffalo Bills (+1.5) Over Kansas City Chiefs
The AFC’s biggest rivalry takes center stage in Week 9, and we will lean in the Bills' direction at home. Kansas City is coming off a short week after their Monday Night game against Washington, while the Bills had a cakewalk against the Panthers last week. Buffalo has won four straight regular-season meetings between these two sides, and will make it five in a row with a crucial home win. Bills 35, Chiefs 31
Washington Commanders (+3.5) Over Seattle Seahawks
As long as Jayden Daniels comes back for Washington, they will be able to cover this spread at home. The Commanders' injury list has been growing on defense, but their offense has gotten healthy at the right time of the season. Seattle will be coming out hot after their bye week, but we can’t trust Sam Darnold to unlock a defense that Patrick Mahomes struggled against. This will be a very close game that will be decided by a field goal, and with that in mind, we have no choice but to take the points. Seahawks 25, Commanders 24
Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) Over Arizona Cardinals
Neither of these teams will be happy with how their year has gone, but the Dallas offense is far too hot to fade. Dak Prescott is playing MVP-caliber football in Dallas, which has allowed them to outscore their defensive issues. There is no doubt Arizona will find success on the offensive side of the ball, but stopping Prescott and company will be a whole other story. Dallas knows how to win shootouts and will find itself on top at the end of a thrilling Monday night affair. Cowboys 45, Cardinals 40
Season Record: 55-66
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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