NFL Office Pool Picks Week 17 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!

All year long, Doc’s Sports will be providing free against-the-spread picks for all 272 NFL regular-season games. Time is running out to climb up your standings, but we took a step in the right direction last week with a 10-6 record. That included a perfect 4-0 record on primetime games. The favorites went just 9-7 straight up and 6-10 against the spread. All 16 teams are in action for the penultimate week of the season, so let’s dive into the Week 17 against the spread picks.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Dallas Cowboys (-7) Over Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders just signed Jeff Driskel off the Cardinals' practice squad, and he may even start this Christmas Day matinee. This franchise is waiting for the season to be over, and while Dallas isn’t sunshine and roses, they are still the more competent team on both sides of the ball. This one will be ugly. Cowboys 32, Commanders 6
Detroit Lions (-5.5) Over Minnesota Vikings
The Lions are fighting for their playoff life after losing to the Steelers last week, but a win and cover is certainly possible against the lowly Vikings. Minnesota got some momentum by beating up on the Commanders and Giants, but this is still a seriously flawed franchise. Detroit will keep their season alive with a crucial win. Lions 30, Vikings 20
Denver Broncos (-12.5) Over Kansas City Chiefs
The Christmas Day slate is rounded out by another dreadful matchup. Kansas City’s top two quarterbacks are out, leaving them with raw, unproven talents to choose from. Meanwhile, Denver can’t drop this one if they want to stay in the race for the #1 seed in the AFC, and they will take care of business in a blowout. Broncos 31, Chiefs 10
Houston Texans (+2) Over Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers' offensive line is a complete disaster. They were able to keep Justin Herbert upright against poor defenses over the last month, but slowing down the Texans' pass rush will be a completely different story. We saw Houston stifle the Bills with strong defensive play, and this is exactly the type of matchup where they can do so again. In the underdog role, we cannot step in front of the hottest team in the league. Texans 20, Chargers 17
Green Bay Packers (-2.5) Over Baltimore Ravens
Both of these teams have seen injuries at quarterback this week, which leaves this one up in the air. However, it looks as though Love and/or Willis will be good to go, while the mystery around Lamar Jackson makes it impossible to trust Baltimore. Either way, the Packers have the better roster outside of the quarterback position, they are at home, and will win this one more often than not. Packers 27, Ravens 17
Carolina Panthers (+7.5) Over Seattle Seahawks
The Panthers are being disrespected with this line. Seattle is one of the Super Bowl favorites, but a chunky spread for Carolina at home is hard to justify. The Panthers have a strong run game and an even better defense, and they will be able to keep this one close. Seahawks 24, Panthers 20
Arizona Cardinals (+7) Over Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals deserve to be favored in this meaningless game, but a full touchdown spread is too many points. Jacoby Brissett can usually move the ball well, and a vulnerable Bengals defense will allow him to keep the Cardinals in the game. Arizona doesn’t win much, but it also doesn’t get blown out very often. Grab the points. Bengals 30, Cardinals 27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5) Over Miami Dolphins
The Buccaneers are fighting for their playoff life in this one, as a loss could potentially eliminate them from the NFC South race. While Baker Mayfield has cooled off since the start of the season, the Buccaneers are healthy, they have plenty to play for, and are facing off against the inexperienced Quinn Ewers. The Buccaneers will take care of business in the first half, and I don’t trust the Dolphins to mount a backdoor cover. Buccaneers 27, Dolphins 11
Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5) Over Indianapolis Colts
These two teams are heading in very different directions, which makes the Jaguars the only choice here. Philip Rivers has been acceptable, but matching the red-hot Jaguars on either side of the ball will not be easy. Jacksonville just torched a strong Denver defense, so I am not too concerned about an inconsistent Colts side slowing them down. Road favorites in divisional games can be scary, but this one won’t be close. Jaguars 34, Colts 20
New England Patriots (-12.5) Over New York Jets
This is a thick spread, but it is equally hard to tail the Jets as it is to fade the Patriots at this stage of the season. New England got over their small blip against the Bills with another big win over the Ravens, and the fate of the AFC East is in its control. The Jets' defense is destroyed, their quarterback room is a disaster, and there is no reason to expect this to stay close. The Jets just got blown out by the lowly Saints, and it is frightening to think what New England will do if they keep their foot on the gas. Patriots 40, Jets 3
Tennessee Titans (+3) Over New Orleans Saints
The Saints as road favorites is absurd. Beating up on the Jets is not something to be proud of, as the Titans made it look just as easy against the Kansas City Chiefs. This is a big game in terms of draft standings, and with the Titans at home in the underdog role, they are the way to go. I have liked what we have seen from the Saints' defense recently, so while I expect them to edge out a win, the Titans will cover the number. Saints 17, Titans 15
Cleveland Browns (+3.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers can lock up the division with a win, but the Browns will not make it easy. This matchup is always a dogfight, and a struggling Steelers defense will allow Shedeur Sanders to shine. Myles Garrett is closing in on the sack record, and he will lead his team to an upset victory on this historic day. Browns 17, Steelers 14
New York Giants (+1.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders
Both teams want to lose. The players will still give it their all, but a win here would dramatically affect their draft stock for next season. The Giants' willingness to run the football gives them the edge, as there are truly no positives in Las Vegas. Giants 24, Raiders 13
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles
This spread implies an even matchup on neutral ground, and that just isn’t true. The Eagles got back on track by beating up on bad teams, but this is still a roster that will struggle against legitimate Super Bowl contenders. The Bills need to win to keep their division hopes alive, while the Eagles are just playing for whatever shred of pride they have left. With the spread under a field goal, this could be the top choice of the week. Bills 45, Eagles 27
Chicago Bears (+3) Over San Francisco 49ers
The Bears keep finding ways to win, and will do so again in San Francisco. They have a significant rest advantage due to the holiday scheduling, and with the spread at a key number, they will get the cover. Chicago’s run game will expose the 49ers, who struggle in that category, and I am still not sold on Brock Purdy being a top-ten QB. It’s a massive game for both teams, but with this line, we don’t have a choice. Bears 25, 49ers 24
Los Angeles Rams (-8) Over Atlanta Falcons
The Rams desperately need to get back on track, and a vulnerable Falcons run defense is the perfect candidate to do so. Matthew Stafford is the focal point of this offense, and he really thrives in blitzing situations. The Falcons have started to blitz more and more as the season goes on, playing right into the Rams' hands on Monday night. It’s a thick line, but a Rams offense looking to get back on track will eventually pull away. Rams 35, Falcons 20
Season Record: 118-124-2
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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