NFL Office Pool Picks Week 14 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
Five weeks are remaining in the NFC season, and time is running out to dash up your office pool standings. After 272 regular-season games, there will be no doubt about who is the champion, as the final standings won’t be determined thanks to one lucky break or bad beat. Doc’s Sports will be providing free against-the-spread picks for every matchup, all year long. Last week, we went 8-7-1 against the spread, for another positive week. The favorites went just 9-7 straight up, and 7-8-1 against the spread. There are 28 of the 32 NFL teams in action this week as the league wraps up the bye weeks, so let’s dive right into the against-the-spread picks for the Week 14 matchups.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Detroit Lions (-3) Over Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys’ three-game win streak has been impressive, but going on the road and staying close against the Lions is a different story. Dallas is just 2-4 away from home this season, with their only wins coming against the 3-9 Jets and 2-10 Raiders. This isn’t enough points to warrant taking a stab with the underdog, as the Lions will be fighting for their playoff life. To be fair, so will the Cowboys, but the superior defense from Detroit will be the difference maker. Lions 27, Cowboys 20
New York Jets (+3) Over Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are slightly better on offense compared to their AFC East rivals, but the Jets have the better defense, are at home, and are getting a key number with a three-point spread. New York has been able to rally back and keep games close this year, and I expect another tight one at MetLife. The Dolphins have looked better in recent weeks, but their two most recent wins have still only come by a combined 7 points. They are also just 1-4 on the road this year, so it makes sense to grab the insurance with New York in a game they will probably win outright. Jets 20, Dolphins 17
Seattle Seahawks (-7) Over Atlanta Falcons
This is a thick line for the road team, but these two teams could not be further apart in terms of form right now. The Seahawks are playing incredible football on both sides of the ball, while Kirk Cousins and the Falcons just lost to the Jets. The Seahawks are starting to look like the team to beat in the NFC, while the Falcons are already looking ahead to next year’s draft… except they traded their first-round pick. Either way, the Seahawks’ superior quality will prevail, and this one will eventually get out of hand as Seattle rarely takes their foot off the gas. Seahawks 38, Falcons 17
New Orleans Saints (+8.5) Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Will the Buccaneers win this game? Probably. But the reality is that this is simply too many points for the visiting Saints. New Orleans isn’t winning games, but Tyler Shough has shown signs of life and has kept this team competitive in most matchups this year. The Bucs have gone 1-3 in their last four games, and have only two double-digit wins this year. In a divisional matchup, we will take all the points we can get. Buccaneers 24, Saints 19
Washington Commanders (+1.5) Over Minnesota Vikings
Even though it is looking unlikely that Jayden Daniels will play, the Commanders still have the better quarterback with Marcus Mariota. Both JJ McCarthy and Max Brosmer have struggled this season, as the Vikings were shut out last week against Seattle. Washington has lost seven games in a row, but this team is starting to get healthy and still has a little fight left at this stage of the season. The same can’t be said for the Vikings, as Washington pulls off a minor upset in Minnesota. Commanders 25, Vikings 20
Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5) Over Indianapolis Colts
Daniel Jones’ broken fibula will ruin the Colts' season, as his lack of mobility will be their downfall. A strong offensive line and good run game will keep the Colts afloat, but the Jaguars become the better team on both sides of the ball in this matchup. They have won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, and can take sole possession of first place in the AFC South with a win. Jaguars 21, Colts 20
Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Rodgers is clearly not 100%, and a hungry Ravens defense will not give Pittsburgh an inch. It is obvious that the Ravens haven’t played up to their standards this year, but they are still the better team on both sides of the ball. Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry are due for a big game, and the extra rest having played on Thursday will give them that extra pop. Pittsburgh is free-falling, Mike Tomlin’s time may be up, and a blowout win for the Ravens just might be the nail in the coffin. Ravens 40, Steelers 17
Tennessee Titans (+4) Over Cleveland Browns
We will not be laying points with the Browns in this matchup. Shedeur Sanders is still a worse quarterback than Cam Ward, and Sanders’ tendency to turn the ball over will flare up against the Titans. Both of these teams have nothing but pride to play for, and that is the type of matchup where anything can happen. With a decent spread available, we will take the points. Titans 24, Browns 17
Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) Over Buffalo Bills
This spread is a few points too wide. The Bills have been the more consistent team this season. But their offense is stumbling while the Bengals are just coming to life. Cincinnati needs to win out to make the playoffs, and they will fight tooth and nail to keep this one close. Josh Allen’s heroics, combined with a slightly better defense, will give the Bills the win, but it won’t be enough to get the cover, too. Bills 31, Bengals 28
Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5) Over Denver Broncos
The Broncos keep finding ways to win, but there is no way we will be laying more than a touchdown on the road in a divisional game. Denver has needed fourth-quarter miracles to keep their nine-game win streak intact, and it hasn’t been covering spreads as a result. There isn’t a lot to like about the Raiders right now, but they will give it everything they have in one of their last home games of the year. The Broncos will find a way to scrape out another tight win, but the Raiders will cover. Broncos 20, Raiders 15
Chicago Bears (+6.5) Over Green Bay Packers
The Bears have won outright in nine of their last ten games, including a big win as an underdog against the Eagles last week. Caleb Williams has been responsible with the football, and the Bears' defense keeps finding ways to generate turnovers. Green Bay has a strong defensive unit themselves, but their inconsistent offense will be their downfall. Not only will the Bears easily cover this chunky spread, but they will win outright to extend their lead at the top of the NFC North. Bears 24, Packers 10
Los Angeles Rams (-8) Over Arizona Cardinals
Laying the points with big spreads on the road in divisional games is usually something I stay away from, but we will bite down and do it with the Rams. Los Angeles has had a surgical offense this season, which suddenly fell apart against the Panthers. Lightning is unlikely to strike twice, and it is not as if the Cardinals have been playing amazing football. Matthew Stafford and the Rams can’t afford to drop another one if they want to win the NFC West, and they will eventually pull away in the second half. Rams 30, Cardinals 17
Houston Texans (+3.5) Over Kansas City Chiefs
This is a huge game for the AFC Wild Card race, and we have to side with the Texans and this crucial number. The Houston defense has been the best unit in football, while the Kansas City offense has looked like a shadow of its former self. Every great dynasty eventually comes to an end, and we simply can’t trust the Chiefs to win by more than a field goal, given how they have looked this year. It’s too close to call in terms of the outright winner, but with the spread, the Texans are the clear choice. Chiefs 24, Texans 21
Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles
What have we seen from the Eagles lately that can justify this point spread? This team is falling apart on both sides of the ball, and there is no reason the Chargers should be home underdogs. Justin Herbert’s hand surgery certainly plays a role, but it was on his non-throwing hand and shouldn’t be a factor. The Chargers' struggling offensive line may get exposed, but their strong run game and consistent defense will cause problems for Philly. Chargers 25, Eagles 17
Season Record: 92-102-2
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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