NFL Office Pool Picks Week 11 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
Unlike many other season-long pools, a traditional against the spread office pool will not be determined by a lucky bounce or bad beat. There are 272 regular season games in the NFL, and anything above a 50% against the spread win rate by the end of the year deserves celebration. Last week, we got back in the green with a 9-5 record, which also included losing Colts -6.5 and Jaguars +1.5 in brutal fashion. Luckily, we still have eight more weeks to add to our win total, so without further ado, here are your against the spread picks for all 15 matchups in Week 11.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
New York Jets (+13) Over New England Patriots
These are two teams heading in opposite directions this season, but that doesn’t mean this will be a multi-touchdown victory for the Patriots. The Jets have won back-to-back games and only have two losses this season by more than 7 points. Their strong defense is usually good enough to keep things close, and there could even be a massive upset brewing on Thursday night. We won’t go as far as to call for a Jets win, but this one will be very close. Patriots 20, Jets 17
Miami Dolphins (-2.5) Over Washington Commanders
The Commanders have lost four straight games by 20+ points. That should tell you all you need to know about this team right now, as there are very few bright spots in Washington. They are heavily injured, their defense is abysmal, and according to reports, Dan Quinn is beginning to lose the locker room. Miami is coming off a big win against the Bills, and this feels like a soft line for these two in Madrid. Until Washington starts showing signs of life, we need way more points before we can consider taking them against the spread. Dolphins 35, Commanders 17
Chicago Bears (+3) Over Minnesota Vikings
The Bears continue to get disrespected with spreads like these, as they have won six of their last seven games. Chicago is playing complementary football as their offense continues to flourish under Ben Johnson. Minnesota is no slouch, but a brutal run game and inexperienced JJ McCarthy in the pocket will crumble against the Bears' pressure. Maybe Brian Flores can steal a win, but the Bears in the underdog role are the way to go. Bears 28, Vikings 20
New York Giants (+7) Over Green Bay Packers
The Giants will be turning to Jameis Winston in this matchup, and I am calling for the outright upset. Green Bay’s offense is far too inconsistent for a spread like this one, while the Giants' defense is finally playing up to its standards in the second half of the season. Losing Jaxson Dart handcuffs this offense, but Brian Daboll’s firing could give this team a temporary lift. Win or lose, the Packers will be unable to pull away on the scoreboard. Giants 24, Packers 10
Carolina Panthers (+3.5) Over Atlanta Falcons
What have the Falcons done to warrant a line like this? The Panthers are coming off a brutal loss against the Saints last week, but they have otherwise looked consistent on both sides of the ball this season. Meanwhile, the Falcons have two terrible options at quarterback to choose from, while their run game is nowhere near as complete as the Panthers. Atlanta’s excellent pass defense won’t matter when Carolina rams the ball down their throats early and often. Panthers 17, Falcons 14
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) Over Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert has the worst offensive line in the league, and it is not going to get any better. Jacksonville blew a massive lead against Davis Mills and the Texans last week, but their pass rush will stop that from happening here. At home, with a few points of insurance, the Jaguars are the way to go. Jaguars 20, Chargers 14
Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
The Steelers were humbled by the Chargers last week, but they will have a much easier task at hand against Joe Flacco and the Bengals. Pittsburgh’s defense has started to come to life, and a soft Bengals defense will make Aaron Rodgers look good again. The reality is that Pittsburgh still has a division to play for, while the Bengals are just looking to avoid another embarrassing defeat. Steelers 30, Bengals 25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5) Over Buffalo Bills
The Bills lost to Miami for the second time in their last 16 meetings last week. The vibes are at an all-time low in Buffalo right now, as they now sit second in the AFC East after starting the year 5-0. The Buccaneers have also cooled off since the opening months of the season, but they also have an opportunity to get back on track in this one. Both teams are desperate for a win, and home-field advantage could be the difference maker in a nervy fourth quarter. Bills win, Bucs cover. Bills 25, Buccaneers 21
Tennessee Titans (+7) Over Houston Texans
CJ Stroud is trending upwards, but there is still no guarantee he will play. Even if he does suit up, a big spread for a home underdog in a divisional matchup is a trend we cannot fade. The Titans are coming off their bye week, and giving Cam Ward a platform to grow on is still their top priority. Houston hasn’t shown enough to warrant a thick line like this one. Texans 27, Titans 24
Seattle Seahawks (+3) Over Los Angeles Rams
This is a massive contest at the top of the NFC West. Both of these teams are among the NFC favorites, and this is a game that could have huge implications for the end-of-season seeding. Both teams have ripped off four consecutive victories to move into a share of the NFC lead. While the Rams' passing attack is well-rounded, the Seahawks have the better defense and the best playmaker in the game with Jaxon Smith-Njigba. With a few points on the spread too, we will side with Seattle in this pivotal clash. Seahawks 24, Rams 23
Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) Over San Francisco 49ers
The Cardinals got blown out for the first time this season last week, but still shouldn’t be a home underdog against the 49ers. Both of these sides have been in razor-close games this season, with the Cardinals coming up empty more often than the 49ers. There isn’t much to separate these sides on either side of the ball, as Jacoby Brissett has stepped up in Kyler Murray’s absence. Another close game with massive NFC West implications, where we have no choice but to take the points. 49ers 21, Cardinals 20
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) Over Denver Broncos
We are breaking our previously mentioned rule on home underdogs in divisional games. Denver’s offense is far too inconsistent to keep pace with the Chiefs, who have been dominant on both sides of the ball. Kansas City knows a loss here would effectively end their AFC West hopes, and I expect them to throw everything they have at Denver. The Broncos have been fortunate to win seven straight, and that streak comes to an end with an emphatic Chiefs win. Chiefs 39, Broncos 11
Baltimore Ravens (-8) Over Cleveland Browns
The Ravens are back and better than ever. Their defense is finally looking competent again, and a healthy Lamar Jackson has this team among the Super Bowl favorites again. Cleveland just lost to the lowly Jets last week, and I struggle to imagine this one staying close. Ravens 30, Browns 10
Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) Over Detroit Lions
Philadelphia knows how to win pivotal games like this one. No matter how much people try to overlook the Eagles, they are like the cockroaches of the NFL. Their infamous Tush Push and physical brand of football haven’t made them many friends, but that is exactly what Nick Sirianni wants from his men. Detroit will use its flashy tricks to find some success, but the Eagles pick up the win and cover on a last-second field goal. Eagles 20, Lions 17
Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders
The Cowboys' offense is unstoppable. Dak Prescott now has his full complement of weapons to work with against the helpless Raiders, who are already looking ahead to next season. Las Vegas traded its best receiver away at the deadline, while the Cowboys were buyers last week. One of these teams has legitimate playoff hopes, while the other is scouting the 2026 NFL draft. Cowboys 40, Raiders 17
Season Record: 66-80
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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