NFL Office Pool Picks Week 9 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
Following a hectic week of football and even more hectic NFL trade deadline, the pack is beginning to fully separate for contenders and pretenders. This became even more clear as the most trades on deadline day in NFL history were recorded in which players like Bradley Chubb, T.J. Hockenson, Calvin Ridley, and Nyheim Hines each saw themselves be shipped off to new locations. During Week 8, favorites went 11-4 straight up in matchups and 9-7 against the spread. Week 9 will have a smaller slate than usual as the Browns, Cowboys, Broncos, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers will all be enjoying their bye weeks. Here is a look at the matchups that will be going down.
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Thursday Night: Philadelphia Eagles (-14) over Houston Texans
The Philadelphia Eagles continue to ride high and returned from their bye week with a convincing win over the Steelers. Jalen Hurts and several other starters were even able to rest for the majority of the fourth quarter in the victory. The Texans come into the matchup with a 1-5-1 record and coming off a loss to the Titans. While 14 points is a large number for the spread, this Eagles team looks nearly unstoppable this year. Many of the Philly fans will likely be distracted by Game 5 of the World Series in which the Phillies and Astros will be facing off, but expect the Eagles to cruise to another comfortable win. Eagles 41, Texans 17.
Atlanta Falcons (+3) over Los Angeles Chargers
The 4-3 Chargers will travel to Atlanta to face off with the 4-4 Falcons in this matchup. Los Angeles will be coming off their bye week, while Atlanta is riding the momentum of their thrilling overtime win against the Panthers. The Chargers have struggled to stop the run this season and are allowing 5.7 yards per carry, which is the worst mark in the NFL. The Falcons are running the ball at the second-highest rate in the NFL and rank 5th in rush yards per game by averaging 158.1 yards on the ground. While the Falcons are vulnerable through the air defensively, the Chargers have already ruled out Mike Williams and Keenan Allen is questionable. The stage is set for the Falcons to pull off the upset. Atlanta is 6-2 straight up in their last eight matchups against the Chargers as well as 6-1 against the spread on the year. The Falcons are a better team than they have been given credit, and look for them to prove this in a 27-21 victory.
Miami Dolphins (-5) over Chicago Bears
The 5-3 Dolphins will be facing off against the 3-5 Bears fresh off a 31-27 victory over the Lions. Miami has been an impressive team this season with Tua Tagovailoa opening eyes with his play. He is coming off a performance in which he completed 29 of his 36 pass attempts for 382 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. A whole 188 of these yards were via Tyreek Hill, who is also primed for a strong game against a Bears’ defense, which is allowing 344 yards per game, which ranks 16th. Justin Fields has shown some signs of development, but the Bears rank 32nd in pass yards per game, which is not encouraging. The Dolphins clearly have their sights set on contending this season and proved this by trading for Bradley Chubb and Jeff Wilson before the deadline. Look for them to prove this in the matchup and cruise to a comfortable double-digit victory.
Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) over Carolina Panthers
The Bengals will be coming off a short week after their frustrating loss to the Browns on Monday night. They will have a great chance to get back in the win column against a 2-6 Panthers team. However, Carolina has shown signs of life following trading Christian McCaffrey, as they beat the Buccaneers in Week 7 and were an extra point away from picking up a win this week. The Bengals are 4-1 straight up in their last five games as a favorite. They have missed the production of Ja’Marr Chase, who suffered a hip injury that will keep him out multiple weeks. Expect this one to stay closer than most expect, but for the Bengals to ultimately get the win and cover. Cincinnati 31, Carolina 20.
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) over Detroit Lions
It has been a frustrating season for the Packers, who come into the matchup with a 3-5 record and are 1-3 on the road this year. They are riding a four-game losing game, and this NFC North showdown will be crucial to turning around their season. Detroit is also on a five-game losing streak and has lost five of their last six games against Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers has not been able to produce at the level that is expected of him, as the offense is averaging just 17.5 points per game during this four-game skid. Luckily Detroit ranks last in the NFL in both points and yards allowed per game at 32.1 points and 421.3 yards per game. Look for this to be the cure to the Packers offense and for them to secure a win in this matchup. Packers 31, Lions 17.
New England Patriots (-5.5) over Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have handed the starting quarterback reigns to Sam Ehlinger, who threw for 17 for 23 and 201 yards in the debut. It was not enough as the Commanders secured a 17-16 win to spoil his first start. Ehlinger will face a tougher task against the Patriots, who have the 12th best scoring defense and are tied for the most takeaways in the league. The Colts have lost eight of their last nine games against the Patriots and have not won at Gillette Stadium in 16 years. Indianapolis also fired their offensive coordinator, Marcus Brady, this week. With too much up in the air with the Colts, expect the Patriots to produce a convincing win. New England 27, Indianapolis 10.
Buffalo Bills (-12.5) over New York Jets
The Jets offense suffered a huge blow in Week 7 when running back Breece Hall suffered a torn ACL. Zach Wilson is coming off a poor performance against the Patriots and will now be facing off the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL. The Bills are riding a four-game winning streak and lead the NFL in passing yards, overall yards, and are second in points scored. Expect the Bills two-way dominance to be too much for the Jets, who seem to be coming down to earth after their intriguing start. The Bills have answered every question that was asked of them so far this year, and expect it to be the same in this matchup. Buffalo 31, New York 9.
Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) over Washington Commanders
The 6-1 Vikings will travel to Washington to take on the 4-4 Commanders, who are coming off a 17-16 win over the Colts. The Vikings offense has not been as explosive as expected, as they rank 11th in the NFL in passing yards and 21st in rushing yards. The Minnesota defense has also greatly struggled, ranking 28th in yards allowed and 14th in scoring. The Commanders have struggled on both sides of the ball, ranking 27th in scoring and 15th in points allowed. They have stepped things up in recent games, allowing 21 or fewer points in the last three matchups. While the Vikings appear destined for a loss soon, don’t count on it being in this game. Vikings 27, Commanders 13.
Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars
The Raiders come into the matchup with a 2-5 record on the season, while the Jaguars are 2-6. Both teams have their own reasons for disappointment this year and are in desperate need of a win in the matchup. The Raiders are coming off an embarrassing 24-0 loss to the Saints, which is the first time they were held scoreless since 2014. The Jaguars lost to the Broncos on a game-winning drive, which makes it their fifth straight loss of one possession or more. Las Vegas is 1-5 straight up in their last six away games, while Jacksonville is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games. One of these trends must give in this matchup in what seems set to be a close game. Expect the Raiders to pull off the win in a matchup that will likely come down to a turnover or crucial drive at the end.
Seattle Seahawks (+2) over Arizona Cardinals
The Seahawks have continued to be one of the biggest surprises this year. They have moved to 5-3 on the season behind the strong play of Geno Smith. The Cardinals have been far more inconsistent and enter the matchup with a 3-5 record and coming off a 34-26 loss to the Vikings. Arizona has shown some positive flashes this year but has been extremely inconsistent. While everyone has continued to wait for the collapse of the Seahawks, it may be time to start buying in that they are here to contend. This is a key matchup for the NFC West, as the Cardinals currently sit in last place, while Seattle holds the lead. Expect this hole to deepen in this matchup and for Seattle to pick up another win. These two sides faced off just three weeks ago, and the Seahawks defense managed to hold Kyler Murray and the Cardinals to just nine points. Look for a similar effort and the Seahawks to move to 6-3 on the year and take control of the division. Seattle 20, Arizona 13.
Los Angeles Rams (+3) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Neither of these teams have looked the part of the postseason threats it was expected during the start of the season. The Rams have dropped three of their last four games and hold a record of 3-4 on the season. The Buccaneers are 3-5 on the year and have lost each of their last three games. Tom Brady has looked as if he may finally be slowing down, as the Buccaneers’ offense ranks in the Bottom 10 in both scoring and yardage per game. The Rams are 8-1 straight up in their last nine games against Tampa Bay, and the Buccaneers are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games. In his time with the Buccaneers, Brady is 0-3 against the Rams and has lost each game by at least a field goal. Take Los Angeles to get the upset win and further push the Buccaneers into a state of panic. Rams 27, Buccaneers 17.
Sunday Night: Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5) over Tennessee Titans
The Titans have quietly looked like one of the most impressive teams in the NFL so far this season. They hold a record of 5-2 and have the top-ranked rushing defense this year. Derrick Henry is coming off a 219-yard rushing performance and looks to be fully finding his stride on the season. Unfortunately, they will be tasked with the 5-2 Chiefs, who are coming off their bye week. Kansas City ranks second in the NFL with 403.3 yards per game, while also showing some impressive flashes on the defensive side of the ball. Expect both these teams to find their way into the playoffs when things are said and done but for the Chiefs to have too much firepower in this one. While the Titans will keep it close early on, the ability of Kansas City’s offense to explode makes it difficult to go against. Chiefs 35, Titans 20.
Monday Night: Baltimore Ravens (-3) over New Orleans Saints
The 5-3 Ravens will travel down to New Orleans after most recently taking down Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. While the Saints hold a record of 3-5, they are coming off a dominant 24-0 win over the Raiders. Any Dalton completed 22 of his 30 passes for 229 yards and two touchdowns with a QB rate of 117.2. This was likely his best performance with the Saints. Despite the instability at quarterback, the Saints are averaging 394.4 yards per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. Facing off against a Baltimore defense that ranks 20th in the NFL in scoring, this game could become a shootout. The Ravens are also coming off an extended rest as they played on Thursday night last week. Expect Lamar Jackson’s strong play to be too much and for the Ravens to be able to outpace the Saints scoring. Baltimore 31, New Orleans 24.
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