Monday Night Football Picks: Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

by Mike Allen - 11/13/2025

Hey, it isn't quite the Monday Night Football matchup we had last week at Lambeau between the Pack and the Eagles, but a trip to Vegas is almost always a great idea. I guess that's when it used to be affordable for us normies.

So, you can't afford the 30-dollar minimum blackjack? That's okay. Come on down to Allegiant Stadium to see the 17th greatest show in town, the fabulous Las Vegas Raiders.

What? You’re not excited?

Okay. What if I told you they are playing America’s Team? Yes, that’s correct. Dem’ Boyz have made their way to Sin City as road favorites.

Does this mean we back an explosive offense to outduel the Raiders on their home field?

There are two things I’m in no hurry to do. One of those is betting on the Raiders’ defense to quit. Just forget about it. I know it seems like what would happen at this point in the season.

Last year, people waited for that, and they're still standing around, staring off into space. Maxx Crosby isn't just a freak of nature. He's a force of nature. That means he doesn't just motivate himself, he lifts those around him, too.

We've certainly seen the Vegas offense struggle and quit. That was more so last year, but the defense has never said uncle, not with Crosby as their leader.

The other thing I don’t like to do is bet the Cowboys as a road favorite. They are a home team and have been for years.

Dallas got away with a 4-4 record against the spread last year on the road. This year, however, it's been a completely different story. After opening the season with a loss, albeit one in which they covered the spread against Philly, Dallas has gone 1-3 on the road and 1-3 ATS, with their only win and cover coming against the hopeless Jets.

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Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5)

This line opened at (-3.5), and we still haven't seen it move, even with the majority of money and tickets coming in on the Cowboys. With only 55% of the money and 80% of the tickets, we can see that Dallas is the public side here.

Point Total: 50.5

As much as I would like to fade the Cowboys here, they are coming off two straight losses and may play pretty hard this week. Instead, we could focus on the point total here, as we've seen 94% of the money roll in on the under 51 points. Only 63% of the tickets are on the under here, so we have another sharp/square divide on the total as we did on the point spread.

Moneyline Odds

Cowboys: -186

Raiders: +152

Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders Betting Analysis

On paper, the Cowboys are the better team. It's wild. Looking at the Cowboys' stats, one might think they're a potential playoff team, but no. As good as both Dak Prescott and the running game have been earlier this season, the defense has been worse.

Something will have to give, though, with that unit up against the offense of the Raiders. Each unit ranks 31st in scoring this season.

Both units are bad on 3rd downs and in the red zone. Las Vegas's most significant issue on either side of the ball is its run blocking on offense. They don't protect quarterback Geno Amith that well either, but their run blocking has been historically horrific.

Ashton Jeanty is really good, but what can he do if there's nowhere to run?

Guys, I'm following this steam and taking the under. I know that 51 is a key number, but they opened it south of 51.5 for a reason. It appears they prefer people to bet the under.

That’s a big reason why over 90% of the overall dough is on the under.

We may get burnt to a crisp here by halftime, but take these two struggling teams to go under the 50.5 point total.

Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick

Pick: Under 50.5 Points

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Start:	November 13, 2025 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Nick Menken
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Monday Night Football Picks: Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

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